Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sion win with a probability of 38.24%. A win for Thun had a probability of 36.37% and a draw had a probability of 25.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sion win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.1%) and 2-0 (5.82%). The likeliest Thun win was 1-2 (8.33%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.