Champions League Gameweek 1
Sep 8, 2026 8.00pm
Estadio Santiago Bernabéu

Real Madrid vs Inter Milan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Madrid

All competitions

Inter Milan

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Real Madrid win with a probability of 47.6%. A win for Inter Milan has a probability of 29.32% and a draw has a probability of 23.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.5%) and 2-0 (6.33%). The likeliest Inter Milan win is 1-2 (6.74%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.05%).

Result

Real Madrid 47.6% (-0.27)
Draw 23.08% (+0.18)
Inter Milan 29.32% (+0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.94% (-0.39)

Goals

Over 1.5 82.17% (-0.38)
Under 1.5 17.83% (+0.38)
Over 2.5 62.08% (-0.50)
Under 2.5 37.92% (+0.50)
Over 3.5 40.3% (-0.55)
Under 3.5 59.7% (+0.55)
Over 4.5 25.36% (-0.52)
Under 4.5 74.64% (+0.52)

First Half Winner

Real Madrid 36.19%
Draw 35.03% (+0.07)
Inter Milan 28.77% (-0.08)

Team To Score First

Real Madrid 51.46% (-0.16)
No Goal 4.58% (+0.13)
Inter Milan 43.96% (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 59.57% (+0.15)
Equal 8 10.62% (-0.03)
Under 8 29.81% (-0.13)
Over 9 48.61% (+0.15)
Equal 9 10.96% (-0.01)
Under 9 40.43% (-0.15)
Over 10.5 38.16% (+0.14)
Under 10.5 61.84% (-0.14)

Real Madrid Goals

Over 1.5 51.67% (-0.48)
Under 1.5 48.33% (+0.48)
Over 2.5 26.75% (-0.45)
Under 2.5 73.25% (+0.46)
Over 3.5 11.87% (-0.33)
Under 3.5 88.13% (+0.32)

Inter Milan Goals

Over 0.5 65.89%
Under 0.5 34.11%
Over 1.5 35.81% (-0.10)
Under 1.5 64.19% (+0.10)
Over 2.5 15.13% (-0.13)
Under 2.5 84.87% (+0.14)
Over 3.5 5.27% (-0.10)
Under 3.5 94.73% (+0.10)

Score analysis

Real Madrid 47.6%
Draw 23.07%
Inter Milan 29.31%
Real Madrid
2-1 @ 9.04% (-0.04)
1-0 @ 7.5% (+0.13)
2-0 @ 6.33% (+0.04)
3-1 @ 5.26% (-0.05)
3-0 @ 4.17% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.79% (-0.05)
Other @ 11.51% (-0.33)
Total : 47.6%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.05% (+0.09)
2-2 @ 6.42% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.58% (+0.13)
3-3 @ 1.66% (-0.05)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 23.07%
Inter Milan
1-2 @ 6.74% (+0.05)
0-1 @ 5.73% (+0.09)
0-2 @ 3.73% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 3.25% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 3.13% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.82% (+0.02)
Other @ 4.91% (-0.09)
Total : 29.31%

Head to Head

Champions League
Dec 7, 2021 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Toni Kroos 17' goal
  • Eder Militao 64' yellowcard
  • Marco Asensio 79' goal
  • yellowcard Danilo D'Ambrosio 54'
  • redcard Nicolo Barella 64'
  • yellowcard Alessandro Bastoni 74'
Champions League
Sep 15, 2021 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Lautaro Martinez 45'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard David Alaba 60'
  • goal Rodrygo 89'
Champions League
Nov 25, 2020 8.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • Roberto Gagliardini 19' yellowcard
  • Arturo Vidal 33' yellowcard
  • Arturo Vidal 33' redcard
  • Stefano Sensi 86' yellowcard
  • goal Eden Hazard 7'
  • goal Achraf Hakimi 59' (OG)
Champions League
Nov 3, 2020 8.00pm
3
2
HT : 2 1
FT Estadio Alfredo Di Stéfano
  • Karim Benzema 25' goal
  • Sergio Ramos 33' goal
  • Ferland Mendy 48' yellowcard
  • Federico Valverde 62' yellowcard
  • Rodrygo 80' goal
  • Casemiro 85' yellowcard
  • Thibaut Courtois 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Lautaro Martinez 35'
  • yellowcard Arturo Vidal 44'
  • yellowcard Marcelo Brozovic 51'
  • goal Ivan Perisic 68'
  • yellowcard Nicolo Barella 72'
Pre-Season Friendlies
Jul 27, 2015 1.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT Tianhe Stadium, Guangzhou
  • goal Jese 29'
  • goal Raphael Varane 56'
  • goal James Rodriguez 88'
  • yellowcard Alvaro Arbeloa 90'

Build-up

News