EFL Cup
Sep 9, 2026 8.00pm
Stamford Bridge

Chelsea vs Leeds United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Chelsea

All competitions

Leeds United

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Chelsea win with a probability of 57.93%. A draw has a probability of 21.13% and a win for Leeds United has a probability of 20.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.39%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.37%) , while for a Leeds United win it is 1-2 (5.31%).

Result

Chelsea 57.93% (-1.11)
Draw 21.13% (+0.31)
Leeds United 20.89% (+0.70)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.44% (-0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.33% (-0.44)
Under 1.5 18.67% (+0.45)
Over 2.5 61.14% (-0.61)
Under 2.5 38.86% (+0.61)
Over 3.5 39% (-0.65)
Under 3.5 61% (+0.65)
Over 4.5 24.64% (-0.65)
Under 4.5 75.36% (+0.65)

First Half Winner

Chelsea 41.46%
Draw 38.9%
Leeds United 19.65%

Team To Score First

Chelsea 61.84% (-0.08)
No Goal 4.63% (+0.12)
Leeds United 33.53% (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 59.6%
Equal 8 10.73%
Under 8 29.66%
Over 9 48.51%
Equal 9 11.09%
Under 9 40.4%
Over 10.5 37.94%
Under 10.5 62.06%

Chelsea Goals

Over 1.5 57.69% (-1.11)
Under 1.5 42.31% (+1.11)
Over 2.5 32% (-1.08)
Under 2.5 68% (+1.08)
Over 3.5 14.16% (-0.73)
Under 3.5 85.84% (+0.72)

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5 58% (+0.71)
Under 0.5 42% (-0.71)
Over 1.5 27.61% (+0.54)
Under 1.5 72.39% (-0.54)
Over 2.5 9.56% (+0.25)
Under 2.5 90.44% (-0.25)
Over 3.5 3.08% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 96.92% (-0.08)

Score analysis

Chelsea 57.92%
Draw 21.13%
Leeds United 20.9%
Chelsea
2-1 @ 9.87% (-0.02)
1-0 @ 9.39% (+0.07)
2-0 @ 8.03% (-0.11)
3-1 @ 6.55% (-0.15)
3-0 @ 5.83% (-0.17)
3-2 @ 4.18% (-0.05)
Other @ 14.07% (-0.71)
Total : 57.92%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.37% (+0.16)
2-2 @ 5.76% (+0.05)
0-0 @ 4.63% (+0.12)
3-3 @ 1.28% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.09% (-0.02)
Total : 21.13%
Leeds United
1-2 @ 5.31% (+0.16)
0-1 @ 4.6% (+0.16)
0-2 @ 2.8% (+0.12)
1-3 @ 2.04% (+0.09)
2-3 @ 2.03% (+0.04)
0-3 @ 1.13% (+0.06)
Other @ 2.99% (+0.10)
Total : 20.9%

Head to Head

FA Cup
Apr 26, 2026 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Wembley Stadium
  • Enzo Fernández 23' goal
  • Andrey Santos 66' yellowcard
  • Cole Palmer 71' yellowcard
  • Liam Delap 90'+8' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joe Rodon 46'
  • yellowcard Anton Stach 46'
  • yellowcard Wilfried Gnonto 74'
  • yellowcard Lukas Nmecha 74'
  • yellowcard Sean Longstaff 86'
Premier League Gameweek 26
Feb 10, 2026 7.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT Stamford Bridge
  • João Pedro 24' goal
  • Jorrel Hato 46' yellowcard
  • Cole Palmer 58' yellowcard
  • Pedro Neto 64' yellowcard
  • Wesley Fofana 79' yellowcard
  • Liam Delap 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Noah Okafor 55'
  • yellowcard Lukas Nmecha 67'
  • goal Noah Okafor 73'
  • yellowcard Daniel James 82'
  • yellowcard Sean Longstaff 90'+5'
Premier League
Dec 3, 2025 8.15pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Jaka Bijol 6' goal
  • Anton Stach 35' yellowcard
  • Ao Tanaka 43' goal
  • Dominic Calvert-Lewin 72' goal
  • yellowcard Estevao Willian 39'
  • goal Pedro Neto 50'
FA Cup
Feb 28, 2024 7.30pm
3
2
HT : 2 1
FT Stamford Bridge
  • Nicolas Jackson 15' goal
  • Mykhaylo Mudryk 37' goal
  • Trevoh Chalobah 40' yellowcard
  • Enzo Fernandez 41' yellowcard
  • Moises Caicedo 49' yellowcard
  • Conor Gallagher 90' goal
  • goal Mateo Fernandez 8'
  • goal Mateo Fernandez 59'
  • yellowcard Junior Firpo 69'
Premier League Gameweek 26
Mar 4, 2023 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Wesley Fofana 53' goal
Premier League Gameweek 3
Aug 21, 2022 2.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Brenden Aaronson 33' goal
  • Rodrigo 37' goal
  • Jack Harrison 69' goal
  • yellowcard Kalidou Koulibaly 9'
  • yellowcard Raheem Sterling 36'
  • redcard Kalidou Koulibaly 84'