Jul 25, 2026 7.30pm

1

3

HT : 1 1

FT swissporarena

Stefan Knezevic 2'
Pius Dorn 50'
Andrejs Ciganiks 83'
Mio Zimmermann 89'

Nico Maier 8'
Marc Gutbub 51'
Nicolas Bürgy 72'
Nicolas Bürgy 84'

Luzern vs Thun - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Luzern

All competitions

L
W
W
W
W
W

Swiss Super League

W
W
D
W
D
L

Last game

May 16, 2026 5.00pm

Winterthur 0 - 3 Luzern

Thun

All competitions

D
L
D
W
D
L

Swiss Super League

D
L
L
L
W
L

Last game

May 17, 2026 3.30pm

St Gallen 1 - 1 Thun

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luzern win with a probability of 42.32%. A win for Thun had a probability of 34.46% and a draw had a probability of 23.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luzern win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.01%) and 2-0 (5.73%). The likeliest Thun win was 1-2 (7.98%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.

Result

Luzern 42.32%

Draw 23.18%

Thun 34.46% ▲ (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score:

63.26% ▲ (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 82.49% ▲ (+0.05)

Under 1.5 17.51% ▼ (-0.05)

Over 2.5 61.78% ▲ (+0.07)

Under 2.5 38.22% ▼ (-0.07)

Over 3.5 39.7% ▲ (+0.08)

Under 3.5 60.3% ▼ (-0.08)

Over 4.5 24.06% ▲ (+0.04)

Under 4.5 75.94% ▼ (-0.05)

First Half Winner

Luzern 33.58%

Draw 36.72%

Thun 29.7%

Team To Score First

Luzern 51.61%

No Goal 4.31%

Thun 44.08%

Corners

Over 8 74.4%

Equal 8 9.23%

Under 8 16.37%

Over 9 63.47%

Equal 9 10.92%

Under 9 25.6%

Over 10.5 51.77%

Under 10.5 48.23%

Luzern Goals

Over 1.5 47.12% ▲ (+0.04)

Under 1.5 52.88% ▼ (-0.04)

Over 2.5 22.82% ▲ (+0.04)

Under 2.5 77.18% ▼ (-0.03)

Over 3.5 8.78% ▲ (+0.01)

Under 3.5 91.22% ▼ (-0.02)

Thun Goals

Over 0.5 71.21% ▲ (+0.05)

Under 0.5 28.79% ▼ (-0.06)

Over 1.5 41.01% ▲ (+0.08)

Under 1.5 58.99% ▼ (-0.08)

Over 2.5 17.52% ▲ (+0.04)

Under 2.5 82.48% ▼ (-0.04)

Over 3.5 6.39% ▲ (+0.02)

Under 3.5 93.61% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Luzern 42.33%

Draw 23.19%

Thun 34.47%

Luzern

2-1 @ 8.66%

1-0 @ 7.01% ▼ (-0.01)

2-0 @ 5.73%

3-1 @ 5.08%

3-2 @ 4.12% ▲ (+0.01)

3-0 @ 3.11%

Other @ 8.62%

Total : 42.33%

Draw

1-1 @ 10.28% ▼ (-0.03)

2-2 @ 6.71% ▲ (+0.01)

0-0 @ 4.31%

3-3 @ 1.73% ▲ (+0.02)

Other @ 0.16% ▲ (+0.02)

Total : 23.19%

Thun

1-2 @ 7.98%

0-1 @ 6.18%

0-2 @ 4.68% ▲ (+0.01)

1-3 @ 3.85% ▲ (+0.02)

2-3 @ 3.2%

0-3 @ 2.35%

Other @ 6.23% ▲ (+0.02)

Total : 34.47%

Head to Head

Feb 28, 2026 5.00pm

2

1

HT : 2 1

FT Stockhorn Arena

Kastriot Imeri 24'
Elmin Rastoder 29'
Justin Roth 61'
Genís Montolio 62'
Furkan Dursun 71'
Franz-Ethan Meichtry 71'
Lucien Dähler 85'

Oscar Kabwit 43'
Julian Von Moos 59'
Levin Winkler 59'
Sinan Karweina 74'
Andrej Vasovic 87'

Dec 6, 2025 5.00pm

4

1

HT : 3 0

FT

Brighton Labeau 18'
Genís Montolio Lafuente 34'
Jan Bamert 36'
Marco Burki 57'
Franz-Ethan Meichtry 58'
87'
Adam Ilic 87'

Adrian Bajrami 33'
Vars Villiger 90'+2'

Aug 9, 2025 7.30pm

1

2

HT : 0 0

FT

Jul 5, 2020 3.00pm

3

0

HT : 2 0

FT Swissporarena

Lucas Alves 10'
Francesco Margiotta 13'
Pascal Schurpf 62'

Nikki Havenaar 15'
Leonardo Bertone 15'
Justin Roth 74'

Feb 22, 2020 6.00pm

1

1

HT : 1 1

FT Stockhorn Arena

Ridge Munsy 9'
Miguel Castroman 37'
Hassane Bande 81'

Francesco Margiotta 4'
Darian Males 19'
Marco Burki 44'

Oct 5, 2019 6.00pm

0

2

HT : 0 0

FT Stockhorn Arena (Thun)

Nikki Havenaar 76'

Francesco Margiotta 51'
Ibrahima Ndiaye 67'
Darian Males 79'
Shkelqim Demhasaj 89'

Form Data

Luzern 1 - 2 Sint-Truiden

Wil 0 - 2 Luzern

Luzern 3 - 2 Winterthur

Luzern 3 - 2 SLO

Winterthur 0 - 3 Luzern

Luzern 1 - 0 FC Zurich

Thun 1 - 1 Dinamo Zagreb

Thun 1 - 2 W. Mannheim

Thun 1 - 1 Elversberg

Thun 6 - 2 Neuchatel Xamax

St Gallen 1 - 1 Thun

Thun 3 - 8 Young Boys