Europa League Gameweek 1
Sep 17, 2026 8.00pm
Selhurst Park

Crystal Palace vs Lech Poznan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Crystal Palace

All competitions

Lech Poznan

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 41.76%. A win for Crystal Palace has a probability of 34.2% and a draw has a probability of 24.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (8.37%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win is 2-1 (7.71%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.77%).

Result

Crystal Palace 34.2% (+0.06)
Draw 24.08% (-0.35)
Lech Poznan 41.76% (+0.33)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.48% (+2.83)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.41% (+1.93)
Under 1.5 21.59% (-1.93)
Over 2.5 55.9% (+2.61)
Under 2.5 44.1% (-2.61)
Over 3.5 33.56% (+2.74)
Under 3.5 66.44% (-2.74)
Over 4.5 19.63% (+1.76)
Under 4.5 80.37% (-1.76)

First Half Winner

Crystal Palace 23.78% (-1.00)
Draw 40.94% (-1.03)
Lech Poznan 35.29% (+2.04)

Team To Score First

Crystal Palace 40.79% (-0.99)
No Goal 5.74% (-0.69)
Lech Poznan 53.47% (+1.68)

Corners

Over 8 48.74% (-2.43)
Equal 8 11.72% (-0.13)
Under 8 39.54% (+2.57)
Over 9 37.6% (-2.11)
Equal 9 11.14% (-0.34)
Under 9 51.26% (+2.43)
Over 10.5 27.85% (-1.64)
Under 10.5 72.15% (+1.65)

Crystal Palace Goals

Over 1.5 37.26% (+1.93)
Under 1.5 62.74% (-1.93)
Over 2.5 15.3% (+1.27)
Under 2.5 84.7% (-1.26)
Over 3.5 5.19% (+0.63)
Under 3.5 94.81% (-0.63)

Lech Poznan Goals

Over 0.5 73.91% (+1.26)
Under 0.5 26.09% (-1.27)
Over 1.5 43.55% (+1.95)
Under 1.5 56.45% (-1.95)
Over 2.5 19.96% (+0.86)
Under 2.5 80.04% (-0.85)
Over 3.5 7.68% (+0.28)
Under 3.5 92.32% (-0.29)

Score analysis

Crystal Palace 34.2%
Draw 24.08%
Lech Poznan 41.76%
Crystal Palace
2-1 @ 7.71% (-0.05)
1-0 @ 7.52% (-0.73)
2-0 @ 5.23% (-0.34)
3-1 @ 3.51% (+0.28)
3-0 @ 2.65% (-0.13)
3-2 @ 2.59% (+0.32)
Other @ 4.99% (+0.67)
Total : 34.2%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.77% (-0.48)
2-2 @ 6.01% (+0.71)
0-0 @ 5.74% (-0.69)
3-3 @ 1.36% (+0.18)
Other @ 0.2% (-0.04)
Total : 24.08%
Lech Poznan
1-2 @ 8.49% (-0.02)
0-1 @ 8.37% (-0.47)
0-2 @ 6.5% (+0.10)
1-3 @ 4.42%
0-3 @ 3.49% (+0.07)
2-3 @ 3.01% (+0.34)
Other @ 7.48% (+0.33)
Total : 41.76%