Championship Gameweek 3
Middlesbrough
Aug 29, 2026 12.30pm
Riverside Stadium
West Brom

Middlesbrough vs West Bromwich Albion - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Middlesbrough

All competitions
Last game
Aug 22, 2026 3.00pm
Blackburn 2 - 1 Middlesbrough
Goals scored
3
Top scorer
Will Lankshear

West Bromwich Albion

All competitions
Last game
Aug 23, 2026 12.00pm
West Brom 3 - 1 Burnley
Goals scored
5
Top scorer
Isaac Price

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 50.58%. A draw has a probability of 24.99% and a win for West Bromwich Albion has a probability of 24.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (10.23%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.6%) , while for a West Bromwich Albion win it is 0-1 (6.95%).

Result

Middlesbrough 50.58% ▲ (+4.37)
Draw 24.99% ▼ (-1.07)
West Bromwich Albion 24.39% ▼ (-3.38)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.65% ▲ (+1.40)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.47% ▲ (+2.25)
Under 1.5 24.53% ▼ (-2.25)
Over 2.5 52.01% ▲ (+3.15)
Under 2.5 47.99% ▼ (-3.15)
Over 3.5 29.22% ▲ (+2.35)
Under 3.5 70.78% ▼ (-2.35)
Over 4.5 16.75% ▲ (+1.99)
Under 4.5 83.25% ▼ (-1.99)

First Half Winner

Middlesbrough 37.8% ▲ (+3.06)
Draw 42.11% ▼ (-0.72)
West Bromwich Albion 20.09% ▼ (-2.34)

Team To Score First

Middlesbrough 57.47% ▲ (+4.43)
No Goal 6.79% ▼ (-0.88)
West Bromwich Albion 35.74% ▼ (-3.56)

Corners

Over 8 53.66% ▼ (-0.15)
Equal 8 11.2% ▼ (-0.16)
Under 8 35.15% ▲ (+0.30)
Over 9 42.6% ▲ (+0.03)
Equal 9 11.06% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 9 46.34% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 10.5 32.51% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 10.5 67.49% ▼ (-0.16)

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 1.5 48.23% ▲ (+5.01)
Under 1.5 51.77% ▼ (-5.01)
Over 2.5 22.67% ▲ (+3.91)
Under 2.5 77.33% ▼ (-3.91)
Over 3.5 8.57% ▲ (+2.17)
Under 3.5 91.43% ▼ (-2.17)

West Bromwich Albion Goals

Over 0.5 60.86% ▼ (-1.97)
Under 0.5 39.14% ▲ (+1.97)
Over 1.5 27.05% ▼ (-1.69)
Under 1.5 72.95% ▲ (+1.69)
Over 2.5 9% ▼ (-0.94)
Under 2.5 91% ▲ (+0.94)
Over 3.5 2.38% ▼ (-0.37)
Under 3.5 97.62% ▲ (+0.36)

Score analysis

Middlesbrough 50.58%
Draw 24.99%
West Bromwich Albion 24.4%
Middlesbrough
1-0 @ 10.76% ▼ (-0.42)
2-1 @ 10.23% ▲ (+0.77)
2-0 @ 8.27% ▲ (+0.32)
3-1 @ 5.03% ▲ (+0.54)
3-0 @ 4.9% ▲ (+0.81)
3-2 @ 3% ▲ (+0.30)
Other @ 8.39% ▲ (+2.08)
Total : 50.58%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.6% ▼ (-0.56)
0-0 @ 6.79% ▼ (-0.88)
2-2 @ 5.25% ▲ (+0.16)
3-3 @ 1.17% ▲ (+0.11)
Other @ 0.18% ▲ (+0.10)
Total : 24.99%
West Bromwich Albion
0-1 @ 6.95% ▼ (-1.04)
1-2 @ 6.22% ▼ (-0.52)
0-2 @ 3.58% ▼ (-0.68)
1-3 @ 2.19% ▼ (-0.31)
2-3 @ 1.81% ▼ (-0.13)
0-3 @ 1.45% ▼ (-0.26)
Other @ 2.2% ▼ (-0.46)
Total : 24.4%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 27
West Brom
Jan 16, 2026 8.00pm
2
3
HT : 0 1
FT The Hawthorns
Middlesbrough
  • Jed Wallace 64' yellowcard
  • 64' yellowcard
  • Josh Maja 64' yellowcard
  • Jed Wallace  64' yellowcard
  • Isaac Price 75' goal
  • George Campbell 76' yellowcard
  • Jed Wallace 80' goal
  • Jed Wallace  80' goal
  • Daryl Dike 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Daryl Dike  90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Charlie Taylor 42' (OG)
  • goal Sammy Silvera 58'
  • goal Sam Silvera 58'
  • yellowcard 64'
  • yellowcard Delano Burgzorg 65'
  • yellowcard Dael Fry 82'
  • goal Delano Burgzorg 90'
  • yellowcard Leo Castledine 90'+2'
Championship
Middlesbrough
Sep 19, 2025 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
West Brom
Championship Gameweek 28
Middlesbrough
Jan 21, 2025 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Riverside Stadium
West Brom
  • Hayden Hackney 29' goal
  • Dael Fry 79' yellowcard
  • Ben Doak 83' goal
Championship Gameweek 8
West Brom
Oct 1, 2024 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT The Hawthorns
Middlesbrough
  • Alex Mowatt 34' yellowcard
  • Uros Racic 59' yellowcard
  • goal Hayden Hackney 74'
  • yellowcard Isaiah Jones 90'+6'
Championship Gameweek 23
Middlesbrough
Dec 23, 2023 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Riverside Stadium
West Brom
  • Morgan Rogers 40' goal
  • Jonny Howson 52' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Cedric Kipre 15'
  • yellowcard Darnell Furlong 65'
Championship Gameweek 4
West Brom
Aug 26, 2023 3.00pm
4
2
HT : 4 2
FT The Hawthorns
Middlesbrough
  • Cedric Kipre 22' goal
  • Cedric Kipre 22' goal
  • John Swift 28' goal
  • John Swift 28' goal
  • Brandon Thomas-Asante 47' goal
  • Semi Ajayi 74' yellowcard
  • Jeremy Sarmiento 90'+1' goal
  • Jeremy Sarmiento 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Emmanuel Latte Lath 29'
  • goal Emmanuel Latte Lath 29'
  • yellowcard Tommy Smith 32'
  • yellowcard Tommy Smith 32'
  • yellowcard Morgan Rogers 44'
  • redcard Tommy Smith 51'
  • goal Marcus Forss 85'

Form Data

Doncaster 1 - 3 Middlesbrough
Blackburn 2 - 1 Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough 2 - 1 Lincoln
Middlesbrough 1 - 0 Wrexham
Middlesbrough 3 - 3 Espanyol
Middlesbrough 0 - 0 Huddersfield
Newcastle 3 - 2 West Brom
West Brom 3 - 1 Burnley
Norwich 1 - 2 West Brom
Rotherham 1 - 4 West Brom
Peterborough 0 - 2 West Brom
Shrewsbury 1 - 4 West Brom