Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Neuchatel Xamax win with a probability of 46.4%. A win for FC Winterthur had a probability of 29.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Neuchatel Xamax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.17%) and 0-2 (7.1%). The likeliest FC Winterthur win was 2-1 (6.97%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.