La Liga Gameweek 1
Real Madrid
Aug 26, 2026 8.00pm
Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
Real Sociedad

Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Madrid

All competitions
Last game
Aug 22, 2026 8.30pm
Espanyol 1 - 2 Real Madrid
Goals scored
2
Top scorer
Jude Bellingham

Real Sociedad

All competitions
Last game
Aug 21, 2026 8.00pm
Betis 1 - 0 Real Sociedad

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Real Madrid win with a probability of 61.66%. A draw has a probability of 22.33% and a win for Real Sociedad has a probability of 16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (11.08%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.38%) , while for a Real Sociedad win it is 0-1 (4.71%).

Result

Real Madrid 61.66% ▲ (+0.78)
Draw 22.33% ▼ (-0.25)
Real Sociedad 16% ▼ (-0.54)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.42% ▼ (-1.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.71% ▼ (-0.36)
Under 1.5 24.29% ▲ (+0.36)
Over 2.5 53.13% ▼ (-0.40)
Under 2.5 46.87% ▲ (+0.40)
Over 3.5 32.16% ▼ (-0.28)
Under 3.5 67.84% ▲ (+0.28)
Over 4.5 20.57% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 4.5 79.43% ▲ (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Real Madrid 44.27% ▲ (+0.18)
Draw 39.4% ▲ (+0.06)
Real Sociedad 16.33% ▼ (-0.25)

Team To Score First

Real Madrid 61.15% ▼ (-0.15)
No Goal 7.12% ▲ (+0.16)
Real Sociedad 31.73%

Corners

Over 8 59.05% ▼ (-0.50)
Equal 8 11.01%
Under 8 29.94% ▲ (+0.50)
Over 9 47.73% ▼ (-0.47)
Equal 9 11.31% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 9 40.95% ▲ (+0.50)
Over 10.5 37.03% ▼ (-0.38)
Under 10.5 62.97% ▲ (+0.38)

Real Madrid Goals

Over 1.5 56.46% ▲ (+0.22)
Under 1.5 43.54% ▼ (-0.22)
Over 2.5 30.06% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 2.5 69.94% ▼ (-0.19)
Over 3.5 13.23% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 3.5 86.77% ▼ (-0.11)

Real Sociedad Goals

Over 0.5 49.46% ▼ (-1.29)
Under 0.5 50.54% ▲ (+1.29)
Over 1.5 20.34% ▼ (-0.59)
Under 1.5 79.66% ▲ (+0.60)
Over 2.5 6.45% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 2.5 93.55% ▲ (+0.13)
Over 3.5 1.89% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 98.11% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Real Madrid 61.66%
Draw 22.32%
Real Sociedad 16.01%
Real Madrid
1-0 @ 12.45% ▲ (+0.37)
2-0 @ 11.08% ▲ (+0.39)
2-1 @ 9.31% ▼ (-0.19)
3-0 @ 6.87% ▲ (+0.26)
3-1 @ 5.72% ▼ (-0.09)
3-2 @ 3.22% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 13.01% ▲ (+0.11)
Total : 61.66%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.38% ▼ (-0.25)
0-0 @ 7.12% ▲ (+0.16)
2-2 @ 4.58% ▼ (-0.13)
3-3 @ 1.02% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.22% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 22.32%
Real Sociedad
0-1 @ 4.71% ▼ (-0.17)
1-2 @ 3.97% ▼ (-0.17)
0-2 @ 2.12% ▼ (-0.09)
2-3 @ 1.43% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 1.29% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 1.67% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 16.01%

Head to Head

La Liga
Real Madrid
Feb 14, 2026 8.00pm
4
1
HT : 3 0
FT Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
Real Sociedad
  • Gonzalo Garcia 5' goal
  • Gonzalo García 5' goal
  • Vinicius Junior 25' yellowcard
  • Federico Valverde 31' goal
  • Vinicius Junior 48' yellowcard
  • David Alaba 60' yellowcard
  • Dani Carvajal 60' yellowcard
  • Daniel Carvajal  60' yellowcard
  • Dani Ceballos 73' yellowcard
  • 73' yellowcard
  • Brahim Diaz 73' yellowcard
  • Brahim Díaz 73' yellowcard
  • Jorge Cestero Sancho 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mikel Oyarzabal 21'
  • yellowcard Goncalo Guedes 46'
  • yellowcard Gonçalo Guedes 46'
  • yellowcard Orri Oskarsson 60'
  • yellowcard Benat Turrientes 60'
  • yellowcard Orri Óskarsson 60'
  • yellowcard Beñat Turrientes 60'
  • yellowcard Benat Turrientes 61'
  • yellowcard 73'
  • yellowcard Daniel Díaz Gándara 73'
  • yellowcard Dani Díaz 73'
La Liga
Real Sociedad
Sep 13, 2025 3.15pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Real Madrid
La Liga Gameweek 38
Real Madrid
May 24, 2025 3.15pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
Real Sociedad
  • Kylian Mbappe 38' goal
  • Kylian Mbappe 83' goal
Copa del Rey
Real Madrid
Apr 1, 2025 8.30pm
4
4
HT : 1 1
ET Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
Real Sociedad
  • Endrick 30' goal
  • Jude Bellingham 82' goal
  • Aurelien Tchouameni 86' goal
  • Eduardo Camavinga 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Antonio Rudiger 115' goal
  • goal Ander Barrenetxea 16'
  • goal David Alaba 72' (OG)
  • yellowcard Jon Aramburu 74'
  • goal Mikel Oyarzabal 80'
  • yellowcard Javi Lopez 87'
  • yellowcard Mikel Oyarzabal 87'
  • goal Mikel Oyarzabal 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Jon Ander Olasagasti 106'
Copa del Rey
Real Sociedad
Feb 26, 2025 8.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Reale Arena
Real Madrid
  • goal Endrick 19'
  • yellowcard Raul Asencio del Rosario 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Lucas Vazquez 86'
La Liga Gameweek 5
Real Sociedad
Sep 14, 2024 8.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Reale Arena
Real Madrid
  • Umar Sadiq 17' yellowcard
  • Jon Aramburu 28' yellowcard
  • Jon Pacheco 82' yellowcard
  • Ander Barrenetxea 83' yellowcard
  • goal Vinicius Junior 58'
  • goal Kylian Mbappe 75'
  • yellowcard Luka Modric 79'

Form Data

Espanyol 1 - 2 Real Madrid
Schalke 0 - 3 Real Madrid
Deportivo 0 - 1 Real Madrid
Ferencvaros 1 - 2 Real Madrid
Real Madrid 2 - 2 Fiorentina
Real Madrid 4 - 1 Leganes
Betis 1 - 0 Real Sociedad
Chelsea 3 - 1 Real Sociedad
FC Koln 2 - 1 Real Sociedad
Toulouse 2 - 1 Real Sociedad
Aston Villa 2 - 4 Real Sociedad
Wolves 1 - 2 Real Sociedad

Build-up

Head to head