La Liga
Gameweek
7
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-
Diego Simeone
6'
-
Marc Pubill
35'
-
Cristian Romero
38'
-
Alejandro Grimaldo
53'
-
Jonathan David
59'
-
Denzel Dumfries
49'
-
Dean Huijsen
52'
-
Jude Bellingham
78'
-
Antonio Rüdiger
89'
Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Reaction
News
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News
The match
Team News
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Match Preview
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Predicted Lineups
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Injuries & Suspensions
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 39.93%. A win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 36.11% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.2%) and 0-2 (5.16%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win was 2-1 (7.75%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
Result
Atletico Madrid
36.11%
▼
(-1.92)
Draw
23.9%
▼
(-0.21)
Real Madrid
39.93%
▲
(+2.08)
Both Teams to Score:
64.61%
▼
(-1.18)
Goals
Over 1.5
83.73%
▼
(-0.75)
Under 1.5
16.27%
▲
(+0.75)
Over 2.5
63.81%
▼
(-1.35)
Under 2.5
36.19%
▲
(+1.34)
Over 3.5
42.45%
▼
(-1.78)
Under 3.5
57.55%
▲
(+1.78)
Over 4.5
26.65%
▼
(-1.54)
Under 4.5
73.35%
▲
(+1.54)
First Half Winner
Atletico Madrid
28.31%
Draw
41.33%
Real Madrid
30.35%
Team To Score First
Atletico Madrid
52.94%
▼
(-0.08)
No Goal
4.05%
▲
(+0.13)
Real Madrid
43.01%
▼
(-0.07)
Corners
Over 8
52.74%
▼
(-7.49)
Equal 8
11.36%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 8
35.91%
▲
(+7.44)
Over 9
41.61%
▼
(-6.92)
Equal 9
11.13%
▼
(-0.59)
Under 9
47.26%
▲
(+7.49)
Over 10.5
31.54%
▼
(-5.86)
Under 10.5
68.46%
▲
(+5.86)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 1.5
43.57%
▼
(-2.51)
Under 1.5
56.43%
▲
(+2.51)
Over 2.5
20.54%
▼
(-2.02)
Under 2.5
79.46%
▲
(+2.01)
Over 3.5
8.31%
▼
(-1.20)
Under 3.5
91.69%
▲
(+1.21)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5
75.25%
▲
(+1.11)
Under 0.5
24.75%
▼
(-1.11)
Over 1.5
46.9%
▲
(+0.83)
Under 1.5
53.1%
▼
(-0.83)
Over 2.5
22.84%
▲
(+0.43)
Under 2.5
77.16%
▼
(-0.44)
Over 3.5
9.13%
▲
(+0.13)
Under 3.5
90.87%
▼
(-0.12)
Score analysis
Atletico Madrid
36.11%
Draw
23.9%
Real Madrid
39.93%
Atletico Madrid
2-1
@
7.75%
▼
(-0.13)
1-0 @ 5.96% ▲ (+0.05)
2-0 @ 4.46% ▼ (-0.09)
3-1 @ 4.1% ▼ (-0.25)
3-2 @ 3.62% ▼ (-0.26)
3-0 @ 2.35% ▼ (-0.13)
Other @ 7.87% ▼ (-1.13)
Total : 36.11%
1-0 @ 5.96% ▲ (+0.05)
2-0 @ 4.46% ▼ (-0.09)
3-1 @ 4.1% ▼ (-0.25)
3-2 @ 3.62% ▼ (-0.26)
3-0 @ 2.35% ▼ (-0.13)
Other @ 7.87% ▼ (-1.13)
Total : 36.11%
Draw
1-1
@
10.3%
▲
(+0.14)
2-2 @ 6.95% ▼ (-0.21)
0-0 @ 4.05% ▲ (+0.13)
3-3 @ 2.16% ▼ (-0.18)
Other @ 0.44% ▼ (-0.08)
Total : 23.9%
2-2 @ 6.95% ▼ (-0.21)
0-0 @ 4.05% ▲ (+0.13)
3-3 @ 2.16% ▼ (-0.18)
Other @ 0.44% ▼ (-0.08)
Total : 23.9%
Real Madrid
1-2
@
8.33%
▲
(+0.34)
0-1 @ 6.2% ▲ (+0.54)
0-2 @ 5.16% ▲ (+0.54)
1-3 @ 4.75% ▲ (+0.21)
2-3 @ 3.87% ▼ (-0.09)
0-3 @ 2.93% ▲ (+0.37)
Other @ 8.69% ▲ (+0.19)
Total : 39.93%
0-1 @ 6.2% ▲ (+0.54)
0-2 @ 5.16% ▲ (+0.54)
1-3 @ 4.75% ▲ (+0.21)
2-3 @ 3.87% ▼ (-0.09)
0-3 @ 2.93% ▲ (+0.37)
Other @ 8.69% ▲ (+0.19)
Total : 39.93%
Head to Head
La Liga
Gameweek
29
-
Vinicius Junior
52'
-
Federico Valverde
55'
-
Kylian Mbappé
64'
-
Trent Alexander-Arnold
64'
-
Vinicius Junior
72'
-
Jude Bellingham
74'
-
Eduardo Camavinga
74'
-
Álvaro Carreras
87'
-
Ademola Lookman
33'
-
José María Giménez
46'
-
Nahuel Molina
57'
-
Johnny Cardoso
57'
-
Nico González
57'
-
Alexander Sørloth
57'
-
Nahuel Molina
66'
-
Álex Baena
71'
Supercopa de Espana
-
Robin Le Normand
46'
-
Alexander Sorloth
58'
-
Antoine Griezmann
60'
-
Johnny Cardoso
60'
-
Thiago Almada
74'
-
Thiago Almada
75'
-
Nahuel Molina
80'
-
Federico Valverde
2'
-
Rodrygo
55'
-
Fran Garcia
69'
-
Ferland Mendy
69'
-
Arda Guler
81'
-
Franco Mastantuono
87'
-
Dani Ceballos
87'
La Liga
Champions League
-
Conor Gallagher
1'
-
Giuliano Simeone
66'
-
Clement Lenglet
68'
-
Cesar Azpilicueta
114'
-
Marcos Llorente
115'
-
Aurelien Tchouameni
39'
-
Vinicius Junior
59'
-
Lucas Vazquez
115'
-
Kylian Mbappe
128'
Champions League
-
Rodrygo
4'
-
Brahim Diaz
55'
-
Brahim Diaz
55'
-
Julian Alvarez
32'
La Liga
Gameweek
23
-
Dani Ceballos
25'
-
Kylian Mbappe
50'
-
Julian Alvarez
35'
-
Clement Lenglet
45'+4'
-
Javi Galan
49'
-
Alexander Sorloth
90'+2'
Form Data
Build-up
News
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