La Liga Gameweek 6
Sep 15, 2026 8.30pm
2
3
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero
  • Marc Aguado 31' yellowcard
  • Abiel Osorio  71' goal
  • Lucas Cepeda 78' yellowcard
  • Fer Niño 83' goal
  • Josan 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Gonzalo Villar 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Yan Diomande 4'
  • goal Matías Dituro 25' (OG)
  • goal Kylian Mbappé  33'
  • yellowcard Ibrahima Konaté 73'
  • goal Carlos Espí 90'+1'

Elche vs Real Madrid - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Elche

All competitions
Last game
Sep 12, 2026 5.30pm
Athletic Bilbao 1 - 1 Elche
Goals scored
11
Top scorer
Fer Niño

Real Madrid

All competitions
Last game
Sep 12, 2026 8.00pm
Real Madrid 4 - 1 Rayo Vallecano
Goals scored
17
Top scorer
Kylian Mbappé 

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 59.37%. A draw had a probability of 22.38% and a win for Elche had a probability of 18.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.33%) and 1-2 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.45%) , while for a Elche win it was 1-0 (5.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.

Result

Elche 18.24% ▼ (-2.08)
Draw 22.38% ▼ (-0.06)
Real Madrid 59.37% ▲ (+2.12)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.51% ▼ (-1.34)

Goals

Over 1.5 77% ▼ (-0.91)
Under 1.5 23% ▲ (+0.92)
Over 2.5 54.72% ▼ (-1.19)
Under 2.5 45.28% ▲ (+1.19)
Over 3.5 33.09% ▼ (-1.56)
Under 3.5 66.91% ▲ (+1.57)
Over 4.5 20.66% ▼ (-1.02)
Under 4.5 79.34% ▲ (+1.03)

First Half Winner

Elche 23.68% ▲ (+0.86)
Draw 35.1% ▲ (+0.43)
Real Madrid 41.22% ▼ (-1.28)

Team To Score First

Elche 35.61% ▲ (+0.87)
No Goal 6.78% ▲ (+0.59)
Real Madrid 57.61% ▼ (-1.46)

Corners

Over 8 57.69% ▲ (+5.16)
Equal 8 11.98% ▼ (-0.20)
Under 8 30.33% ▼ (-4.97)
Over 9 45.49% ▲ (+4.88)
Equal 9 12.2% ▲ (+0.29)
Under 9 42.31% ▼ (-5.16)
Over 10.5 34.16% ▲ (+4.21)
Under 10.5 65.84% ▼ (-4.21)

Elche Goals

Over 1.5 22.31% ▼ (-2.52)
Under 1.5 77.69% ▲ (+2.52)
Over 2.5 7.41% ▼ (-1.17)
Under 2.5 92.59% ▲ (+1.18)
Over 3.5 2.21% ▼ (-0.44)
Under 3.5 97.79% ▲ (+0.45)

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5 82.93% ▲ (+0.53)
Under 0.5 17.07% ▼ (-0.52)
Over 1.5 55.93% ▲ (+0.83)
Under 1.5 44.07% ▼ (-0.83)
Over 2.5 29.49% ▲ (+0.50)
Under 2.5 70.51% ▼ (-0.50)
Over 3.5 13.07% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 86.93% ▼ (-0.01)

Score analysis

Elche 18.25%
Draw 22.38%
Real Madrid 59.38%
Elche
1-0 @ 5.03% ▼ (-0.25)
2-1 @ 4.65% ▼ (-0.39)
2-0 @ 2.5% ▼ (-0.25)
3-1 @ 1.7% ▼ (-0.33)
3-2 @ 1.6% ▼ (-0.26)
Other @ 1.96% ▼ (-0.48)
Total : 18.25%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.45% ▼ (-0.20)
0-0 @ 6.78% ▲ (+0.59)
2-2 @ 4.81% ▼ (-0.46)
3-3 @ 1.09% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.25% ▲ (+0.05)
Total : 22.38%
Real Madrid
0-1 @ 11.2% ▲ (+0.59)
0-2 @ 10.33% ▲ (+0.72)
1-2 @ 9.7% ▲ (+0.34)
0-3 @ 6.47% ▲ (+0.54)
1-3 @ 5.92% ▲ (+0.25)
2-3 @ 2.94% ▼ (-0.27)
Other @ 12.82% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 59.38%

Head to Head

La Liga Gameweek 28
Mar 14, 2026 8.00pm
4
1
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
  • Antonio Rüdiger  39' goal
  • Federico Valverde 44' goal
  • Gonzalo García 58' yellowcard
  • Arda Güler 58' yellowcard
  • Daniel Yáñez 58' yellowcard
  • Daniel Yáñez 59' yellowcard
  • Diego Aguado 61' yellowcard
  • Manuel Ángel Morán 63' yellowcard
  • Manuel Ángel Morán 64' yellowcard
  • César Palacios 64' yellowcard
  • 64' yellowcard
  • 64' yellowcard
  • Dean Huijsen 66' goal
  • Arda Güler 89' goal
  • yellowcard Adrià Pedrosa 23'
  • yellowcard Rafa Mir 64'
  • yellowcard Josan 64'
  • yellowcard Marc Aguado 64'
  • yellowcard Grady Diangana 74'
  • yellowcard Pedro Bigas 74'
  • goal Manuel Ángel Morán 85' (OG)
La Liga
Nov 23, 2025 8.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
La Liga Gameweek 21
Feb 15, 2023 8.00pm
4
0
HT : 3 0
FT Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
  • Marco Asensio 8' goal
  • Karim Benzema 31' goal
  • Karim Benzema 45'+1' goal
  • Luka Modric 80' goal
La Liga Gameweek 10
Oct 19, 2022 8.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero
  • goal Federico Valverde 11'
  • goal Karim Benzema 75'
  • goal Marco Asensio 89'
La Liga Gameweek 22
Jan 23, 2022 3.15pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Eder Militao 54' yellowcard
  • Vinicius Junior 72' yellowcard
  • Luka Modric 82' goal
  • Eder Militao 90'+2' goal
  • David Alaba 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Lucas Boye 42'
  • yellowcard Fidel 55'
  • goal Pere Milla 76'
Copa del Rey
Jan 20, 2022 6.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
ET Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero
  • Pere Milla 87' yellowcard
  • Gonzalo 103' goal
  • Pere Milla 120'+2' redcard
  • yellowcard Toni Kroos 78'
  • yellowcard Casemiro 87'
  • yellowcard David Alaba 94'
  • redcard Marcelo 102'
  • goal Isco 108'
  • goal Eden Hazard 115'

Build-up

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News