La Liga Gameweek 3
Aug 30, 2026 4.00pm
4
0
HT : 3 0
FT Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
  • Jude Bellingham 19' goal
  • Alfonso Herrero  26' goal
  • Kylian Mbappé  30' goal
  • Arda Güler 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Chupe 66'
  • yellowcard Ramón Enríquez 90'+3'

Real Madrid vs Malaga - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Madrid

All competitions
Last game
Aug 26, 2026 8.00pm
Real Madrid 4 - 1 Real Sociedad
Goals scored
10
Top scorer
Kylian Mbappé 

Malaga

All competitions
Last game
Aug 24, 2026 8.30pm
Malaga 1 - 1 Deportivo
Goals scored
1
Top scorer
Chupe

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 66.66%. A draw had a probability of 20.01% and a win for Malaga had a probability of 13.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.51%) and 2-1 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.67%) , while for a Malaga win it was 0-1 (3.93%).

Result

Real Madrid 66.66% ▲ (+0.16)
Draw 20.01% ▼ (-0.10)
Malaga 13.34% ▼ (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.23% ▲ (+0.03)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.48% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 21.52% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 56.68% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 2.5 43.32% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 3.5 35.71% ▲ (+0.14)
Under 3.5 64.29% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 4.5 23.89% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 4.5 76.11% ▼ (-0.08)

First Half Winner

Real Madrid 48.54% ▲ (+0.02)
Draw 36.88% ▼ (-0.04)
Malaga 14.58% ▲ (+0.02)

Team To Score First

Real Madrid 65.34%
No Goal 5.9% ▼ (-0.03)
Malaga 28.76% ▲ (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 63.7% ▼ (-0.01)
Equal 8 10.5%
Under 8 25.8% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 9 52.5% ▼ (-0.01)
Equal 9 11.2%
Under 9 36.3% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 10.5 41.52%
Under 10.5 58.48%

Real Madrid Goals

Over 1.5 61.73% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 1.5 38.27% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 2.5 35.26% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 2.5 64.74% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 3.5 16.71% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 3.5 83.29% ▼ (-0.08)

Malaga Goals

Over 0.5 46.47% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 0.5 53.53% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 1.5 18.4% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 1.5 81.6% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 2.5 5.24% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 2.5 94.76% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 3.5 1.48%
Under 3.5 98.52%

Score analysis

Real Madrid 66.65%
Draw 20.01%
Malaga 13.33%
Real Madrid
1-0 @ 11.68%
2-0 @ 11.51% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.2%
3-0 @ 7.81%
3-1 @ 6.27% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 3.56% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 16.62% ▲ (+0.09)
Total : 66.65%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.67% ▼ (-0.05)
0-0 @ 5.9% ▼ (-0.03)
2-2 @ 4.44%
Other @ 0.09% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 20.01%
Malaga
0-1 @ 3.93% ▼ (-0.03)
1-2 @ 3.53% ▼ (-0.04)
0-2 @ 1.63%
2-3 @ 1.32%
1-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 1.39% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 13.33%

Head to Head

La Liga
Apr 15, 2018 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio La Rosaleda (Málaga)
  • Federico Ricca 36' yellowcard
  • Manuel Iturra 55' yellowcard
  • Ivan Rodriguez 81' yellowcard
  • Diego Rolan 90' goal
  • Roberto Rosales 90' yellowcard
  • goal Isco 29'
  • goal Casemiro 63'
La Liga
Nov 25, 2017 3.15pm
3
2
HT : 2 1
FT Estadio Santiago Bernabéu (Madrid)
  • Karim Benzema 9' goal
  • Casemiro 21' goal
  • Marcelo Vieira 45' yellowcard
  • Cristiano Ronaldo 76' goal
  • goal Diego Rolan 18'
  • yellowcard Adalberto Penaranda 29'
  • yellowcard Adrian 43'
  • goal Chory Castro 58'
La Liga
May 21, 2017 7.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Carlos Kameni 56' yellowcard
  • Jony 57' yellowcard
  • goal Cristiano Ronaldo 2'
  • goal Karim Benzema 55'
La Liga
Jan 21, 2017 3.15pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Sergio Ramos 35' goal
  • Casemiro 37' yellowcard
  • Sergio Ramos 43' goal
  • Lucas Vazquez 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Juankar 39'
  • goal Juanpi 63'
  • yellowcard Ignacio Camacho 78'
  • yellowcard Michael Santos 85'
La Liga
Feb 21, 2016 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Miguel Torres 2' yellowcard
  • Weligton 35' yellowcard
  • Charles 41' yellowcard
  • Ignacio Camacho 55' yellowcard
  • Raul Albentosa 66' goal
  • Carlos Kameni 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Marcelo 24'
  • goal Cristiano Ronaldo 33'
  • yellowcard Luka Modric 71'
La Liga
Sep 26, 2015 5.15pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Raphael Varane 48' yellowcard
  • Nacho 52' yellowcard
  • Daniel Carvajal 89' yellowcard
  • Cristiano Ronaldo 94' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Miguel Torres 27'
  • yellowcard Recio 66'
  • redcard Nordin Amrabat 77'
  • yellowcard Carlos Kameni 83'
  • yellowcard Juan Anor 87'