Sep 20, 2026 3.15pm

Riyadh Air Metropolitano

Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Madrid

All competitions

W
W
L
L
W
D

La Liga

W
W
L
W
D
W

Last game

Sep 16, 2026 6.00pm

Atletico 4 - 0 Osasuna

Goals scored

14

Top scorer

Álex Baena

Real Madrid

All competitions

W
W
W
L
W
W

La Liga

W
W
L
W
W
W

Last game

Sep 15, 2026 8.30pm

Elche 2 - 3 Real Madrid

Goals scored

17

Top scorer

Kylian Mbappé

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Real Madrid win with a probability of 42.28%. A win for Atletico Madrid has a probability of 34.32% and a draw has a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (6.58%) and 0-2 (5.45%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win is 2-1 (7.9%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.91%).

Result

Atletico Madrid 34.32%

Draw 23.4%

Real Madrid 42.28%

Both Teams to Score:

64.07%

Goals

Over 1.5 83.32%

Under 1.5 16.68%

Over 2.5 63.73%

Under 2.5 36.27%

Over 3.5 41.31%

Under 3.5 58.69%

Over 4.5 25.6%

Under 4.5 74.4%

First Half Winner

Atletico Madrid 26.5%

Draw 39.26%

Real Madrid 34.24%

Team To Score First

Atletico Madrid 46.27%

No Goal 4.25%

Real Madrid 49.48%

Corners

Over 8 63.22%

Equal 8 11.14%

Under 8 25.64%

Over 9 51.34%

Equal 9 11.88%

Under 9 36.78%

Over 10.5 39.78%

Under 10.5 60.22%

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 1.5 41.58%

Under 1.5 58.42%

Over 2.5 18.74%

Under 2.5 81.26%

Over 3.5 7.09%

Under 3.5 92.91%

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5 76.7%

Under 0.5 23.3%

Over 1.5 48.36%

Under 1.5 51.64%

Over 2.5 23.82%

Under 2.5 76.18%

Over 3.5 9.63%

Under 3.5 90.37%

Score analysis

Atletico Madrid 34.32%

Draw 23.39%

Real Madrid 42.29%

Atletico Madrid

2-1 @ 7.9%

1-0 @ 5.85%

2-0 @ 4.23%

3-1 @ 3.95%

3-2 @ 3.42%

3-0 @ 2.29%

Other @ 6.68%

Total : 34.32%

Draw

1-1 @ 9.91%

2-2 @ 6.83%

0-0 @ 4.25%

3-3 @ 1.99%

Other @ 0.41%

Total : 23.39%

Real Madrid

1-2 @ 8.84%

0-1 @ 6.58%

0-2 @ 5.45%

1-3 @ 4.92%

2-3 @ 3.88%

0-3 @ 3.4%

Other @ 9.22%

Total : 42.29%

Head to Head

Mar 22, 2026 8.00pm

3

2

HT : 0 1

FT Estadio Santiago Bernabéu

Vinicius Junior 52'
Federico Valverde 55'
Kylian Mbappé 64'
Trent Alexander-Arnold 64'
Vinicius Junior 72'
Jude Bellingham 74'
Eduardo Camavinga 74'
Álvaro Carreras 87'

Ademola Lookman 33'
José María Giménez 46'
Nahuel Molina 57'
Johnny Cardoso 57'
Nico González 57'
Alexander Sørloth 57'
Nahuel Molina 66'
Álex Baena 71'

Jan 8, 2026 7.00pm

1

2

HT : 0 1

FT Alinma Stadium

Robin Le Normand 46'
Alexander Sorloth 58'
Antoine Griezmann 60'
Johnny Cardoso 60'
Thiago Almada 74'
Thiago Almada 75'
Nahuel Molina 80'

Federico Valverde 2'
Rodrygo 55'
Fran Garcia 69'
Ferland Mendy 69'
Arda Guler 81'
Franco Mastantuono 87'
Dani Ceballos 87'

Sep 27, 2025 3.15pm

5

2

HT : 0 0

FT

Mar 12, 2025 8.00pm

1

0

HT : 1 0

ET Estadio Civitas Metropolitano

Conor Gallagher 1'
Giuliano Simeone 66'
Clement Lenglet 68'
Cesar Azpilicueta 114'
Marcos Llorente 115'

Aurelien Tchouameni 39'
Vinicius Junior 59'
Lucas Vazquez 115'
Kylian Mbappe 128'

Mar 4, 2025 8.00pm

2

1

HT : 1 1

FT Estadio Santiago Bernabeu

Rodrygo 4'
Brahim Diaz 55'
Brahim Diaz 55'

Julian Alvarez 32'

Feb 8, 2025 8.00pm

1

1

HT : 0 1

FT Estadio Santiago Bernabeu

Dani Ceballos 25'
Kylian Mbappe 50'

Julian Alvarez 35'
Clement Lenglet 45'+4'
Javi Galan 49'
Alexander Sorloth 90'+2'

Form Data

Atletico 4 - 0 Osasuna

Real Sociedad 0 - 3 Atletico

Liverpool 2 - 1 Atletico

Athletic Bilbao 3 - 0 Atletico

Sevilla 1 - 3 Atletico

Atletico 2 - 2 Villarreal

Elche 2 - 3 Real Madrid

Real Madrid 4 - 1 Rayo Vallecano

Real Madrid 2 - 1 Inter Milan

Betis 1 - 0 Real Madrid

Real Madrid 4 - 0 Malaga

Real Madrid 4 - 1 Real Sociedad