Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 37.91%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 36.26% and a draw had a probability of 25.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.72%) and 0-2 (5.57%). The likeliest Nantes win was 2-1 (8.47%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.