Serie A Gameweek 3
Sep 5, 2026 5.00pm
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

Inter Milan vs Napoli - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Inter Milan

All competitions
Last game
Aug 30, 2026 7.45pm
Cagliari 0 - 1 Inter Milan
Goals scored
5
Top scorer
Hakan Çalhanoğlu

Napoli

All competitions
Last game
Aug 30, 2026 5.30pm
Napoli 1 - 2 Como
Goals scored
3
Top scorer
Kevin De Bruyne

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Inter Milan win with a probability of 52.47%. A draw has a probability of 24.94% and a win for Napoli has a probability of 22.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.96%) and 2-0 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.98%) , while for a Napoli win it is 1-2 (5.98%).

Result

Inter Milan 52.47% (-0.15)
Draw 24.94% (-0.17)
Napoli 22.55% (+0.27)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.04% (+0.72)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.62% (+0.58)
Under 1.5 22.38% (-0.58)
Over 2.5 53.55% (+0.83)
Under 2.5 46.41% (-0.87)
Over 3.5 31.25% (+0.79)
Under 3.5 68.71% (-0.83)
Over 4.5 18.43% (+0.59)
Under 4.5 81.57% (-0.60)

First Half Winner

Inter Milan 40.5% (+0.15)
Draw 41.68% (-0.14)
Napoli 17.82% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Inter Milan 60.53% (+0.22)
No Goal 6.13% (-0.21)
Napoli 33.34%

Corners

Over 8 47.48% (+0.29)
Equal 8 11.49% (+0.01)
Under 8 41.03% (-0.30)
Over 9 36.66% (+0.25)
Equal 9 10.82% (+0.05)
Under 9 52.52% (-0.29)
Over 10.5 27.25% (+0.20)
Under 10.5 72.75% (-0.21)

Inter Milan Goals

Over 1.5 50.68% (+0.36)
Under 1.5 49.32% (-0.36)
Over 2.5 24.7% (+0.35)
Under 2.5 75.3% (-0.36)
Over 3.5 9.76% (+0.21)
Under 3.5 90.24% (-0.22)

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5 59.97% (+0.43)
Under 0.5 40.03% (-0.43)
Over 1.5 26.92% (+0.63)
Under 1.5 73.08% (-0.63)
Over 2.5 8.76% (+0.41)
Under 2.5 91.24% (-0.41)
Over 3.5 2.48% (+0.19)
Under 3.5 97.52% (-0.19)

Score analysis

Inter Milan 52.48%
Draw 24.94%
Napoli 22.55%
Inter Milan
1-0 @ 10.45% (-0.25)
2-1 @ 9.96% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.71% (-0.15)
3-1 @ 5.34% (+0.05)
3-0 @ 5.09% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 3.31% (+0.09)
Other @ 9.62% (+0.20)
Total : 52.48%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.98% (-0.09)
0-0 @ 6.13% (-0.21)
2-2 @ 5.49% (+0.09)
3-3 @ 1.2% (+0.07)
Other @ 0.14% (+0.02)
Total : 24.94%
Napoli
1-2 @ 5.98% (+0.07)
0-1 @ 5.77% (-0.14)
0-2 @ 3.38% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.99% (+0.07)
2-3 @ 1.82% (+0.08)
0-3 @ 1.27% (+0.04)
Other @ 2.34% (+0.17)
Total : 22.55%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 20
Jan 11, 2026 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • Federico Dimarco 9' goal
  • Henrikh Mkhitaryan 62' yellowcard
  • Hakan Calhanoglu 73' yellowcard
  • Francesco Pio Esposito 83' yellowcard
  • Ange-Yoan Bonny 87' yellowcard
  • Petar Sučić 87' yellowcard
  • Carlos Augusto 88' yellowcard
  • Petar Sučić 88' yellowcard
  • Ange-Yoan Bonny 88' yellowcard
  • goal Scott McTominay 26'
  • yellowcard Noa Lang 78'
  • goal Scott McTominay 81'
  • yellowcard Pasquale Mazzocchi 90'+4'
Serie A European Under-21s Championship
Oct 25, 2025 5.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Serie A Gameweek 27
Mar 1, 2025 5.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
  • Philip Billing 87' goal
  • Nikita Contini 88' yellowcard
  • goal Federico Dimarco 22'
  • yellowcard Nikita Contini 72'
Serie A Gameweek 12
Nov 10, 2024 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • Hakan Calhanoglu 43' goal
  • Simone Inzaghi 55' yellowcard
  • Denzel Dumfries 80' yellowcard
  • goal Scott McTominay 23'
Serie A Gameweek 29
Mar 17, 2024 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • Benjamin Pavard 36' yellowcard
  • Matteo Darmian 43' goal
  • Nicolo Barella 54' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Francesco Calzona 37'
  • yellowcard Stanislav Lobotka 52'
  • goal Juan Jesus 81'
  • yellowcard Francesco Calzona 87'
Supercoppa Italiana
Jan 22, 2024 7.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT KSU Soccer Stadium
  • Amir Rrahmani 42' yellowcard
  • Walter Mazzarri 43' yellowcard
  • Alessio Zerbin 46' yellowcard
  • Giovanni Simeone 55' yellowcard
  • Giovanni Simeone 60' redcard
  • Gianluca Gaetano 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Hakan Calhanoglu 44'
  • yellowcard Stefan de Vrij 47'
  • yellowcard Nicolo Barella 55'
  • goal Lautaro Martinez 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Lautaro Martinez 90'+2'