Serie A Gameweek 3
Sep 5, 2026 5.00pm
3
2
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • Lautaro Martínez  56' goal
  • Lautaro Martínez  68' yellowcard
  • Marcus Thuram 82' goal
  • Lautaro Martínez  90'+1' goal
  • Cristian Chivu 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Antonio Vergara 35'
  • goal Matteo Politano 50'
  • goal Rasmus Højlund 53'
  • yellowcard Rafa Marín 77'

Inter Milan vs Napoli - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Inter Milan

All competitions
Last game
Aug 30, 2026 7.45pm
Cagliari 0 - 1 Inter Milan
Goals scored
13
Top scorer
Hakan Çalhanoğlu

Napoli

All competitions
Last game
Aug 30, 2026 5.30pm
Napoli 1 - 2 Como
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
Rasmus Højlund

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 51.77%. A draw had a probability of 25.04% and a win for Napoli had a probability of 23.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 2-0 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.18%) , while for a Napoli win it was 1-2 (5.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.

Result

Inter Milan 51.77% ▲ (+0.17)
Draw 25.04% ▼ (-0.04)
Napoli 23.22% ▼ (-0.14)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.35% ▼ (-0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.71% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 22.29% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 53.37% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 46.63% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 31.57% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 3.5 68.4% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 4.5 18.63% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 4.5 81.37% ▲ (+0.05)

First Half Winner

Inter Milan 40.78% ▼ (-0.01)
Draw 41.18% ▼ (-0.01)
Napoli 18.04% ▲ (+0.02)

Team To Score First

Inter Milan 60.76% ▼ (-0.09)
No Goal 6.03% ▲ (+0.02)
Napoli 33.21% ▲ (+0.08)

Corners

Over 8 49.19% ▼ (-0.02)
Equal 8 11.76%
Under 8 39.05% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 9 37.99%
Equal 9 11.2%
Under 9 50.81% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 10.5 28.16%
Under 10.5 71.84%

Inter Milan Goals

Over 1.5 50.17% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 1.5 49.83% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 2.5 24.16% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 2.5 75.84% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 3.5 9.6% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 90.4% ▼ (-0.02)

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5 60.66% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 0.5 39.34% ▲ (+0.13)
Over 1.5 27.55% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 1.5 72.45% ▲ (+0.14)
Over 2.5 9.24% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 2.5 90.76% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 3.5 2.64% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 3.5 97.36% ▲ (+0.05)

Score analysis

Inter Milan 51.78%
Draw 25.04%
Napoli 23.22%
Inter Milan
1-0 @ 10.45% ▲ (+0.03)
2-1 @ 9.87% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.61% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 5.21% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 4.83% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 3.35% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 9.46% ▲ (+0.04)
Total : 51.78%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.18%
0-0 @ 6.03% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.52% ▼ (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.17% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.14% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 25.04%
Napoli
1-2 @ 5.89% ▼ (-0.02)
0-1 @ 5.85% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 3.55% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.21% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.01% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.21%
Other @ 2.5% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 23.22%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 20
Jan 11, 2026 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • Federico Dimarco 9' goal
  • Henrikh Mkhitaryan 62' yellowcard
  • Hakan Calhanoglu 73' yellowcard
  • Francesco Pio Esposito 83' yellowcard
  • Ange-Yoan Bonny 87' yellowcard
  • Petar Sučić 87' yellowcard
  • Carlos Augusto 88' yellowcard
  • Petar Sučić 88' yellowcard
  • Ange-Yoan Bonny 88' yellowcard
  • goal Scott McTominay 26'
  • yellowcard Noa Lang 78'
  • goal Scott McTominay 81'
  • yellowcard Pasquale Mazzocchi 90'+4'
Serie A European Under-21s Championship
Oct 25, 2025 5.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Serie A Gameweek 27
Mar 1, 2025 5.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
  • Philip Billing 87' goal
  • Nikita Contini 88' yellowcard
  • goal Federico Dimarco 22'
  • yellowcard Nikita Contini 72'
Serie A Gameweek 12
Nov 10, 2024 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • Hakan Calhanoglu 43' goal
  • Simone Inzaghi 55' yellowcard
  • Denzel Dumfries 80' yellowcard
  • goal Scott McTominay 23'
Serie A Gameweek 29
Mar 17, 2024 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • Benjamin Pavard 36' yellowcard
  • Matteo Darmian 43' goal
  • Nicolo Barella 54' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Francesco Calzona 37'
  • yellowcard Stanislav Lobotka 52'
  • goal Juan Jesus 81'
  • yellowcard Francesco Calzona 87'
Supercoppa Italiana
Jan 22, 2024 7.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT KSU Soccer Stadium
  • Amir Rrahmani 42' yellowcard
  • Walter Mazzarri 43' yellowcard
  • Alessio Zerbin 46' yellowcard
  • Giovanni Simeone 55' yellowcard
  • Giovanni Simeone 60' redcard
  • Gianluca Gaetano 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Hakan Calhanoglu 44'
  • yellowcard Stefan de Vrij 47'
  • yellowcard Nicolo Barella 55'
  • goal Lautaro Martinez 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Lautaro Martinez 90'+2'