Club Friendlies 3
Jul 11, 2026 12.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT St. Jakob-Park
  • Philip Otele 60' goal
  • 88' goal
  • goal Fabian Rohner 57'
  • goal Roman Buess 83'

Basel vs FC Winterthur - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Basel

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 8, 2026 1.00pm
Basel 0 - 3 Yverdon Sport

FC Winterthur

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 4, 2026 3.00pm
Luzern 3 - 2 Winterthur

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 59.87%. A draw had a probability of 21.39% and a win for FC Winterthur had a probability of 18.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.18%) and 1-0 (7.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.02%) , while for a FC Winterthur win it was 1-2 (5.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result

Basel 59.87% (-0.16)
Draw 21.39% (+0.04)
FC Winterthur 18.74% (+0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.78% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 83.23% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 16.77% (+0.06)
Over 2.5 63.97% (-0.10)
Under 2.5 36.03% (+0.10)
Over 3.5 41.13% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 58.87% (+0.02)
Over 4.5 26.94% (-0.03)
Under 4.5 73.06% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Basel 44.34% (-0.01)
Draw 37.38% (+0.35)
FC Winterthur 18.28% (-0.33)

Team To Score First

Basel 63.95% (-0.07)
No Goal 4.94% (+0.02)
FC Winterthur 31.11% (+0.06)

Corners

Over 8 72.28% (+0.04)
Equal 8 9.24%
Under 8 18.48% (-0.02)
Over 9 61.67% (+0.04)
Equal 9 10.62%
Under 9 27.72% (-0.04)
Over 10.5 50.51% (+0.04)
Under 10.5 49.49% (-0.04)

Basel Goals

Over 1.5 61.25% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 38.75% (+0.11)
Over 2.5 35.16% (-0.10)
Under 2.5 64.84% (+0.10)
Over 3.5 16.82% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 83.18% (+0.06)

FC Winterthur Goals

Over 0.5 56.72% (+0.07)
Under 0.5 43.28% (-0.07)
Over 1.5 26.5% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 73.5% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 9.17% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 90.83% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 2.93% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 97.07% (-0.03)

Score analysis

Basel 59.87%
Draw 21.39%
FC Winterthur 18.74%
Basel
2-1 @ 10.52% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 8.18% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 7.83%
3-1 @ 6.68%
3-0 @ 5.88% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 4.33%
Other @ 16.45% (-0.07)
Total : 59.87%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.02% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.61% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 4.94% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.45%
Other @ 0.37% (+0.02)
Total : 21.39%
FC Winterthur
1-2 @ 5.33%
0-1 @ 4% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 2.06% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 1.9% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.78% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.11% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.56% (+0.02)
Total : 18.74%

Head to Head

Swiss Super League
Mar 22, 2026 1.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stadion Schützenwiese
  • Roman Buess 7' yellowcard
  • Remo Arnold 20' yellowcard
  • Pajtim Kasami 67' yellowcard
  • Stéphane Cueni 67' yellowcard
  • Elias Maluvunu 67' yellowcard
  • 67' yellowcard
  • Leandro Maksutaj 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Finn van Breemen 12'
  • goal Ibrahim Salah 15'
  • yellowcard Xherdan Shaqiri   46'
  • yellowcard Albian Ajeti 46'
  • yellowcard Léo Leroy 46'
  • yellowcard Dion Kacuri 69'
  • goal Bénie Traoré 71'
Swiss Super League
Dec 7, 2025 1.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Andrin Hunziker 51' goal
  • Remo Arnold 69' yellowcard
  • Luca Zuffi 73' yellowcard
  • goal Xherdan Shaqiri 29'
  • yellowcard Ludovic Magnin 63'
  • goal Keigo Tsunemoto 90'+3'
Swiss Super League
Oct 18, 2025 5.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Swiss Super League Gameweek 29
Mar 30, 2025 1.15pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion Schutzenwiese
  • Dario Ulrich 45' yellowcard
  • Souleymane Diaby 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Xherdan Shaqiri 49'
  • goal Benie Traore 70'
  • yellowcard Xherdan Shaqiri 90'+3'
Swiss Super League Gameweek 13
Nov 2, 2024 5.00pm
5
0
HT : 3 0
FT St. Jakob-Park (Basel)
  • Anton Kade 15' goal
  • Joe Mendes 25' yellowcard
  • Benie Traore 28' goal
  • Kevin Carlos 39' goal
  • Benie Traore 55' goal
  • Dominik Schmid 65' yellowcard
  • Albian Ajeti 82' goal
  • yellowcard Granit Lekaj 56'
Swiss Super League Gameweek 11
Oct 26, 2024 5.00pm
1
6
HT : 0 3
FT Stadion Schutzenwiese
  • Fabian Frei 50' yellowcard
  • Randy Schneider 90' goal
  • goal Kevin Carlos 8'
  • goal Benie Traore 25'
  • goal Xherdan Shaqiri 33'
  • yellowcard Adrian Leon Barisic 45'+1'
  • goal Romario Baro 48'
  • goal Stefanos Kapino 57'
  • goal Marin Soticek 72'