Jul 4, 2026 3.00pm

3

2

HT : 4 2

FT swissporarena

1'
Pius Dorn 1'
9'
Lars Villiger 9'
61'

28'
32'

Luzern vs FC Winterthur - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Luzern

All competitions

W
W
W
D
W
W

Club Friendlies 3

W
D
L

Last game

Jun 27, 2026 3.00pm

Luzern 3 - 2 SLO

FC Winterthur

All competitions

L
L
L
W
D
L

Club Friendlies 3

L
W
D
D
L

Last game

Jul 1, 2026 5.00pm

Winterthur 0 - 1 St Gallen

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luzern win with a probability of 63.52%. A draw had a probability of 20.84% and a win for FC Winterthur had a probability of 15.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luzern win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.38%) and 1-0 (6.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.74%) , while for a FC Winterthur win it was 1-2 (5.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result

Luzern 63.52% ▲ (+0.20)

Draw 20.84% ▼ (-0.04)

FC Winterthur 15.64% ▼ (-0.15)

Both Teams to Score:

61.21% ▲ (+0.22)

Goals

Over 1.5 85.81% ▲ (+0.19)

Under 1.5 14.19% ▼ (-0.18)

Over 2.5 68% ▲ (+0.33)

Under 2.5 32% ▼ (-0.33)

Over 3.5 44.55% ▲ (+0.48)

Under 3.5 55.45% ▼ (-0.48)

Over 4.5 30.93% ▲ (+0.40)

Under 4.5 69.07% ▼ (-0.41)

First Half Winner

Luzern 48.01% ▲ (+0.18)

Draw 35.48% ▼ (-0.16)

FC Winterthur 16.51% ▼ (-0.03)

Team To Score First

Luzern 68.42% ▲ (+0.19)

No Goal 4.19% ▼ (-0.09)

FC Winterthur 27.39% ▼ (-0.10)

Corners

Over 8 72.57% ▼ (-0.16)

Equal 8 9.33% ▲ (+0.02)

Under 8 18.1% ▲ (+0.14)

Over 9 61.8% ▼ (-0.16)

Equal 9 10.77%

Under 9 27.43% ▲ (+0.15)

Over 10.5 50.46% ▼ (-0.14)

Under 10.5 49.54% ▲ (+0.14)

Luzern Goals

Over 1.5 66.01% ▲ (+0.40)

Under 1.5 33.99% ▼ (-0.40)

Over 2.5 40.96% ▲ (+0.39)

Under 2.5 59.04% ▼ (-0.39)

Over 3.5 21.35% ▲ (+0.29)

Under 3.5 78.65% ▼ (-0.29)

FC Winterthur Goals

Over 0.5 53.89% ▼ (-0.08)

Under 0.5 46.11% ▲ (+0.08)

Over 1.5 25.05% ▲ (+0.06)

Under 1.5 74.95% ▼ (-0.05)

Over 2.5 7.87% ▲ (+0.01)

Under 2.5 92.13% ▼ (-0.02)

Over 3.5 2.38% ▲ (+0.05)

Under 3.5 97.62% ▼ (-0.04)

Score analysis

Luzern 63.52%

Draw 20.84%

FC Winterthur 15.64%

Luzern

2-1 @ 10.36% ▼ (-0.05)

2-0 @ 7.38% ▼ (-0.08)

1-0 @ 6.96% ▼ (-0.05)

3-0 @ 6.74% ▲ (+0.03)

3-1 @ 6.7% ▲ (+0.03)

3-2 @ 4.54% ▲ (+0.05)

Other @ 20.84% ▲ (+0.27)

Total : 63.52%

Draw

1-1 @ 8.74% ▼ (-0.07)

2-2 @ 5.77% ▲ (+0.08)

0-0 @ 4.19% ▼ (-0.09)

3-3 @ 1.63% ▲ (+0.01)

Other @ 0.51% ▲ (+0.03)

Total : 20.84%

FC Winterthur

1-2 @ 5.18% ▼ (-0.08)

0-1 @ 3.04% ▼ (-0.05)

0-2 @ 1.69% ▼ (-0.03)

2-3 @ 1.54% ▲ (+0.05)

0-3 @ 1.16% ▼ (-0.08)

1-3 @ 1.16% ▼ (-0.02)

Other @ 1.87% ▲ (+0.03)

Total : 15.64%

Head to Head

May 16, 2026 5.00pm

0

3

HT : 0 1

FT Stadion Schützenwiese

Andrin Hunziker 46'
Elias Maluvunu 58'
Nishan Burkart 58'
Pajtim Kasami 74'
Dario Ulrich 83'

Oscar Kabwit 39'
45'+3'
Matteo Di Giusto 45'+3'
Pius Dorn 54'
Sinan Karweina 63'
Kevin Spadanuda 63'
Oscar Kabwit 68'
Julian Von Moos 74'
Lars Villiger 74'
Levin Winkler 80'

Mar 15, 2026 3.30pm

1

2

HT : 0 2

FT Sportplatz Chrüzmatt

Matteo Di Giusto 15'
Erblin Sadikaj 42'
Erblin Sadikaj 45'
Andrejs Ciganiks 64'
Lars Villiger 64'
Sandro Wyss 75'
Adrian Grbic 76'

Nishan Burkart 32'
Tibault Citherlet 37'
Luca Zuffi 46'
Alexandre Jankewitz 46'
Théo Golliard 45'+4'
Francis Momoh 51'
Bafode Dansoko 80'

Nov 29, 2025 7.30pm

1

3

HT : 1 1

FT

Tyron Owusu 38'
Lucas Manuel Silva Ferreira 45'
Adrian Grbic 67'

Theo Golliard 36'
Pajtim Kasami 39'
Fabian Rohner 49'
Andrin Hunziker 63'
Elias Maluvunu 69'
Alexandre Jankewitz 89'

Oct 25, 2025 7.30pm

2

2

HT : 0 0

FT

Feb 9, 2025 3.30pm

3

2

HT : 1 1

FT Sportplatz Chruzmatt

Jesper Lofgren 14'
Vars Villiger 42'
Vars Villiger 80'
Kevin Spadanuda 89'

Christian Pierre Louis Gomis 33'
Tobias Schattin 38'
Randy Schneider 61'
Dario Ulrich 65'
Roman Buess 75'
Roman Buess 87'
Stefanos Kapino 88'

Dec 14, 2024 5.00pm

3

4

HT : 3 2

FT Stadion Schutzenwiese

Antoine Baroan 26'
Matteo Di Giusto 34'
Nishan Burkart 41'
Antoine Baroan 72'
Antoine Baroan 75'
Stefanos Kapino 90'
Adrian Durrer 90'

Kevin Spadanuda 1'
Thibault Klidje 3'
Donat Rrudhani 28'
Stefan Knezevic 48'
Severin Ottiger 90'+2'
Adrian Grbic 90'+3'
Donat Rrudhani 90'+5'

Form Data

Luzern 3 - 2 SLO

Winterthur 0 - 3 Luzern

Luzern 1 - 0 FC Zurich

Luzern 3 - 3 Servette

Lausanne 1 - 3 Luzern

Grasshopper 1 - 2 Luzern

Winterthur 0 - 1 St Gallen

Winterthur 0 - 3 Luzern

Grasshopper 3 - 2 Winterthur

Winterthur 2 - 1 Lausanne

Winterthur 2 - 2 FC Zurich

Servette 5 - 3 Winterthur