Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 5
Sep 3, 2026 7.30pm
Enea stadion

Lech Poznan vs Jagiellonia Bialystok - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Lech Poznan

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Aug 30, 2026 7.15pm
Widzew Lodz 2 - 3 Lech Poznan
Goals scored
8
Top scorer
Allahyar Sayyadmanesh

Jagiellonia Bialystok

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Aug 30, 2026 1.45pm
Rakow 2 - 5 Jagiellonia
Goals scored
8
Top scorer
Nik Prelec

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 58.31%. A draw has a probability of 23.23% and a win for Jagiellonia Bialystok has a probability of 18.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win is 2-1 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.59%) and 2-0 (8.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.87%) , while for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win it is 1-2 (5.72%).

Result

Lech Poznan 58.31% (-1.40)
Draw 23.23% (+0.27)
Jagiellonia Bialystok 18.46% (+1.13)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.96% (+1.72)

Goals

Over 1.5 82.88% (+0.82)
Under 1.5 17.12% (-0.81)
Over 2.5 62.93% (+1.36)
Under 2.5 37.07% (-1.36)
Over 3.5 39.19% (+1.59)
Under 3.5 60.81% (-1.59)
Over 4.5 24.97% (+1.08)
Under 4.5 75.03% (-1.08)

First Half Winner

Lech Poznan 45.81% (+0.08)
Draw 37.24% (-0.73)
Jagiellonia Bialystok 16.95% (+0.67)

Team To Score First

Lech Poznan 65.18% (+0.32)
No Goal 4.57% (-0.18)
Jagiellonia Bialystok 30.25% (-0.13)

Corners

Over 8 66.49% (-0.85)
Equal 8 9.37% (+0.03)
Under 8 24.14% (+0.82)
Over 9 56.28% (-0.82)
Equal 9 10.21% (-0.03)
Under 9 33.51% (+0.84)
Over 10.5 45.98% (-0.73)
Under 10.5 54.02% (+0.73)

Lech Poznan Goals

Over 1.5 60.2% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 39.8% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 33.14% (+0.15)
Under 2.5 66.86% (-0.15)
Over 3.5 15.3% (+0.40)
Under 3.5 84.7% (-0.40)

Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals

Over 0.5 57.6% (+1.22)
Under 0.5 42.4% (-1.22)
Over 1.5 27.32% (+1.84)
Under 1.5 72.68% (-1.83)
Over 2.5 8.94% (+1.06)
Under 2.5 91.06% (-1.07)
Over 3.5 2.63% (+0.55)
Under 3.5 97.37% (-0.55)

Score analysis

Lech Poznan 58.31%
Draw 23.23%
Jagiellonia Bialystok 18.46%
Lech Poznan
2-1 @ 10.51% (-0.21)
1-0 @ 8.59% (-0.63)
2-0 @ 8.15% (-0.41)
3-0 @ 6.17% (-0.33)
3-1 @ 5.94% (-0.09)
3-2 @ 4.03% (-0.06)
Other @ 14.92% (+0.32)
Total : 58.31%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.87% (-0.33)
2-2 @ 6.71% (+0.47)
0-0 @ 4.57% (-0.18)
3-3 @ 1.7% (+0.22)
Other @ 0.38% (+0.09)
Total : 23.23%
Jagiellonia Bialystok
1-2 @ 5.72% (+0.21)
0-1 @ 3.96%
0-2 @ 1.92% (+0.16)
2-3 @ 1.69% (+0.07)
1-3 @ 1.57% (+0.14)
0-3 @ 1.35% (+0.11)
Other @ 2.25% (+0.47)
Total : 18.46%

Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
Apr 4, 2026 7.15pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion Miejski
  • Taras Romanczuk 72' yellowcard
  • Matías Nahuel 72' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Daniel Håkans 64'
  • yellowcard Gísli Thórdarson 64'
  • yellowcard Yannick Agnero 84'
  • yellowcard Taofeek Ismaheel 84'
  • yellowcard Luis Palma 90'+1'
Polish Ekstraklasa
Sep 28, 2025 1.45pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 25
Mar 16, 2025 7.15pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stadion Miejski
  • Jesus Imaz 31' goal
  • Taras Romanczuk 44' yellowcard
  • Radoslaw Murawski 59' goal
  • Cezary Polak 65' yellowcard
  • Cezary Polak 65' yellowcard
  • Slawomir Abramowicz 89' yellowcard
  • goal Ali Gholizadeh 9'
  • yellowcard Bartosz Salamon 52'
  • yellowcard Radoslaw Murawski 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Alex Douglas 90'+4'
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 8
Sep 14, 2024 7.15pm
5
0
HT : 2 1
FT Stadion MOS Poznan
  • Afonso Sousa 25' goal
  • Antonio Milic 36' yellowcard
  • Dino Hotic 41' goal
  • Filip Szymczak 81' goal
  • Jetmir Haliti 87' goal
  • Filip Jagiello 90'+3' goal
  • goal 15'
  • redcard Adrian Dieguez 38'
  • yellowcard Nene 42'
  • yellowcard Jetmir Haliti 79'
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 21
Feb 17, 2024 4.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT Stadion Miejski
  • Adrian Dieguez 67' yellowcard
  • Kristoffer Normann Hansen 82' goal
  • yellowcard Kristoffer Velde 14'
  • goal Filip Marchwinski 18'
  • goal Filip Szymczak 30'
  • yellowcard Joel Pereira 90'+7'
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 4
Oct 24, 2023 5.00pm
3
3
HT : 3 0
FT INEA stadion
  • Adriel Ba Loua 2' goal
  • 3' goal
  • Mikael Ishak 43' goal
  • Adriel Ba Loua 48' yellowcard
  • Adriel Ba Loua 51' goal
  • Filip Marchwinski 55' yellowcard
  • Elias Andersson 64' yellowcard
  • Alan Czerwinski 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Kristoffer Velde 90'+7' yellowcard
  • goal Kristoffer Normann Hansen 54'
  • yellowcard Taras Romanczuk 63'
  • goal Mateusz Skrzypczak 66'
  • goal Bartlomiej Wdowik 90'+6'