La Liga Gameweek 5
Sep 13, 2026 8.00pm
Anoeta Stadium

Real Sociedad vs Atletico Madrid - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Sociedad

All competitions
Last game
Sep 7, 2026 8.30pm
Elche 2 - 3 Real Sociedad
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
Luka Sucic

Atletico Madrid

All competitions
Last game
Sep 5, 2026 3.15pm
Athletic Bilbao 3 - 0 Atletico
Goals scored
7
Top scorer
Álex Baena

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 37.5%. A win for Real Sociedad has a probability of 34.84% and a draw has a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Atletico Madrid win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.14%) and 0-2 (6.05%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win is 1-0 (8.68%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.17%).

Result

Real Sociedad 34.84%
Draw 27.6%
Atletico Madrid 37.5%

Both Teams to Score: 

54.09%

Goals

Over 1.5 73.96%
Under 1.5 26.04%
Over 2.5 50.23%
Under 2.5 49.77%
Over 3.5 28.72%
Under 3.5 71.25%
Over 4.5 15.5%
Under 4.5 84.5%

First Half Winner

Real Sociedad 30.81%
Draw 43.59%
Atletico Madrid 25.6%

Team To Score First

Real Sociedad 48.48%
No Goal 7.9%
Atletico Madrid 43.62%

Corners

Over 8 63.35%
Equal 8 10.75%
Under 8 25.9%
Over 9 51.91%
Equal 9 11.44%
Under 9 36.65%
Over 10.5 40.75%
Under 10.5 59.25%

Real Sociedad Goals

Over 1.5 36.24%
Under 1.5 63.76%
Over 2.5 14.35%
Under 2.5 85.65%
Over 3.5 4.91%
Under 3.5 95.09%

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5 70.62%
Under 0.5 29.38%
Over 1.5 37.72%
Under 1.5 62.28%
Over 2.5 15.47%
Under 2.5 84.53%
Over 3.5 4.88%
Under 3.5 95.12%

Score analysis

Real Sociedad 34.83%
Draw 27.6%
Atletico Madrid 37.51%
Real Sociedad
1-0 @ 8.68%
2-1 @ 7.85%
2-0 @ 5.5%
3-1 @ 3.48%
3-0 @ 2.57%
3-2 @ 2.08%
Other @ 4.67%
Total : 34.83%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.17%
0-0 @ 7.9%
2-2 @ 5.98%
3-3 @ 1.31%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 27.6%
Atletico Madrid
0-1 @ 9.4%
1-2 @ 8.14%
0-2 @ 6.05%
1-3 @ 3.76%
0-3 @ 2.96%
2-3 @ 2.56%
Other @ 4.64%
Total : 37.51%

Head to Head

Copa del Rey
Apr 18, 2026 8.00pm
2
2
ET Estadio La Cartuja de Sevilla
  • Ademola Lookman 18' goal
  • Nico González 62' yellowcard
  • Alexander Sørloth 62' yellowcard
  • Alexander Sørloth 63' yellowcard
  • Álex Baena 70' yellowcard
  • Thiago Almada 70' yellowcard
  • Johnny Cardoso 78' yellowcard
  • Julián Alvarez 83' goal
  • Clément Lenglet  99' yellowcard
  • goal Ander Barrenetxea 1'
  • yellowcard Mikel Oyarzabal 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Jon Gorrotxategi 68'
  • yellowcard Pablo Marín 68'
  • yellowcard Pablo Marín 69'
  • yellowcard Aihen Muñoz 78'
  • yellowcard Orri Óskarsson 78'
  • yellowcard 78'
  • yellowcard Takefusa Kubo 88'
  • yellowcard Aritz Elustondo 113'
La Liga
Mar 7, 2026 5.30pm
3
2
HT : 1 1
FT Riyadh Air Metropolitano
  • Alexander Sørloth 5' goal
  • Marcos Llorente 45' yellowcard
  • Marcos Llorente 46' yellowcard
  • Julián Alvarez 53' yellowcard
  • Antoine Griezmann 53' yellowcard
  • Nico González 54' yellowcard
  • Antoine Griezmann 54' yellowcard
  • Johnny Cardoso 61' yellowcard
  • Nico González 67' goal
  • Nico González 81' goal
  • goal Carlos Soler 9'
  • yellowcard Pablo Marín 55'
  • yellowcard Gonçalo Guedes 55'
  • yellowcard Mikel Oyarzabal 56'
  • yellowcard Arsen Zakharyan 65'
  • goal Mikel Oyarzabal 68'
  • yellowcard Brais Méndez 74'
  • yellowcard Beñat Turrientes 74'
La Liga Gameweek 18
Jan 4, 2026 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Anoeta Stadium
  • Gonçalo Guedes 55' goal
  • Pablo Marín 72' yellowcard
  • Ander Barrenetxea 72' yellowcard
  • Orri Óskarsson 88' yellowcard
  • Arsen Zakharyan 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Conor Gallagher 46'
  • yellowcard Robin Le Normand 46'
  • goal Alexander Sørloth 50'
  • yellowcard Johnny Cardoso 60'
  • yellowcard Antoine Griezmann 60'
  • yellowcard Giacomo Raspadori 72'
La Liga Gameweek 35
May 10, 2025 8.00pm
4
0
HT : 4 0
FT Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
  • Alexander Sorloth 7' goal
  • Alexander Sorloth 10' goal
  • Alexander Sorloth 11' goal
  • Alexander Sorloth 30' goal
  • yellowcard Ander Barrenetxea 54'
La Liga Gameweek 9
Oct 6, 2024 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Reale Arena
  • Luka Sucic 84' goal
  • goal Julian Alvarez 1'
  • yellowcard Clement Lenglet 55'
  • yellowcard Javi Galan 80'
  • yellowcard Diego Simeone 88'
La Liga Gameweek 38
May 25, 2024 3.15pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Reale Arena
  • Jon Pacheco 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Brais Mendez 57' yellowcard
  • Jon Ander Olasagasti 90' yellowcard
  • goal Samuel Lino 9'
  • yellowcard Arthur Vermeeren 41'
  • yellowcard Koke 45'
  • yellowcard Saul Niguez 80'
  • yellowcard Reinildo Mandava 87'
  • redcard Saul Niguez 90'+1'
  • goal Reinildo Mandava 90'+3'