Club Friendlies 3
Aug 8, 2026 8.30am
Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero

Elche vs Toulouse - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Elche

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 31, 2026 9.30am
Elche 2 - 2 Cordoba

Toulouse

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Aug 5, 2026 6.00pm
Al-Ain 0 - 1 Toulouse

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Elche win with a probability of 45.78%. A win for Toulouse has a probability of 27.18% and a draw has a probability of 27.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Elche win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Toulouse win is 0-1 (7.24%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.52%).

Result

Elche 45.78% (-5.04)
Draw 27.05% (+1.47)
Toulouse 27.18% (+3.59)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.82% (-1.39)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.19% (-1.96)
Under 1.5 25.81% (+1.95)
Over 2.5 49.66% (-2.82)
Under 2.5 50.34% (+2.82)
Over 3.5 29.44% (-1.38)
Under 3.5 70.56% (+1.38)
Over 4.5 16.61% (-1.04)
Under 4.5 83.39% (+1.04)

First Half Winner

Elche 38.17% (-2.75)
Draw 42.43% (+1.72)
Toulouse 19.4% (+1.04)

Team To Score First

Elche 58.15% (-2.74)
No Goal 7.86% (+1.02)
Toulouse 33.99% (+1.72)

Corners

Over 8 51.96% (+1.97)
Equal 8 12.33% (-0.18)
Under 8 35.71% (-1.79)
Over 9 39.95% (+1.97)
Equal 9 12.01% (+0.01)
Under 9 48.04% (-1.97)
Over 10.5 29.25% (+1.79)
Under 10.5 70.75% (-1.79)

Elche Goals

Over 1.5 43.93% (-5.10)
Under 1.5 56.07% (+5.10)
Over 2.5 19.81% (-3.45)
Under 2.5 80.19% (+3.44)
Over 3.5 7.28% (-1.69)
Under 3.5 92.72% (+1.68)

Toulouse Goals

Over 0.5 62.89% (+2.51)
Under 0.5 37.11% (-2.51)
Over 1.5 29.71% (+2.29)
Under 1.5 70.29% (-2.29)
Over 2.5 10.37% (+1.14)
Under 2.5 89.63% (-1.15)
Over 3.5 3.08% (+0.50)
Under 3.5 96.92% (-0.49)

Score analysis

Elche 45.77%
Draw 27.06%
Toulouse 27.18%
Elche
1-0 @ 10.72% (-0.09)
2-1 @ 8.74% (-0.96)
2-0 @ 7.72% (-0.75)
3-1 @ 4.68% (-0.59)
3-0 @ 3.67% (-1.10)
3-2 @ 3.09%
Other @ 7.15% (-1.60)
Total : 45.77%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.52% (+0.75)
0-0 @ 7.86% (+1.02)
2-2 @ 5.46% (-0.12)
3-3 @ 1.09% (-0.08)
Other @ 0.13% (-0.08)
Total : 27.06%
Toulouse
0-1 @ 7.24% (+1.03)
1-2 @ 6.51% (+0.42)
0-2 @ 4.28% (+0.86)
1-3 @ 2.71% (+0.36)
2-3 @ 2.2% (+0.17)
0-3 @ 1.29% (+0.21)
Other @ 2.95% (+0.58)
Total : 27.18%