Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 47.41%. A win for Elche had a probability of 28.26% and a draw had a probability of 24.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.54%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Elche win was 1-2 (7.1%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.