Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Gallen win with a probability of 42.03%. A win for Thun had a probability of 35.21% and a draw had a probability of 22.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Gallen win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.32%) and 2-0 (5.27%). The likeliest Thun win was 1-2 (8%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.