Premier League Gameweek 5
Leeds
Sep 20, 2026 2.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Elland Road
Crystal Palace
  • Jayden Bogle 38' yellowcard
  • Ao Tanaka 62' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Adam Wharton 64'
  • yellowcard Yéremy Pino 81'
  • yellowcard Jefferson Lerma 90'+3'

Leeds United vs Crystal Palace - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Leeds United

All competitions
Last game
Sep 14, 2026 8.00pm
Leeds 4 - 1 Newcastle
Goals scored
7
Top scorer
Dominic Calvert-Lewin

Crystal Palace

All competitions
Last game
Sep 12, 2026 3.00pm
Crystal Palace 2 - 3 Ipswich
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
Tyrick Mitchell

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 45.17%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 28.68% and a draw had a probability of 26.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.96%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 1-2 (7.12%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result

Leeds United 45.17% ▼ (-0.18)
Draw 26.15% ▲ (+0.03)
Crystal Palace 28.68% ▲ (+0.13)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.13% ▲ (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.25% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 21.75% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 55.16% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 2.5 44.84% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 3.5 32.69%
Under 3.5 67.31%
Over 4.5 18.9%
Under 4.5 81.1%

First Half Winner

Leeds United 31.37%
Draw 44.17%
Crystal Palace 24.46%

Team To Score First

Leeds United 52.59% ▼ (-0.01)
No Goal 6.17% ▲ (+0.01)
Crystal Palace 41.24%

Corners

Over 8 65.5% ▲ (+0.02)
Equal 8 10.38%
Under 8 24.12% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 9 54.26% ▲ (+0.02)
Equal 9 11.24%
Under 9 34.5% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 10.5 43.09% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 10.5 56.91% ▼ (-0.02)

Leeds United Goals

Over 1.5 46.78% ▼ (-0.12)
Under 1.5 53.22% ▲ (+0.12)
Over 2.5 21.52% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 2.5 78.48% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 3.5 8.49% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 3.5 91.51% ▲ (+0.06)

Crystal Palace Goals

Over 0.5 65.74% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 0.5 34.26% ▼ (-0.14)
Over 1.5 33.09% ▲ (+0.14)
Under 1.5 66.91% ▼ (-0.14)
Over 2.5 12.68% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 2.5 87.32% ▼ (-0.09)
Over 3.5 3.91% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 96.09% ▼ (-0.04)

Score analysis

Leeds United 45.17%
Draw 26.15%
Crystal Palace 28.68%
Leeds United
2-1 @ 9.44% ▼ (-0.03)
1-0 @ 8.96% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.11% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 4.73% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 3.89% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.91%
Other @ 8.13% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 45.17%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.86% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 6.26% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.17% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.5% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 26.15%
Crystal Palace
1-2 @ 7.12% ▲ (+0.01)
0-1 @ 6.62% ▲ (+0.04)
0-2 @ 4.12% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 2.81% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.45% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 2.01% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.55% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 28.68%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 30
Crystal Palace
Mar 15, 2026 2.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Selhurst Park
Leeds
  • Adam Wharton 60' yellowcard
  • Jean-Philippe Mateta 60' yellowcard
  • Daichi Kamada 80' yellowcard
  • Yéremy Pino 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dominic Calvert-Lewin 45'
  • yellowcard Jayden Bogle 46'
  • yellowcard Ilia Gruev 46'
Premier League
Leeds
Dec 20, 2025 8.00pm
4
1
HT : 2 0
FT
Crystal Palace
  • Dominic Calvert-Lewin 38' goal
  • Dominic Calvert-Lewin 45'+4' goal
  • Ethan Ampadu 60' goal
  • Lucas Perri 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Anton Stach 90'+11' goal
  • yellowcard Maxence Lacroix 42'
  • yellowcard Marc Guehi 45'+2'
  • goal Justin Devenny 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Adam Wharton 90'+7'
Premier League Gameweek 30
Leeds
Apr 9, 2023 2.00pm
1
5
HT : 1 1
FT
Crystal Palace
  • Patrick Bamford 21' goal
  • goal Marc Guehi 45'+1'
  • goal Jordan Ayew 53'
  • goal Eberechi Eze 55'
  • goal Odsonne Edouard 69'
  • goal Jordan Ayew 77'
Premier League Gameweek 10
Crystal Palace
Oct 9, 2022 2.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
Leeds
  • Odsonne Edouard 24' goal
  • Eberechi Eze 76' goal
  • goal Pascal Struijk 10'
Club Friendlies 1
Crystal Palace
Jul 22, 2022 11.05am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Leeds
  • Jean-Philippe Mateta 67' goal
  • goal Rodrigo 56'
Premier League Gameweek 34
Crystal Palace
Apr 25, 2022 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Leeds
  • Joachim Andersen 45' yellowcard
  • Joel Ward 51' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Daniel James 50'
  • yellowcard Diego Llorente 77'

Form Data

Leeds 4 - 1 Newcastle
Chelsea 6 - 3 Leeds
Brighton 1 - 1 Leeds
Leeds 1 - 1 Brentford
Nott'm Forest 0 - 2 Leeds
Nott'm Forest 0 - 1 Leeds
Crystal Palace 4 - 0 Lech Poznan
Crystal Palace 2 - 3 Ipswich
Crystal Palace 3 - 0 Middlesbrough
Fulham 2 - 3 Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace 1 - 4 Man City
Everton 2 - 0 Crystal Palace

Build-up

Head to head