Championship Gameweek 2
Aug 22, 2026 3.00pm
Ewood Park

Blackburn Rovers vs Middlesbrough - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Blackburn Rovers

All competitions
Last game
Aug 14, 2026 8.00pm
Wolves 2 - 2 Blackburn

Middlesbrough

All competitions
Last game
Aug 15, 2026 3.00pm
Middlesbrough 2 - 1 Lincoln

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 45.68%. A draw has a probability of 27.24% and a win for Blackburn Rovers has a probability of 27.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win is 0-1 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.88%) and 0-2 (7.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.46%) , while for a Blackburn Rovers win it is 1-0 (8.66%).

Result

Blackburn Rovers 27.08% (+0.10)
Draw 27.24% (-0.02)
Middlesbrough 45.68% (-0.10)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.35% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.01% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 29.99% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 45.11% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 54.89% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 24.09% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 75.91% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 12.76% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 87.24% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Blackburn Rovers 20.89% (-0.06)
Draw 43.48% (+0.04)
Middlesbrough 35.63% (+0.02)

Team To Score First

Blackburn Rovers 35.54% (-0.24)
No Goal 9.07%
Middlesbrough 55.39% (+0.24)

Corners

Over 8 58.17%
Equal 8 11.4%
Under 8 30.43% (+0.01)
Over 9 46.57% (-0.01)
Equal 9 11.6%
Under 9 41.83%
Over 10.5 35.74%
Under 10.5 64.26%

Blackburn Rovers Goals

Over 1.5 26.33% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 73.67% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 8.47% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 91.53% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 2.16%
Under 3.5 97.84%

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 0.5 74.09% (-0.07)
Under 0.5 25.91% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 40.62% (-0.10)
Under 1.5 59.38% (+0.10)
Over 2.5 17.53% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 82.47% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 6.22% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 93.78% (+0.05)

Score analysis

Blackburn Rovers 27.09%
Draw 27.24%
Middlesbrough 45.68%
Blackburn Rovers
1-0 @ 8.66% (+0.03)
2-1 @ 6.5% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 4.45% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 2.24% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 1.73% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 1.5% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.01% (+0.01)
Total : 27.09%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.46%
0-0 @ 9.07%
2-2 @ 4.72%
Other @ 0.15% (-0.02)
Total : 27.24%
Middlesbrough
0-1 @ 12.27%
1-2 @ 8.88% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 7.99% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 4.37% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 3.91%
2-3 @ 2.19%
Other @ 6.07% (-0.03)
Total : 45.68%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 39
Mar 21, 2026 12.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Ewood Park
  • Todd Cantwell 64' yellowcard
  • Harry Pickering 64' yellowcard
  • Yuki Ohashi 75' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Leo Castledine 68'
  • yellowcard Jeremy Sarmiento 81'
  • yellowcard Alex Bangura 81'
Championship
Dec 26, 2025 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Alex Gilbert 31' yellowcard
  • Hayden Hackney 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ryoya Morishita 33'
  • yellowcard Moussa Baradji 57'
Championship Gameweek 40
Apr 4, 2025 8.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Ewood Park
  • Makhtar Gueye 23' yellowcard
  • John Buckley 62' yellowcard
  • goal Tommy Conway 2'
  • goal Samuel Iling-Junior 8'
FA Cup
Jan 11, 2025 12.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Riverside Stadium
  • Law McCabe 47' yellowcard
  • goal Andreas Weimann 70'
Championship Gameweek 17
Nov 27, 2024 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Riverside Stadium
  • Riley McGree 13' yellowcard
  • goal Dominic Hyam 77'
Championship Gameweek 38
Mar 16, 2024 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Riverside Stadium
  • Emmanuel Latte Lath 31' yellowcard
  • Luke Ayling 57' yellowcard
  • Sam Greenwood 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Scott Wharton 31'
  • yellowcard Ryan Hedges 81'
  • yellowcard Yasin Ayari 89'