Championship Gameweek 5
QPR
Sep 5, 2026 3.00pm
MATRADE Loftus Road
Middlesbrough

Queens Park Rangers vs Middlesbrough - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Queens Park Rangers

All competitions
Last game
Sep 2, 2026 7.45pm
QPR 2 - 1 Cardiff
Goals scored
7
Top scorer
Ilias Chair

Middlesbrough

All competitions
Last game
Sep 2, 2026 8.00pm
Burnley 1 - 1 Middlesbrough
Goals scored
7
Top scorer
Will Lankshear

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 42.09%. A win for Queens Park Rangers has a probability of 33.45% and a draw has a probability of 24.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (8.57%) and 0-2 (6.58%). The likeliest Queens Park Rangers win is 2-1 (7.86%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.22%).

Result

Queens Park Rangers 33.45% ▲ (+0.08)
Draw 24.45%
Middlesbrough 42.09%

Both Teams to Score: 

57.24% ▼ (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.08%
Under 1.5 21.92%
Over 2.5 55.2% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 2.5 44.8% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 3.5 32.35% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 67.65% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 4.5 18.64% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 4.5 81.36% ▲ (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Queens Park Rangers 23.67%
Draw 38.63%
Middlesbrough 37.7%

Team To Score First

Queens Park Rangers 39.34%
No Goal 5.92% ▲ (+0.02)
Middlesbrough 54.74% ▼ (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 52.95%
Equal 8 11.63%
Under 8 35.42%
Over 9 41.55%
Equal 9 11.4%
Under 9 47.05%
Over 10.5 31.26%
Under 10.5 68.74%

Queens Park Rangers Goals

Over 1.5 36.37% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 63.63% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 2.5 14.52%
Under 2.5 85.48%
Over 3.5 4.78%
Under 3.5 95.22%

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 0.5 74.39% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 0.5 25.61% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 1.5 43.29% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 1.5 56.71% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 2.5 19.44% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 80.56% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 3.5 7.11% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 92.89% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Queens Park Rangers 33.45%
Draw 24.46%
Middlesbrough 42.09%
Queens Park Rangers
2-1 @ 7.86%
1-0 @ 7.43% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 5.09% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 3.45% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 2.48%
3-2 @ 2.45%
Other @ 4.69% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 33.45%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.22% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.92% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.87% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.36% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.09% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 24.46%
Middlesbrough
1-2 @ 8.95% ▼ (-0.02)
0-1 @ 8.57% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 6.58% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 4.39% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 3.55%
2-3 @ 3.03%
Other @ 7.02% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 42.09%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 36
QPR
Mar 8, 2026 4.30pm
0
4
HT : 0 1
FT MATRADE Loftus Road
Middlesbrough
  • Paul Patrick Smyth 71' yellowcard
  • Daniel Bennie 80' yellowcard
  • Jake Clarke-Salter 80' yellowcard
  • Esquerdinha 85' yellowcard
  • Tylon Smith 85' yellowcard
  • goal David Strelec 20'
  • yellowcard Adilson Malanda 31'
  • yellowcard Tommy Conway 66'
  • yellowcard Jeremy Sarmiento 66'
  • goal Alan Browne 68'
  • goal Hayden Hackney 72'
  • yellowcard Alex Gilbert 83'
  • yellowcard Leo Castledine 83'
  • yellowcard Tommy Conway 88'
Championship
Middlesbrough
Dec 13, 2025 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT
QPR
  • David Strelec 30' goal
  • Riley McGree 32' yellowcard
  • Morgan Whittaker 36' goal
  • Tommy Conway 50' goal
  • goal Nicolas Madsen 70'
Championship Gameweek 37
Middlesbrough
Mar 11, 2025 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Riverside Stadium
QPR
  • Tommy Conway 11' goal
  • Anfernee Dijksteel 58' goal
  • goal Steve Cook 80'
Championship Gameweek 14
QPR
Nov 5, 2024 7.45pm
1
4
HT : 0 2
FT Kiyan Prince Foundation Stadium
Middlesbrough
  • Anfernee Dijksteel 69' goal
  • yellowcard Ben Doak 11'
  • goal Riley McGree 31'
  • goal Tommy Conway 35'
  • yellowcard Neto Borges 45'+3'
  • goal Emmanuel Latte Lath 87'
  • goal Dan Barlaser 90'+5'
Championship Gameweek 37
QPR
Mar 9, 2024 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Kiyan Prince Foundation Stadium
Middlesbrough
  • Isaac Hayden 64' yellowcard
  • Jake Clarke-Salter 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Marcus Forss 39'
  • goal Emmanuel Latte Lath 64'
  • yellowcard Lukas Engel 66'
  • goal Marcus Forss 76'
  • yellowcard Luke Ayling 80'
  • yellowcard Timothy Dieng 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Paddy McNair 90'+3'
Championship Gameweek 5
Middlesbrough
Sep 2, 2023 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Riverside Stadium
QPR
  • Sam Greenwood 77' yellowcard
  • goal Andre Dozzell 43'
  • yellowcard Jack Colback 50'
  • yellowcard Ilias Chair 65'
  • goal Jack Colback 71'

Form Data

QPR 2 - 1 Cardiff
Blackburn 1 - 2 QPR
QPR 0 - 0 Bolton
Portsmouth 1 - 3 QPR
QPR 1 - 1 Millwall
AFC Wimbledon 2 - 3 QPR
Burnley 1 - 1 Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough 3 - 1 West Brom
Doncaster 1 - 3 Middlesbrough
Blackburn 2 - 1 Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough 2 - 1 Lincoln
Middlesbrough 1 - 0 Wrexham