Club Friendlies 3
Aug 8, 2026 8.00pm
Stadio Diego Armando Maradona

Napoli vs Celta Vigo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Napoli

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Aug 5, 2026 5.30pm
Napoli 2 - 1 Osasuna

Celta Vigo

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Aug 5, 2026 7.00pm
Sassuolo 1 - 4 Celta Vigo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Napoli win with a probability of 58.85%. A draw has a probability of 23.55% and a win for Celta Vigo has a probability of 17.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (10.65%) and 2-0 (10.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.26%) , while for a Celta Vigo win it is 0-1 (5.43%).

Result

Napoli 58.85% (-3.43)
Draw 23.55% (+1.16)
Celta Vigo 17.61% (+2.33)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.85% (+1.58)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.96% (+1.17)
Under 1.5 24.04% (-1.18)
Over 2.5 51.82% (+1.32)
Under 2.5 48.18% (-1.32)
Over 3.5 29.78% (+0.29)
Under 3.5 70.22% (-0.29)
Over 4.5 17.78% (-0.12)
Under 4.5 82.22% (+0.13)

First Half Winner

Napoli 44.56% (-1.65)
Draw 39.99% (+0.50)
Celta Vigo 15.45% (+1.17)

Team To Score First

Napoli 65.04% (-0.93)
No Goal 6.65% (-0.47)
Celta Vigo 28.31% (+1.40)

Corners

Over 8 50.73% (-0.78)
Equal 8 12.39% (+0.01)
Under 8 36.88% (+0.77)
Over 9 38.78% (-0.72)
Equal 9 11.95% (-0.07)
Under 9 49.27% (+0.78)
Over 10.5 28.23% (-0.59)
Under 10.5 71.77% (+0.59)

Napoli Goals

Over 1.5 53.86% (-1.50)
Under 1.5 46.14% (+1.50)
Over 2.5 26.69% (-1.38)
Under 2.5 73.31% (+1.38)
Over 3.5 10.75% (-0.89)
Under 3.5 89.25% (+0.88)

Celta Vigo Goals

Over 0.5 54.3% (+3.69)
Under 0.5 45.7% (-3.69)
Over 1.5 21.24% (+2.83)
Under 1.5 78.76% (-2.83)
Over 2.5 5.84% (+1.48)
Under 2.5 94.16% (-1.49)
Over 3.5 1.46% (+0.34)
Under 3.5 98.54% (-0.34)

Score analysis

Napoli 58.85%
Draw 23.56%
Celta Vigo 17.61%
Napoli
1-0 @ 11.98% (-0.91)
2-1 @ 10.65% (+0.26)
2-0 @ 10.41% (-1.10)
3-0 @ 5.96% (-0.28)
3-1 @ 5.72% (-0.46)
3-2 @ 3.41% (-0.07)
Other @ 10.72% (-0.90)
Total : 58.85%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.26% (+0.80)
0-0 @ 6.65% (-0.47)
2-2 @ 4.77% (+0.51)
Other @ 0.03% (+0.02)
Total : 23.56%
Celta Vigo
0-1 @ 5.43% (+0.25)
1-2 @ 4.76% (+0.73)
0-2 @ 2.46% (+0.17)
1-3 @ 1.52% (+0.35)
2-3 @ 1.34% (+0.22)
Other @ 1.43% (+0.32)
Total : 17.61%