Swiss Super League Gameweek 3
Aug 9, 2026 3.30pm
St. Jakob-Park

Basel vs Thun - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Basel

All competitions
Swiss Super League
Last game
Aug 1, 2026 5.00pm
Basel 0 - 1 Lausanne

Thun

All competitions
Swiss Super League
Last game
Aug 1, 2026 7.30pm
Thun 0 - 6 Young Boys

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Basel win with a probability of 46.46%. A win for Thun has a probability of 30.36% and a draw has a probability of 23.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Basel win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.41%) and 2-0 (6.37%). The likeliest Thun win is 1-2 (7.38%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.15%).

Result

Basel 46.46% (+0.08)
Draw 23.15%
Thun 30.36% (-0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

62.06% (-0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 82.58% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 17.42% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 62.06% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 37.94% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 39.53% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 60.47% (+0.05)
Over 4.5 24.24% (-0.06)
Under 4.5 75.76% (+0.06)

First Half Winner

Basel 36.78% (+0.04)
Draw 36.48% (-0.03)
Thun 26.73% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Basel 54.98% (+0.02)
No Goal 4.34%
Thun 40.68% (-0.03)

Corners

Over 8 70.15% (+0.35)
Equal 8 9.76% (-0.07)
Under 8 20.09% (-0.29)
Over 9 59.14% (+0.36)
Equal 9 11% (-0.03)
Under 9 29.85% (-0.34)
Over 10.5 47.81% (+0.36)
Under 10.5 52.19% (-0.36)

Basel Goals

Over 1.5 50.52% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 49.48% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 25.49% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 74.51% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 10.21%
Under 3.5 89.79%

Thun Goals

Over 0.5 68.09% (-0.10)
Under 0.5 31.91% (+0.11)
Over 1.5 37.45% (-0.15)
Under 1.5 62.55% (+0.15)
Over 2.5 15.5% (-0.09)
Under 2.5 84.5% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 5.63% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 94.37% (+0.07)

Score analysis

Basel 46.46%
Draw 23.14%
Thun 30.36%
Basel
2-1 @ 9.34% (+0.02)
1-0 @ 7.41% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 6.37% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.52% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 4.07%
3-0 @ 3.86%
Other @ 9.89% (+0.01)
Total : 46.46%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.15% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 6.5% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 4.34%
3-3 @ 1.83%
Other @ 0.32% (-0.02)
Total : 23.14%
Thun
1-2 @ 7.38% (-0.03)
0-1 @ 5.63% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 3.27%
2-3 @ 2.82%
0-3 @ 1.95% (-0.03)
Other @ 5.31% (-0.06)
Total : 30.36%

Head to Head

Swiss Super League
May 2, 2026 7.30pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT St. Jakob-Park
  • Metinho  43' goal
  • Ibrahim Salah 67' yellowcard
  • Evann Senaya 67' yellowcard
  • Albian Ajeti 76' yellowcard
  • Koba Koindredi 76' yellowcard
  • Albian Ajeti 86' goal
  • Koba Koindredi 90'+1' goal
  • goal Valmir Matoshi 41'
  • yellowcard Mattias Käit 46'
  • yellowcard Brighton Labeau 67'
  • yellowcard Nils Reichmuth 67'
  • yellowcard Furkan Dursun 72'
  • yellowcard Marc Gutbub 89'
Swiss Super League Gameweek 33
Apr 18, 2026 7.30pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stockhorn Arena
  • Christopher Ibayi 28' goal
  • Michael Heule 53' goal
  • Mattias Käit 63' yellowcard
  • Noah Rupp 63' yellowcard
  • Elmin Rastoder 64' goal
  • Brighton Labeau 74' yellowcard
  • Valmir Matoshi 74' yellowcard
  • Marco Bürki 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Julien Duranville 46'
  • goal Julien Duranville 56'
  • yellowcard Kevin Rüegg 59'
  • yellowcard Giacomo Koloto 69'
  • yellowcard Koba Koindredi 70'
  • yellowcard Moritz Broschinski  90'+1'
Swiss Super League Gameweek 22
Feb 1, 2026 3.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT St. Jakob-Park
  • Dominik Schmid 57' goal
  • Ibrahim Salah 62' yellowcard
  • Giacomo Koloto 73' yellowcard
  • Koba Koindredi 73' yellowcard
  • Marin Soticek 85' yellowcard
  • Jeremy Agbonifo 85' yellowcard
  • goal Leonardo Bertone 15'
  • yellowcard Valmir Matoshi 59'
  • yellowcard Justin Roth 59'
  • yellowcard Tim Spycher 67'
  • goal Valmir Matoshi 80'
  • yellowcard Lucien Dähler 85'
  • yellowcard Dominik Franke 85'
Swiss Super League
Sep 13, 2025 5.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Swiss Super League Gameweek 35
Jul 31, 2020 7.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stockhorn Arena
  • yellowcard Arthur 43'
  • yellowcard Omar Alderete 68'
  • redcard Omar Alderete 71'
  • yellowcard Dimitri Oberlin 81'
  • yellowcard Samuele Campo 90'
  • yellowcard Jasper van der Werff 90'+2'
Swiss Super League Gameweek 22
Feb 15, 2020 6.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT St. Jakob-Park
  • Afimico Pululu 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Basil Stillhart 37'
  • goal Ridge Munsy 79'
  • yellowcard Leonardo Bertone 83'