Club Friendlies 3
Aug 5, 2026 7.00pm
MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore

Sassuolo vs Celta Vigo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sassuolo

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 31, 2026 6.00pm
Sassuolo 0 - 0 Folgore Caratese

Celta Vigo

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 29, 2026 10.00am
Celta Vigo 0 - 0 Viseu

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sassuolo win with a probability of 48.53%. A draw has a probability of 26.61% and a win for Celta Vigo has a probability of 24.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.53%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.92%) , while for a Celta Vigo win it is 0-1 (7.18%).

Result

Sassuolo 48.53% (+0.06)
Draw 26.61% (-0.04)
Celta Vigo 24.81% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.69% (+0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.09% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 26.91% (-0.11)
Over 2.5 49.24% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 50.76% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 28% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 72% (-0.10)
Over 4.5 15.59% (+0.09)
Under 4.5 84.41% (-0.08)

First Half Winner

Sassuolo 34.92% (+0.20)
Draw 43.55% (-0.39)
Celta Vigo 21.53% (+0.20)

Team To Score First

Sassuolo 54.09% (-0.13)
No Goal 8.42% (-0.05)
Celta Vigo 37.49% (+0.18)

Corners

Over 8 49.32% (+0.30)
Equal 8 11.72% (+0.03)
Under 8 38.96% (-0.33)
Over 9 38.14% (+0.28)
Equal 9 11.18% (+0.04)
Under 9 50.68% (-0.30)
Over 10.5 28.31% (+0.22)
Under 10.5 71.69% (-0.22)

Sassuolo Goals

Over 1.5 45.48% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 54.52% (-0.11)
Over 2.5 20.42% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 79.58% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 7.02% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 92.98% (-0.07)

Celta Vigo Goals

Over 0.5 60.72% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 39.28% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 27.1% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 72.9% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 8.97% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 91.03% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 2.56% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 97.44% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Sassuolo 48.53%
Draw 26.62%
Celta Vigo 24.8%
Sassuolo
1-0 @ 11.26% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 9.53% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.36% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 4.99% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.25% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.2% (-0.01)
Other @ 6.94% (+0.06)
Total : 48.53%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.92%
0-0 @ 8.42% (-0.05)
2-2 @ 5.24% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.08% (+0.01)
Total : 26.62%
Celta Vigo
0-1 @ 7.18% (-0.05)
1-2 @ 6.12% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 3.57% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 2.19%
2-3 @ 1.93% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 1.33% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.48% (+0.01)
Total : 24.8%