La Liga Gameweek 1
Aug 26, 2026 8.00pm
4
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
  • Álvaro Carreras 10' yellowcard
  • Kylian Mbappé  40' goal
  • Kylian Mbappé  60' goal
  • Vinicius Junior 68' goal
  • Ibrahima Konaté 73' yellowcard
  • Kylian Mbappé  80' goal
  • Eduardo Camavinga 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Yangel Herrera 31'
  • goal Luka Sucic 44'
  • yellowcard Jon Aramburu 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Luken Beitia 71'

Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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News

The match

Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Madrid

All competitions
Last game
Aug 22, 2026 8.30pm
Espanyol 1 - 2 Real Madrid
Goals scored
10
Top scorer
Kylian Mbappé 

Real Sociedad

All competitions
Last game
Aug 21, 2026 8.00pm
Betis 1 - 0 Real Sociedad
Goals scored
3
Top scorer
Luka Sucic

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 61.66%. A draw had a probability of 22.31% and a win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 16.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.09%) and 2-1 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.38%) , while for a Real Sociedad win it was 0-1 (4.72%).

Result

Real Madrid 61.66% ▲ (+0.12)
Draw 22.31% ▼ (-0.09)
Real Sociedad 16.02% ▼ (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.4% ▲ (+0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.69% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 1.5 24.31% ▼ (-0.14)
Over 2.5 53.1% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 2.5 46.9% ▼ (-0.18)
Over 3.5 32.11% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 3.5 67.89% ▼ (-0.16)
Over 4.5 20.52% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 4.5 79.48% ▼ (-0.15)

First Half Winner

Real Madrid 44.13% ▼ (-0.08)
Draw 39.34% ▲ (+0.02)
Real Sociedad 16.53% ▲ (+0.08)

Team To Score First

Real Madrid 61.19% ▲ (+0.04)
No Goal 7.13% ▼ (-0.04)
Real Sociedad 31.68% ▼ (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 59.09% ▲ (+0.03)
Equal 8 11.01% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 8 29.9% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 9 47.78% ▲ (+0.04)
Equal 9 11.32%
Under 9 40.91% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 10.5 37.07% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 10.5 62.93% ▼ (-0.04)

Real Madrid Goals

Over 1.5 56.44% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 1.5 43.56% ▼ (-0.18)
Over 2.5 30.02% ▲ (+0.20)
Under 2.5 69.98% ▼ (-0.19)
Over 3.5 13.21% ▲ (+0.16)
Under 3.5 86.79% ▼ (-0.15)

Real Sociedad Goals

Over 0.5 49.45% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 0.5 50.55% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 1.5 20.31% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 79.69% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 6.41% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 93.59% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 3.5 1.87%
Under 3.5 98.13%

Score analysis

Real Madrid 61.67%
Draw 22.31%
Real Sociedad 16.01%
Real Madrid
1-0 @ 12.45% ▼ (-0.08)
2-0 @ 11.09% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.33% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 6.87% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.71% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.22% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 13% ▲ (+0.16)
Total : 61.67%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.38% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 7.13% ▼ (-0.04)
2-2 @ 4.58%
3-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 22.31%
Real Sociedad
0-1 @ 4.72% ▼ (-0.04)
1-2 @ 3.98%
0-2 @ 2.12% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.42% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.29% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 16.01%

Head to Head

La Liga
Feb 14, 2026 8.00pm
4
1
HT : 3 0
FT Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
  • Gonzalo Garcia 5' goal
  • Gonzalo García 5' goal
  • Vinicius Junior 25' yellowcard
  • Federico Valverde 31' goal
  • Vinicius Junior 48' yellowcard
  • David Alaba 60' yellowcard
  • Dani Carvajal 60' yellowcard
  • Daniel Carvajal  60' yellowcard
  • Dani Ceballos 73' yellowcard
  • 73' yellowcard
  • Brahim Diaz 73' yellowcard
  • Brahim Díaz 73' yellowcard
  • Jorge Cestero Sancho 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mikel Oyarzabal 21'
  • yellowcard Goncalo Guedes 46'
  • yellowcard Gonçalo Guedes 46'
  • yellowcard Orri Oskarsson 60'
  • yellowcard Benat Turrientes 60'
  • yellowcard Orri Óskarsson 60'
  • yellowcard Beñat Turrientes 60'
  • yellowcard Benat Turrientes 61'
  • yellowcard 73'
  • yellowcard Daniel Díaz Gándara 73'
  • yellowcard Dani Díaz 73'
La Liga
Sep 13, 2025 3.15pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
La Liga Gameweek 38
May 24, 2025 3.15pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
  • Kylian Mbappe 38' goal
  • Kylian Mbappe 83' goal
Copa del Rey
Apr 1, 2025 8.30pm
4
4
HT : 1 1
ET Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
  • Endrick 30' goal
  • Jude Bellingham 82' goal
  • Aurelien Tchouameni 86' goal
  • Eduardo Camavinga 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Antonio Rudiger 115' goal
  • goal Ander Barrenetxea 16'
  • goal David Alaba 72' (OG)
  • yellowcard Jon Aramburu 74'
  • goal Mikel Oyarzabal 80'
  • yellowcard Javi Lopez 87'
  • yellowcard Mikel Oyarzabal 87'
  • goal Mikel Oyarzabal 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Jon Ander Olasagasti 106'
Copa del Rey
Feb 26, 2025 8.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Reale Arena
  • goal Endrick 19'
  • yellowcard Raul Asencio del Rosario 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Lucas Vazquez 86'
La Liga Gameweek 5
Sep 14, 2024 8.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Reale Arena
  • Umar Sadiq 17' yellowcard
  • Jon Aramburu 28' yellowcard
  • Jon Pacheco 82' yellowcard
  • Ander Barrenetxea 83' yellowcard
  • goal Vinicius Junior 58'
  • goal Kylian Mbappe 75'
  • yellowcard Luka Modric 79'

Build-up

Head to head