Swiss Super League Gameweek 38
May 16, 2026 5.00pm
Stadion Schützenwiese

FC Winterthur vs Luzern - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Winterthur

All competitions
Swiss Super League
Last game
May 12, 2026 7.30pm
Grasshopper 3 - 2 Winterthur
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Andrin Hunziker

Luzern

All competitions
Swiss Super League
Last game
May 12, 2026 7.30pm
Luzern 1 - 0 FC Zurich
Goals scored
71
Top scorer
Oscar Kabwit

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Luzern win with a probability of 48.83%. A win for FC Winterthur has a probability of 28.08% and a draw has a probability of 23.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luzern win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (7.48%) and 0-2 (6.83%). The likeliest FC Winterthur win is 2-1 (6.52%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.99%).

Result

FC Winterthur 28.08%
Draw 23.08% (-0.02)
Luzern 48.83%

Both Teams to Score: 

61.72%

Goals

Over 1.5 82.18%
Under 1.5 17.82%
Over 2.5 61.48%
Under 2.5 38.52%
Over 3.5 40%
Under 3.5 59.97%
Over 4.5 24.27%
Under 4.5 75.73%

First Half Winner

FC Winterthur 23.42%
Draw 38.91%
Luzern 37.68%

Team To Score First

FC Winterthur 38.52%
No Goal 4.58%
Luzern 56.9%

Corners

Over 8 64.98%
Equal 8 11.11%
Under 8 23.91%
Over 9 52.92%
Equal 9 12.06%
Under 9 35.02%
Over 10.5 41.03%
Under 10.5 58.97%

FC Winterthur Goals

Over 1.5 34.94%
Under 1.5 65.06%
Over 2.5 14.09%
Under 2.5 85.91%
Over 3.5 4.46%
Under 3.5 95.54%

Luzern Goals

Over 0.5 79.99%
Under 0.5 20.01%
Over 1.5 52.77% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 47.23% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 27.57%
Under 2.5 72.43%
Over 3.5 11.21%
Under 3.5 88.79%

Score analysis

FC Winterthur 28.08%
Draw 23.08%
Luzern 48.84%
FC Winterthur
2-1 @ 6.52% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 5.76%
2-0 @ 3.88%
3-1 @ 3.23%
3-2 @ 2.9%
3-0 @ 1.62%
Other @ 4.17%
Total : 28.08%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.99%
2-2 @ 6.34% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.58%
3-3 @ 1.88%
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.08%
Luzern
1-2 @ 9.13%
0-1 @ 7.48%
0-2 @ 6.83%
1-3 @ 6.15%
0-3 @ 4.22%
2-3 @ 4.11%
Other @ 10.92%
Total : 48.84%

Head to Head

Swiss Super League
Mar 15, 2026 3.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT Sportplatz Chrüzmatt
  • Matteo Di Giusto 15' yellowcard
  • Erblin Sadikaj 42' yellowcard
  • Erblin Sadikaj 45' yellowcard
  • Andrejs Ciganiks 64' yellowcard
  • Lars Villiger 64' yellowcard
  • Sandro Wyss 75' yellowcard
  • Adrian Grbic 76' yellowcard
  • goal Nishan Burkart 32'
  • yellowcard Tibault Citherlet 37'
  • yellowcard Luca Zuffi 46'
  • yellowcard Alexandre Jankewitz 46'
  • goal Théo Golliard 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Francis Momoh 51'
  • yellowcard Bafode Dansoko 80'
Swiss Super League
Nov 29, 2025 7.30pm
1
3
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Tyron Owusu 38' yellowcard
  • Lucas Manuel Silva Ferreira 45' goal
  • Adrian Grbic 67' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Theo Golliard 36'
  • goal Pajtim Kasami 39'
  • yellowcard Fabian Rohner 49'
  • goal Andrin Hunziker 63'
  • goal Elias Maluvunu 69'
  • yellowcard Alexandre Jankewitz 89'
Swiss Super League
Oct 25, 2025 7.30pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Swiss Super League Gameweek 23
Feb 9, 2025 3.30pm
3
2
HT : 1 1
FT Sportplatz Chruzmatt
  • Jesper Lofgren 14' yellowcard
  • Vars Villiger 42' goal
  • Vars Villiger 80' goal
  • Kevin Spadanuda 89' goal
  • goal Christian Pierre Louis Gomis 33'
  • redcard Tobias Schattin 38'
  • yellowcard Randy Schneider 61'
  • yellowcard Dario Ulrich 65'
  • goal Roman Buess 75'
  • yellowcard Roman Buess 87'
  • yellowcard Stefanos Kapino 88'
Swiss Super League Gameweek 18
Dec 14, 2024 5.00pm
3
4
HT : 3 2
FT Stadion Schutzenwiese
  • Antoine Baroan 26' goal
  • Matteo Di Giusto 34' goal
  • Nishan Burkart 41' goal
  • Antoine Baroan 72' yellowcard
  • Antoine Baroan 75' yellowcard
  • Stefanos Kapino 90' yellowcard
  • Adrian Durrer 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kevin Spadanuda 1'
  • goal Thibault Klidje 3'
  • goal Donat Rrudhani 28'
  • yellowcard Stefan Knezevic 48'
  • goal Severin Ottiger 90'+2'
  • goal Adrian Grbic 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Donat Rrudhani 90'+5'
Swiss Super League Gameweek 5
Aug 24, 2024 5.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT swissporarena
  • Vars Villiger 3' goal
  • Vars Villiger 51' goal
  • Sinan Karweina 77' goal
  • Nicky Beloko 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Granit Lekaj 33'
  • yellowcard Randy Schneider 41'
  • yellowcard Souleymane Diaby 68'
  • yellowcard Boubacar Fofana 80'
  • yellowcard Albin Krasniqi 90'+6'
  • yellowcard Carmine Chiappetta 90'+6'