Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luzern win with a probability of 51.71%. A win for FC Zurich had a probability of 24.78% and a draw had a probability of 23.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luzern win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.76%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest FC Zurich win was 1-2 (6.28%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.