Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 37.61%. A win for Pisa had a probability of 32.47% and a draw had a probability of 29.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.43%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Pisa win was 0-1 (11.68%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.