Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 58.09%. A draw had a probability of 25.35% and a win for Pisa had a probability of 16.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.94%) and 1-2 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.03%) , while for a Pisa win it was 1-0 (6.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.