Swiss Super League Gameweek 1
Jul 25, 2026 7.30pm
swissporarena

Luzern vs Thun - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Luzern

All competitions
Swiss Super League
Last game
May 16, 2026 5.00pm
Winterthur 0 - 3 Luzern

Thun

All competitions
Swiss Super League
Last game
May 17, 2026 3.30pm
St Gallen 1 - 1 Thun

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Luzern win with a probability of 42.32%. A win for Thun has a probability of 34.43% and a draw has a probability of 23.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luzern win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.02%) and 2-0 (5.73%). The likeliest Thun win is 1-2 (7.98%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.3%).

Result

Luzern 42.32% (+0.07)
Draw 23.18% (-0.06)
Thun 34.43% (-0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

63.22% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 82.44% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 17.56% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 61.72% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 38.28% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 39.63%
Under 3.5 60.37%
Over 4.5 24.02% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 75.98% (-0.01)

First Half Winner

Luzern 33.58% (+0.02)
Draw 36.72%
Thun 29.7% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Luzern 51.61%
No Goal 4.31% (-0.04)
Thun 44.08% (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 74.4% (-0.09)
Equal 8 9.23% (+0.02)
Under 8 16.37% (+0.08)
Over 9 63.47% (-0.13)
Equal 9 10.92% (+0.02)
Under 9 25.6% (+0.09)
Over 10.5 51.77% (-0.12)
Under 10.5 48.23% (+0.12)

Luzern Goals

Over 1.5 47.08% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 52.92% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 22.79% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 77.21% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 8.77% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 91.23% (-0.04)

Thun Goals

Over 0.5 71.16% (-0.11)
Under 0.5 28.84% (+0.11)
Over 1.5 40.94% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 59.06% (+0.07)
Over 2.5 17.48% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 82.52% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 6.37% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 93.63% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Luzern 42.33%
Draw 23.18%
Thun 34.44%
Luzern
2-1 @ 8.66% (+0.02)
1-0 @ 7.02% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 5.73%
3-1 @ 5.08% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 4.11%
3-0 @ 3.11% (+0.01)
Other @ 8.62% (+0.03)
Total : 42.33%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.3% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 6.7%
0-0 @ 4.31% (-0.04)
3-3 @ 1.72% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 23.18%
Thun
1-2 @ 7.98%
0-1 @ 6.18% (-0.05)
0-2 @ 4.67% (-0.04)
1-3 @ 3.84% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 3.2%
0-3 @ 2.35%
Other @ 6.22% (-0.02)
Total : 34.44%

Head to Head

Swiss Super League Gameweek 27
Feb 28, 2026 5.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT Stockhorn Arena
  • Kastriot Imeri 24' goal
  • Elmin Rastoder 29' goal
  • Justin Roth 61' yellowcard
  • Genís Montolio 62' yellowcard
  • Furkan Dursun 71' yellowcard
  • Franz-Ethan Meichtry 71' yellowcard
  • Lucien Dähler 85' yellowcard
  • goal Oscar Kabwit 43'
  • yellowcard Julian Von Moos 59'
  • yellowcard Levin Winkler 59'
  • yellowcard Sinan Karweina 74'
  • yellowcard Andrej Vasovic 87'
Swiss Super League
Dec 6, 2025 5.00pm
4
1
HT : 3 0
FT
  • Brighton Labeau 18' goal
  • Genís Montolio Lafuente 34' goal
  • Jan Bamert 36' goal
  • Marco Burki 57' yellowcard
  • Franz-Ethan Meichtry 58' goal
  • 87' yellowcard
  • Adam Ilic 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Adrian Bajrami 33'
  • goal Vars Villiger 90'+2'
Swiss Super League
Aug 9, 2025 7.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Swiss Super League Gameweek 28
Jul 5, 2020 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Swissporarena
  • Lucas Alves 10' goal
  • Francesco Margiotta 13' goal
  • Pascal Schurpf 62' goal
  • yellowcard Nikki Havenaar 15'
  • yellowcard Leonardo Bertone 15'
  • yellowcard Justin Roth 74'
Swiss Super League Gameweek 23
Feb 22, 2020 6.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stockhorn Arena
  • Ridge Munsy 9' goal
  • Miguel Castroman 37' yellowcard
  • Hassane Bande 81' yellowcard
  • goal Francesco Margiotta 4'
  • yellowcard Darian Males 19'
  • yellowcard Marco Burki 44'
Swiss Super League Gameweek 10
Oct 5, 2019 6.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Stockhorn Arena (Thun)
  • Nikki Havenaar 76' yellowcard
  • goal Francesco Margiotta 51'
  • yellowcard Ibrahima Ndiaye 67'
  • goal Darian Males 79'
  • yellowcard Shkelqim Demhasaj 89'