Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 5
Lech Poznan
Sep 3, 2026 7.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Enea stadion
Jagiellonia
  • Pablo Rodríguez 43' goal
  • Patrik Wålemark 80' yellowcard
  • Robert Gumny 87' goal
  • goal Yuki Kobayashi 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Conceição 80'
  • yellowcard Hampus Finndell 90'+2'

Lech Poznan vs Jagiellonia Bialystok - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Lech Poznan

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Aug 30, 2026 7.15pm
Widzew Lodz 2 - 3 Lech Poznan
Goals scored
11
Top scorer
Allahyar Sayyadmanesh

Jagiellonia Bialystok

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Aug 30, 2026 1.45pm
Rakow 2 - 5 Jagiellonia
Goals scored
11
Top scorer
Nik Prelec

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 58.3%. A draw had a probability of 23.17% and a win for Jagiellonia Bialystok had a probability of 18.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.56%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.84%) , while for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win it was 1-2 (5.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.

Result

Lech Poznan 58.3% ▼ (-0.02)
Draw 23.17% ▼ (-0.06)
Jagiellonia Bialystok 18.53% ▲ (+0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.07% ▲ (+0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 83.03% ▲ (+0.16)
Under 1.5 16.97% ▼ (-0.16)
Over 2.5 63.17% ▲ (+0.25)
Under 2.5 36.83% ▼ (-0.25)
Over 3.5 39.29% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 3.5 60.71% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 4.5 25.01% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 4.5 74.99% ▼ (-0.05)

First Half Winner

Lech Poznan 45.82% ▲ (+0.01)
Draw 37.24%
Jagiellonia Bialystok 16.94% ▼ (-0.01)

Team To Score First

Lech Poznan 65.1% ▼ (-0.09)
No Goal 4.52% ▼ (-0.06)
Jagiellonia Bialystok 30.38% ▲ (+0.13)

Corners

Over 8 67.15% ▲ (+0.67)
Equal 8 9.33% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 8 23.52% ▼ (-0.63)
Over 9 56.93% ▲ (+0.65)
Equal 9 10.22% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 9 32.85% ▼ (-0.66)
Over 10.5 46.58% ▲ (+0.61)
Under 10.5 53.42% ▼ (-0.61)

Lech Poznan Goals

Over 1.5 60.29% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 1.5 39.71% ▼ (-0.09)
Over 2.5 33.16% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 66.84% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 15.21% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 3.5 84.79% ▲ (+0.10)

Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals

Over 0.5 57.85% ▲ (+0.25)
Under 0.5 42.15% ▼ (-0.25)
Over 1.5 27.52% ▲ (+0.20)
Under 1.5 72.48% ▼ (-0.21)
Over 2.5 9.07% ▲ (+0.14)
Under 2.5 90.93% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 3.5 2.68% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 3.5 97.32% ▼ (-0.06)

Score analysis

Lech Poznan 58.31%
Draw 23.18%
Jagiellonia Bialystok 18.55%
Lech Poznan
2-1 @ 10.58% ▲ (+0.08)
1-0 @ 8.56% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 8.11% ▼ (-0.05)
3-0 @ 6.18% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.98% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 4.08% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 14.82% ▼ (-0.10)
Total : 58.31%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.84% ▼ (-0.03)
2-2 @ 6.72% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.52% ▼ (-0.06)
3-3 @ 1.71% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.39% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 23.18%
Jagiellonia Bialystok
1-2 @ 5.77% ▲ (+0.05)
0-1 @ 3.93% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 1.88% ▼ (-0.05)
2-3 @ 1.72% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 1.6% ▲ (+0.04)
0-3 @ 1.36% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.29% ▲ (+0.05)
Total : 18.55%

Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
Jagiellonia
Apr 4, 2026 7.15pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion Miejski
Lech Poznan
  • Taras Romanczuk 72' yellowcard
  • Matías Nahuel 72' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Daniel Håkans 64'
  • yellowcard Gísli Thórdarson 64'
  • yellowcard Yannick Agnero 84'
  • yellowcard Taofeek Ismaheel 84'
  • yellowcard Luis Palma 90'+1'
Polish Ekstraklasa
Lech Poznan
Sep 28, 2025 1.45pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Jagiellonia
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 25
Jagiellonia
Mar 16, 2025 7.15pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stadion Miejski
Lech Poznan
  • Jesus Imaz 31' goal
  • Taras Romanczuk 44' yellowcard
  • Radoslaw Murawski 59' goal
  • Cezary Polak 65' yellowcard
  • Cezary Polak 65' yellowcard
  • Slawomir Abramowicz 89' yellowcard
  • goal Ali Gholizadeh 9'
  • yellowcard Bartosz Salamon 52'
  • yellowcard Radoslaw Murawski 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Alex Douglas 90'+4'
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 8
Lech Poznan
Sep 14, 2024 7.15pm
5
0
HT : 2 1
FT Stadion MOS Poznan
Jagiellonia
  • Afonso Sousa 25' goal
  • Antonio Milic 36' yellowcard
  • Dino Hotic 41' goal
  • Filip Szymczak 81' goal
  • Jetmir Haliti 87' goal
  • Filip Jagiello 90'+3' goal
  • goal 15'
  • redcard Adrian Dieguez 38'
  • yellowcard Nene 42'
  • yellowcard Jetmir Haliti 79'
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 21
Jagiellonia
Feb 17, 2024 4.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT Stadion Miejski
Lech Poznan
  • Adrian Dieguez 67' yellowcard
  • Kristoffer Normann Hansen 82' goal
  • yellowcard Kristoffer Velde 14'
  • goal Filip Marchwinski 18'
  • goal Filip Szymczak 30'
  • yellowcard Joel Pereira 90'+7'
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 4
Lech Poznan
Oct 24, 2023 5.00pm
3
3
HT : 3 0
FT INEA stadion
Jagiellonia
  • Adriel Ba Loua 2' goal
  • 3' goal
  • Mikael Ishak 43' goal
  • Adriel Ba Loua 48' yellowcard
  • Adriel Ba Loua 51' goal
  • Filip Marchwinski 55' yellowcard
  • Elias Andersson 64' yellowcard
  • Alan Czerwinski 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Kristoffer Velde 90'+7' yellowcard
  • goal Kristoffer Normann Hansen 54'
  • yellowcard Taras Romanczuk 63'
  • goal Mateusz Skrzypczak 66'
  • goal Bartlomiej Wdowik 90'+6'

Form Data

Widzew Lodz 2 - 3 Lech Poznan
Thun 2 - 2 Lech Poznan
Lech Poznan 7 - 0 Thun
Wisla Plock 0 - 0 Lech Poznan
KI 0 - 5 Lech Poznan
Lech Poznan 3 - 0 Piast Gliwice
Rakow 2 - 5 Jagiellonia
Saburtalo Tbilisi 1 - 2 Jagiellonia
Jagiellonia 4 - 0 Saburtalo Tbilisi
Jagiellonia 0 - 0 Szczecin
Rangers 1 - 1 Jagiellonia
Jagiellonia 0 - 2 Widzew Lodz