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Harvey Vale
13'
-
Kealey Adamson
46'
-
Richard Kone
55'
-
R. Burrell
62'
-
Nicolas Madsen
62'
-
Ilias Chair
68'
-
Koki Saito
79'
-
Oscar Fraulo
25'
-
Craig Forsyth
61'
-
Jaydon Banel
61'
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Jaydon Banel
62'
-
David Ozoh
62'
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David Ozoh
63'
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Lars-Jørgen Salvesen
75'
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Sondre Langås
76'
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Jaydon Banel
88'
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Danny Batth
90'+1'
Queens Park Rangers vs Derby County - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queens Park Rangers win with a probability of 45.26%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 30.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queens Park Rangers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.13%) and 2-0 (6.37%). The likeliest Derby County win was 1-2 (7.31%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.
Result
Queens Park Rangers
45.26%
▼
(-0.07)
Draw
24.38%
Derby County
30.33%
▲
(+0.06)
Both Teams to Score:
60.84%
▼
(-0.33)
Goals
Over 1.5
80.3%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 1.5
19.7%
▲
(+0.06)
Over 2.5
59.23%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 2.5
40.77%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 3.5
38.14%
▼
(-0.09)
Under 3.5
61.86%
▲
(+0.09)
Over 4.5
23.6%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 4.5
76.4%
▲
(+0.06)
First Half Winner
Queens Park Rangers
31.75%
▼
(-0.08)
Draw
44.3%
Derby County
23.95%
▲
(+0.08)
Team To Score First
Queens Park Rangers
52.23%
▼
(-0.18)
No Goal
5.34%
▲
(+0.04)
Derby County
42.43%
▲
(+0.15)
Corners
Over 8
58.66%
▲
(+0.64)
Equal 8
12.06%
▲
(+0.09)
Under 8
29.28%
▼
(-0.72)
Over 9
46.24%
▲
(+0.47)
Equal 9
12.42%
▲
(+0.17)
Under 9
41.34%
▼
(-0.64)
Over 10.5
34.62%
▲
(+0.28)
Under 10.5
65.38%
▼
(-0.29)
Queens Park Rangers Goals
Over 1.5
48.56%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 1.5
51.44%
▲
(+0.08)
Over 2.5
24.37%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 2.5
75.63%
▲
(+0.05)
Over 3.5
10.28%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 3.5
89.72%
▲
(+0.02)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5
66.89%
Under 0.5
33.11%
Over 1.5
36.37%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 1.5
63.63%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 2.5
14.95%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 2.5
85.05%
▼
(-0.05)
Over 3.5
5.34%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 3.5
94.66%
▲
(+0.01)
Score analysis
Queens Park Rangers
45.26%
Draw
24.38%
Derby County
30.33%
Queens Park Rangers
2-1
@
8.78%
▲
(+0.01)
1-0 @ 8.13%
2-0 @ 6.37% ▼ (-0.04)
3-1 @ 5.11% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.63% ▼ (-0.04)
3-0 @ 3.39% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 9.85% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 45.26%
1-0 @ 8.13%
2-0 @ 6.37% ▼ (-0.04)
3-1 @ 5.11% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.63% ▼ (-0.04)
3-0 @ 3.39% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 9.85% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 45.26%
Draw
1-1
@
10.43%
▼
(-0.02)
2-2 @ 6.22% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 5.34% ▲ (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.96%
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 24.38%
2-2 @ 6.22% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 5.34% ▲ (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.96%
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 24.38%
Derby County
1-2
@
7.31%
▲
(+0.02)
0-1 @ 6.2% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 4.26% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 3.22%
2-3 @ 2.82% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.61% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 4.91% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 30.33%
0-1 @ 6.2% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 4.26% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 3.22%
2-3 @ 2.82% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.61% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 4.91% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 30.33%
Tom Lawrence
90'+8'