Championship
Aug 29, 2026 12.30pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT Riverside Stadium
  • Will Lankshear 48' goal
  • Will Lankshear 73' goal
  • Alfie Jones 87' goal
  • yellowcard Ousmane Diakité 61'
  • goal Jimmy-Jay Morgan 65'

Middlesbrough vs West Bromwich Albion - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Middlesbrough

All competitions
Last game
Aug 22, 2026 3.00pm
Blackburn 2 - 1 Middlesbrough
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
Will Lankshear

West Bromwich Albion

All competitions
Last game
Aug 23, 2026 12.00pm
West Brom 3 - 1 Burnley
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
Jimmy-Jay Morgan

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 50.64%. A draw had a probability of 24.97% and a win for West Bromwich Albion had a probability of 24.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.22%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.59%) , while for a West Bromwich Albion win it was 0-1 (6.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result

Middlesbrough 50.64% ▲ (+0.07)
Draw 24.97% ▼ (-0.02)
West Bromwich Albion 24.39%

Both Teams to Score: 

52.64% ▼ (-0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.46% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 24.54% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 2.5 52% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 2.5 48% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 3.5 29.26% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 3.5 70.74% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 4.5 16.78% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 4.5 83.22% ▼ (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Middlesbrough 37.85% ▲ (+0.06)
Draw 42.07% ▼ (-0.04)
West Bromwich Albion 20.09%

Team To Score First

Middlesbrough 57.5% ▲ (+0.04)
No Goal 6.79%
West Bromwich Albion 35.71% ▼ (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 53.75% ▲ (+0.10)
Equal 8 11.19% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 8 35.07% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 9 42.69% ▲ (+0.09)
Equal 9 11.06%
Under 9 46.25% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 10.5 32.6% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 10.5 67.4% ▼ (-0.09)

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 1.5 48.26% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 51.74% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 22.69% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 77.31% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 8.57%
Under 3.5 91.43%

West Bromwich Albion Goals

Over 0.5 60.86%
Under 0.5 39.14%
Over 1.5 27.03% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 72.97% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 8.98% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 91.02% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 2.38%
Under 3.5 97.62%

Score analysis

Middlesbrough 50.64%
Draw 24.97%
West Bromwich Albion 24.39%
Middlesbrough
1-0 @ 10.78% ▲ (+0.02)
2-1 @ 10.22% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.29% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 5.05% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 4.88% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 3.02% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 8.4% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 50.64%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.59% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.79%
2-2 @ 5.25%
3-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 0.17% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 24.97%
West Bromwich Albion
0-1 @ 6.97% ▲ (+0.02)
1-2 @ 6.2% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 3.58%
1-3 @ 2.19%
2-3 @ 1.81%
0-3 @ 1.43% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.21% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 24.39%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 27
Jan 16, 2026 8.00pm
2
3
HT : 0 1
FT The Hawthorns
  • Jed Wallace 64' yellowcard
  • 64' yellowcard
  • Josh Maja 64' yellowcard
  • Jed Wallace  64' yellowcard
  • Isaac Price 75' goal
  • George Campbell 76' yellowcard
  • Jed Wallace 80' goal
  • Jed Wallace  80' goal
  • Daryl Dike 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Daryl Dike  90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Charlie Taylor 42' (OG)
  • goal Sammy Silvera 58'
  • goal Sam Silvera 58'
  • yellowcard 64'
  • yellowcard Delano Burgzorg 65'
  • yellowcard Dael Fry 82'
  • goal Delano Burgzorg 90'
  • yellowcard Leo Castledine 90'+2'
Championship
Sep 19, 2025 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Championship Gameweek 28
Jan 21, 2025 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Riverside Stadium
  • Hayden Hackney 29' goal
  • Dael Fry 79' yellowcard
  • Ben Doak 83' goal
Championship Gameweek 8
Oct 1, 2024 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT The Hawthorns
  • Alex Mowatt 34' yellowcard
  • Uros Racic 59' yellowcard
  • goal Hayden Hackney 74'
  • yellowcard Isaiah Jones 90'+6'
Championship Gameweek 23
Dec 23, 2023 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Riverside Stadium
  • Morgan Rogers 40' goal
  • Jonny Howson 52' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Cedric Kipre 15'
  • yellowcard Darnell Furlong 65'
Championship Gameweek 4
Aug 26, 2023 3.00pm
4
2
HT : 4 2
FT The Hawthorns
  • Cedric Kipre 22' goal
  • Cedric Kipre 22' goal
  • John Swift 28' goal
  • John Swift 28' goal
  • Brandon Thomas-Asante 47' goal
  • Semi Ajayi 74' yellowcard
  • Jeremy Sarmiento 90'+1' goal
  • Jeremy Sarmiento 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Emmanuel Latte Lath 29'
  • goal Emmanuel Latte Lath 29'
  • yellowcard Tommy Smith 32'
  • yellowcard Tommy Smith 32'
  • yellowcard Morgan Rogers 44'
  • redcard Tommy Smith 51'
  • goal Marcus Forss 85'