Club Friendlies 3
Jul 31, 2026 6.00pm
Stadium de Toulouse

Toulouse vs Real Sociedad - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Toulouse

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 25, 2026 6.00pm
Toulouse 1 - 1 Rodez AF

Real Sociedad

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 28, 2026 7.30pm
Aston Villa 2 - 4 Real Sociedad

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Toulouse win with a probability of 37.45%. A win for Real Sociedad has a probability of 34.94% and a draw has a probability of 27.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win is 1-0 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (5.95%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win is 0-1 (8.45%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.6%).

Result

Toulouse 37.45% (-0.05)
Draw 27.57% (-0.50)
Real Sociedad 34.94% (+0.52)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.95% (+2.55)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.99% (+1.83)
Under 1.5 25.01% (-1.83)
Over 2.5 51.39% (+2.14)
Under 2.5 48.61% (-2.14)
Over 3.5 29.14% (+1.91)
Under 3.5 70.86% (-1.91)
Over 4.5 16.11% (+1.37)
Under 4.5 83.89% (-1.38)

First Half Winner

Toulouse 28.03% (+0.14)
Draw 46.41% (-1.05)
Real Sociedad 25.56% (+0.92)

Team To Score First

Toulouse 46.77% (-1.02)
No Goal 7.68% (-0.85)
Real Sociedad 45.55% (+1.87)

Corners

Over 8 54.79% (-0.32)
Equal 8 12.52% (+0.05)
Under 8 32.68% (+0.25)
Over 9 42.3% (-0.33)
Equal 9 12.5% (+0.02)
Under 9 45.21% (+0.32)
Over 10.5 30.96% (-0.31)
Under 10.5 69.04% (+0.32)

Toulouse Goals

Over 1.5 38.27% (+1.20)
Under 1.5 61.73% (-1.20)
Over 2.5 15.53% (+0.69)
Under 2.5 84.47% (-0.69)
Over 3.5 4.76% (+0.38)
Under 3.5 95.24% (-0.39)

Real Sociedad Goals

Over 0.5 70.04% (+1.15)
Under 0.5 29.96% (-1.15)
Over 1.5 36.63% (+1.57)
Under 1.5 63.37% (-1.57)
Over 2.5 14.43% (+1.02)
Under 2.5 85.57% (-1.03)
Over 3.5 5.02% (+0.59)
Under 3.5 94.98% (-0.59)

Score analysis

Toulouse 37.45%
Draw 27.57%
Real Sociedad 34.94%
Toulouse
1-0 @ 8.84% (-0.60)
2-1 @ 8.52% (+0.10)
2-0 @ 5.95% (-0.09)
3-1 @ 3.84% (+0.05)
3-2 @ 2.85% (+0.13)
3-0 @ 2.83%
Other @ 4.62% (+0.36)
Total : 37.45%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.6% (-0.15)
0-0 @ 7.68% (-0.85)
2-2 @ 5.9% (+0.33)
3-3 @ 1.25% (+0.14)
Other @ 0.14% (+0.04)
Total : 27.57%
Real Sociedad
0-1 @ 8.45% (-0.42)
1-2 @ 8.41% (+0.19)
0-2 @ 5.04% (-0.10)
1-3 @ 3.3% (+0.19)
0-3 @ 2.49% (-0.06)
2-3 @ 2.37% (+0.17)
Other @ 4.88% (+0.56)
Total : 34.94%