EFL Cup
Sep 8, 2026 7.45pm
Selhurst Park

Crystal Palace vs Middlesbrough - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Crystal Palace

All competitions

Middlesbrough

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 52.04%. A win for Crystal Palace has a probability of 24.68% and a draw has a probability of 23.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win is 1-2 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (9.58%) and 0-2 (8.33%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win is 2-1 (6.43%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.35%).

Result

Crystal Palace 24.68% (+0.01)
Draw 23.23% (-0.02)
Middlesbrough 52.04% (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.67%

Goals

Over 1.5 78.2%
Under 1.5 21.8%
Over 2.5 55.89% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 44.11% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 32.64% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 67.36% (+0.02)
Over 4.5 19.48% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 80.52% (+0.01)

First Half Winner

Crystal Palace 20.63% (+0.03)
Draw 39.71% (-0.04)
Middlesbrough 39.66% (+0.01)

Team To Score First

Crystal Palace 36% (-0.01)
No Goal 5.9% (-0.02)
Middlesbrough 58.1% (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 47.22% (-0.01)
Equal 8 11.83% (+0.01)
Under 8 40.95%
Over 9 36.11% (-0.04)
Equal 9 11.1% (+0.01)
Under 9 52.78% (+0.01)
Over 10.5 26.51% (-0.03)
Under 10.5 73.49% (+0.04)

Crystal Palace Goals

Over 1.5 28.8%
Under 1.5 71.2%
Over 2.5 9.68% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 90.32% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 2.89%
Under 3.5 97.11%

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 0.5 79.69% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 20.31% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 51.08% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 48.92% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 25.4% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 74.6% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 10.38% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 89.62% (+0.03)

Score analysis

Crystal Palace 24.68%
Draw 23.22%
Middlesbrough 52.05%
Crystal Palace
2-1 @ 6.43% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 6.27% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 3.63% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 2.25% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 1.66% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.64% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.8% (+0.01)
Total : 24.68%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.35% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 5.9% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.64% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.24% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.09% (-0.02)
Total : 23.22%
Middlesbrough
1-2 @ 10.07%
0-1 @ 9.58% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 8.33% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 5.27%
0-3 @ 5.09%
2-3 @ 3.42%
Other @ 10.29% (-0.02)
Total : 52.05%

Head to Head

EFL Cup
Oct 31, 2018 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Riverside Stadium (Middlesbrough)
  • Lewis Wing 45' goal
Premier League
Feb 25, 2017 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Yohan Cabaye 30' yellowcard
  • Patrick van Aanholt 34' goal
  • James McArthur 76' yellowcard
  • Joel Ward 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Fabio 75'
Premier League
Sep 10, 2016 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Daniel Ayala 38' goal
  • Gaston Ramirez 60' yellowcard
  • goal Christian Benteke 17'
  • goal Wilfried Zaha 47'
  • yellowcard Joel Ward 82'
  • yellowcard Wilfried Zaha 95'
Championship
Feb 16, 2013 3.00pm
4
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Glenn Murray 9' goal
  • Peter Ramage 48' goal
  • Glenn Murray 57' goal
  • Kevin Phillips 84' goal
  • yellowcard Rhys Williams 40'
  • goal Faris Haroun 80'
Championship
Aug 25, 2012 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Seb Hines 41' goal
  • Merouane Zemmama 52' goal
  • Adam Reach 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Wilfried Zaha 43'
  • goal Jermaine Easter 56'
  • yellowcard Aaron Martin 88'
Championship
Feb 4, 2012 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Tony McMahon 65' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kagisho Dikgacoi 44'