Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Gallen win with a probability of 61.75%. A draw had a probability of 20.58% and a win for FC Winterthur had a probability of 17.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Gallen win was 1-2 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.35%) and 0-2 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.95%) , while for a FC Winterthur win it was 2-1 (4.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.