Championship Gameweek 45
Apr 25, 2026 3.00pm
MATRADE Loftus Road

Queens Park Rangers vs Derby County - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Queens Park Rangers

All competitions
Last game
Apr 18, 2026 12.30pm
Millwall 2 - 0 QPR
Goals scored
58
Top scorer
Rayan Kolli

Derby County

All competitions
Last game
Apr 18, 2026 12.30pm
Derby 1 - 0 Oxford Utd
Goals scored
62
Top scorer
Patrick Agyemang

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Queens Park Rangers win with a probability of 49.11%. A win for Derby County has a probability of 27.18% and a draw has a probability of 23.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Queens Park Rangers win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest Derby County win is 1-2 (6.98%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.21%).

Result

Queens Park Rangers 49.11%
Draw 23.71%
Derby County 27.18%

Both Teams to Score: 

60.24%

Goals

Over 1.5 80.54%
Under 1.5 19.46%
Over 2.5 59.92%
Under 2.5 40.08%
Over 3.5 37.71%
Under 3.5 62.29%
Over 4.5 23.15%
Under 4.5 76.85%

First Half Winner

Queens Park Rangers 33.37%
Draw 44.32%
Derby County 22.32%

Team To Score First

Queens Park Rangers 55.35%
No Goal 5.18%
Derby County 39.47%

Corners

Over 8 59.22%
Equal 8 11.9%
Under 8 28.88%
Over 9 46.92%
Equal 9 12.3%
Under 9 40.78%
Over 10.5 35.34%
Under 10.5 64.66%

Queens Park Rangers Goals

Over 1.5 51.51%
Under 1.5 48.49%
Over 2.5 26.3%
Under 2.5 73.7%
Over 3.5 11.07%
Under 3.5 88.93%

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5 64.42%
Under 0.5 35.58%
Over 1.5 33.42%
Under 1.5 66.58%
Over 2.5 13.05%
Under 2.5 86.95%
Over 3.5 4.36%
Under 3.5 95.64%

Score analysis

Queens Park Rangers 49.1%
Draw 23.71%
Derby County 27.18%
Queens Park Rangers
2-1 @ 9.46%
1-0 @ 8.46%
2-0 @ 6.98%
3-1 @ 5.52%
3-0 @ 4.21%
3-2 @ 3.73%
Other @ 10.74%
Total : 49.1%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.21%
2-2 @ 6.22%
0-0 @ 5.18%
3-3 @ 1.77%
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 23.71%
Derby County
1-2 @ 6.98%
0-1 @ 5.81%
0-2 @ 3.44%
1-3 @ 2.81%
2-3 @ 2.55%
0-3 @ 1.56%
Other @ 4.03%
Total : 27.18%

Head to Head

Championship
Oct 25, 2025 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Championship Gameweek 33
Feb 14, 2025 8.00pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT Kiyan Prince Foundation Stadium
  • Ilias Chair 21' goal
  • Koki Saito 35' goal
  • Ilias Chair 57' goal
  • Ronnie Edwards 66' goal
  • yellowcard Nathaniel Mendez-Laing 65'
  • yellowcard Kayden Jackson 90'+4'
Championship Gameweek 9
Oct 5, 2024 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Pride Park Stadium
  • Eiran Cashin 38' yellowcard
  • Curtis Nelson 54' goal
  • Marcus Harness 55' goal
  • yellowcard Jimmy Dunne 90'+6'
Championship Gameweek 43
Apr 18, 2022 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Andre Dozzell 59' yellowcard
  • Sam Field 72' yellowcard
  • Luke Amos 88' goal
  • yellowcard Tom Lawrence 56'
  • redcard Tom Lawrence 90'+8'
Championship Gameweek 20
Nov 29, 2021 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Tom Lawrence 10' goal
  • goal Chris Willock 50'
  • goal Andre Gray 90'
  • yellowcard Andre Gray 90'+1'
Championship Gameweek 26
Jan 23, 2021 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Loftus Road Stadium
  • Geoff Cameron 31' yellowcard
  • Todd Kane 51' yellowcard
  • goal Colin Kazim-Richards 57'
  • yellowcard Graeme Shinnie 77'