Premier League Gameweek 5
Sep 20, 2026 2.00pm
Elland Road

Leeds United vs Crystal Palace - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Leeds United

All competitions
Last game
Sep 14, 2026 8.00pm
Leeds 4 - 1 Newcastle
Goals scored
7
Top scorer
Dominic Calvert-Lewin

Crystal Palace

All competitions
Last game
Sep 12, 2026 3.00pm
Crystal Palace 2 - 3 Ipswich
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
Tyrick Mitchell

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Leeds United win with a probability of 45.34%. A win for Crystal Palace has a probability of 28.55% and a draw has a probability of 26.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.97%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win is 1-2 (7.11%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.85%).

Result

Leeds United 45.34% (-0.30)
Draw 26.12% (-0.15)
Crystal Palace 28.55% (+0.45)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.1% (+0.33)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.26% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 21.74% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 55.2% (+0.09)
Under 2.5 44.8% (-0.09)
Over 3.5 32.69% (+0.20)
Under 3.5 67.31% (-0.21)
Over 4.5 18.9% (+0.25)
Under 4.5 81.1% (-0.25)

First Half Winner

Leeds United 31.37% (-0.67)
Draw 44.17% (+0.25)
Crystal Palace 24.46% (+0.43)

Team To Score First

Leeds United 52.6% (-0.22)
No Goal 6.16%
Crystal Palace 41.24% (+0.22)

Corners

Over 8 65.48% (-1.29)
Equal 8 10.38% (-0.04)
Under 8 24.14% (+1.34)
Over 9 54.24% (-1.11)
Equal 9 11.24% (-0.19)
Under 9 34.52% (+1.30)
Over 10.5 43.08% (-0.81)
Under 10.5 56.92% (+0.81)

Leeds United Goals

Over 1.5 46.9% (-0.18)
Under 1.5 53.1% (+0.18)
Over 2.5 21.62% (-0.26)
Under 2.5 78.38% (+0.26)
Over 3.5 8.54% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 91.46% (-0.05)

Crystal Palace Goals

Over 0.5 65.61% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 34.39% (-0.05)
Over 1.5 32.96% (+0.43)
Under 1.5 67.04% (-0.43)
Over 2.5 12.6% (+0.27)
Under 2.5 87.4% (-0.27)
Over 3.5 3.88% (+0.19)
Under 3.5 96.12% (-0.19)

Score analysis

Leeds United 45.33%
Draw 26.11%
Crystal Palace 28.54%
Leeds United
2-1 @ 9.46% (-0.10)
1-0 @ 8.97% (-0.05)
2-0 @ 7.13% (+0.06)
3-1 @ 4.75% (-0.09)
3-0 @ 3.93% (-0.15)
3-2 @ 2.91% (-0.05)
Other @ 8.18% (+0.05)
Total : 45.33%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.85% (-0.16)
2-2 @ 6.25% (+0.05)
0-0 @ 6.16%
3-3 @ 1.49% (-0.04)
Other @ 0.36% (-0.02)
Total : 26.11%
Crystal Palace
1-2 @ 7.11% (+0.08)
0-1 @ 6.59% (-0.05)
0-2 @ 4.09% (+0.09)
1-3 @ 2.79% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.44% (+0.09)
0-3 @ 2% (+0.05)
Other @ 3.52% (+0.21)
Total : 28.54%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 30
Mar 15, 2026 2.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Selhurst Park
  • Adam Wharton 60' yellowcard
  • Jean-Philippe Mateta 60' yellowcard
  • Daichi Kamada 80' yellowcard
  • Yéremy Pino 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dominic Calvert-Lewin 45'
  • yellowcard Jayden Bogle 46'
  • yellowcard Ilia Gruev 46'
Premier League
Dec 20, 2025 8.00pm
4
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Dominic Calvert-Lewin 38' goal
  • Dominic Calvert-Lewin 45'+4' goal
  • Ethan Ampadu 60' goal
  • Lucas Perri 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Anton Stach 90'+11' goal
  • yellowcard Maxence Lacroix 42'
  • yellowcard Marc Guehi 45'+2'
  • goal Justin Devenny 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Adam Wharton 90'+7'
Premier League Gameweek 30
Apr 9, 2023 2.00pm
1
5
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Patrick Bamford 21' goal
  • goal Marc Guehi 45'+1'
  • goal Jordan Ayew 53'
  • goal Eberechi Eze 55'
  • goal Odsonne Edouard 69'
  • goal Jordan Ayew 77'
Premier League Gameweek 10
Oct 9, 2022 2.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Odsonne Edouard 24' goal
  • Eberechi Eze 76' goal
  • goal Pascal Struijk 10'
Club Friendlies 1
Jul 22, 2022 11.05am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Jean-Philippe Mateta 67' goal
  • goal Rodrigo 56'
Premier League Gameweek 34
Apr 25, 2022 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Joachim Andersen 45' yellowcard
  • Joel Ward 51' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Daniel James 50'
  • yellowcard Diego Llorente 77'