Premier League Gameweek 7
Oct 18, 2026 2.00pm
Elland Road

Leeds United vs Manchester United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Leeds United

All competitions
Last game
Oct 10, 2026 12.30pm
Arsenal 2 - 1 Leeds
Goals scored
8
Top scorer
Dominic Calvert-Lewin

Manchester United

All competitions
Last game
Oct 10, 2026 5.30pm
Man Utd 1 - 1 Spurs
Goals scored
9
Top scorer
Bryan Mbeumo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Manchester United win with a probability of 39%. A win for Leeds United has a probability of 33.3% and a draw has a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.32%) and 0-2 (6.46%). The likeliest Leeds United win is 1-0 (9.49%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.47%).

Result

Leeds United 33.3% ▲ (+1.83)
Draw 27.7% ▼ (-0.68)
Manchester United 39% ▼ (-1.12)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.33% ▲ (+0.93)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.3% ▲ (+1.29)
Under 1.5 28.7% ▼ (-1.29)
Over 2.5 46.98% ▲ (+1.53)
Under 2.5 53.02% ▼ (-1.53)
Over 3.5 25.43% ▲ (+0.99)
Under 3.5 74.57% ▼ (-1.00)
Over 4.5 13.85% ▲ (+0.67)
Under 4.5 86.15% ▼ (-0.66)

First Half Winner

Leeds United 25.59% ▲ (+0.97)
Draw 42.79% ▲ (+0.54)
Manchester United 31.62% ▼ (-1.50)

Team To Score First

Leeds United 41.37% ▼ (-0.21)
No Goal 8.79% ▼ (-0.66)
Manchester United 49.84% ▲ (+0.86)

Corners

Over 8 61.98% ▲ (+0.25)
Equal 8 11.63%
Under 8 26.39% ▼ (-0.25)
Over 9 49.66% ▲ (+0.21)
Equal 9 12.32% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 9 38.02% ▼ (-0.25)
Over 10.5 37.82% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 10.5 62.18% ▼ (-0.17)

Leeds United Goals

Over 1.5 32.76% ▲ (+1.99)
Under 1.5 67.24% ▼ (-2.00)
Over 2.5 11.95% ▲ (+1.26)
Under 2.5 88.05% ▼ (-1.27)
Over 3.5 3.8% ▲ (+0.50)
Under 3.5 96.2% ▼ (-0.50)

Manchester United Goals

Over 0.5 70.41% ▼ (-0.36)
Under 0.5 29.59% ▲ (+0.36)
Over 1.5 36.86% ▼ (-0.29)
Under 1.5 63.14% ▲ (+0.29)
Over 2.5 15.18% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 2.5 84.82% ▲ (+0.12)
Over 3.5 4.72% ▼ (-0.21)
Under 3.5 95.28% ▲ (+0.21)

Score analysis

Leeds United 33.3%
Draw 27.7%
Manchester United 38.99%
Leeds United
1-0 @ 9.49% ▲ (+0.03)
2-1 @ 7.84% ▲ (+0.39)
2-0 @ 5.4% ▲ (+0.17)
3-1 @ 2.83% ▲ (+0.29)
3-0 @ 2.3% ▲ (+0.30)
3-2 @ 1.84% ▲ (+0.16)
Other @ 3.6% ▲ (+0.54)
Total : 33.3%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.47% ▼ (-0.09)
0-0 @ 8.79% ▼ (-0.66)
2-2 @ 5.06% ▲ (+0.05)
3-3 @ 1.18% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 0.2% ▼ (-0.04)
Total : 27.7%
Manchester United
0-1 @ 10.41% ▼ (-0.66)
1-2 @ 8.32% ▼ (-0.08)
0-2 @ 6.46% ▼ (-0.30)
1-3 @ 3.68% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 3.09% ▼ (-0.09)
2-3 @ 2.51% ▲ (+0.13)
Other @ 4.52% ▼ (-0.17)
Total : 38.99%

Head to Head

Club Friendlies 1
Aug 12, 2026 7.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Elland Road
  • Joshua Zirkzee 16' goal
  • goal Brenden Aaronson 29'
Premier League Gameweek 32
Apr 13, 2026 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT Old Trafford
  • Casemiro 69' goal
  • Diogo Dalot 70' yellowcard
  • Bryan Mbeumo 70' yellowcard
  • goal Noah Okafor 5'
  • goal Noah Okafor 29'
  • yellowcard Wilfried Gnonto 74'
  • yellowcard Ilia Gruev 74'
  • yellowcard Sean Longstaff 86'
Premier League Gameweek 20
Jan 4, 2026 12.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Elland Road
  • Brenden Aaronson 62' goal
  • Lukas Nmecha 75' yellowcard
  • Ao Tanaka 80' yellowcard
  • Wilfried Gnonto 80' yellowcard
  • Joël Piroe 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joshua Zirkzee 63'
  • goal Matheus Cunha 65'
Club Friendlies 1
Jul 19, 2025 3.00pm
Club Friendlies 1
Jul 19, 2025 2.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Club Friendlies 1 Gameweek 1
Jul 19, 2025 10.00am