Europa League
Aug 20, 2026 6.00pm
Enea stadion

Lech Poznan vs Thun - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Lech Poznan

All competitions

Thun

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 55.66%. A win for Thun has a probability of 23.53% and a draw has a probability of 20.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (7.13%) and 1-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Thun win is 1-2 (5.74%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (8.45%).

Result

Lech Poznan 55.66% (+0.03)
Draw 20.81%
Thun 23.53% (-0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

64.44% (-0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 85.9% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 14.1% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 67.76%
Under 2.5 32.24%
Over 3.5 45.95%
Under 3.5 54.05%
Over 4.5 30.69% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 69.31% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Lech Poznan 41.72%
Draw 37.55%
Thun 20.73%

Team To Score First

Lech Poznan 64.22%
No Goal 3.31%
Thun 32.47%

Corners

Over 8 62.64%
Equal 8 9.7%
Under 8 27.66%
Over 9 52.35%
Equal 9 10.29%
Under 9 37.36%
Over 10.5 42.23%
Under 10.5 57.77%

Lech Poznan Goals

Over 1.5 60.5% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 39.5% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 34.69% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 65.31% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 16.22% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 83.78% (-0.04)

Thun Goals

Over 0.5 61.8% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 38.2% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 33.21% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 66.79% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 13.99% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 86.01% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 5.48% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 94.52% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Lech Poznan 55.67%
Draw 20.81%
Thun 23.53%
Lech Poznan
2-1 @ 9.75%
2-0 @ 7.13% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 6.82%
3-1 @ 6.41%
3-0 @ 5.2%
3-2 @ 4.61%
Other @ 15.75% (+0.03)
Total : 55.67%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.45%
2-2 @ 6.33%
0-0 @ 3.31%
3-3 @ 2.25%
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 20.81%
Thun
1-2 @ 5.74%
0-1 @ 3.98%
2-3 @ 2.6%
1-3 @ 2.55%
0-2 @ 2.54% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 5.01% (-0.01)
Total : 23.53%