Europa League
Aug 27, 2026 5.00pm
1
2
HT :
1
1
FT
Mikheil Meskhis sakhelobis Stadioni
-
Zviad Natchkebia
35'
-
Stephen Ende
37'
-
Ibrahim Alhassan
60'
-
Zviad Natchkebia
74'
-
Jemali-Giorgi Jinjolava
84'
-
Jesús Imaz
31'
-
A. Klynge
70'
Saburtalo Tbilisi vs Jagiellonia Bialystok - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jagiellonia Bialystok win with a probability of 41.27%. A win for Saburtalo Tbilisi had a probability of 33.55% and a draw had a probability of 25.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.97%) and 0-2 (6.33%). The likeliest Saburtalo Tbilisi win was 1-0 (8.24%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 9% likelihood.
Result
Saburtalo Tbilisi
33.55%
▲
(+0.06)
Draw
25.17%
▲
(+0.04)
Jagiellonia Bialystok
41.27%
▼
(-0.08)
Both Teams to Score:
53.88%
Goals
Over 1.5
75.79%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 1.5
24.21%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 2.5
52.71%
Under 2.5
47.29%
Over 3.5
29.7%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 3.5
70.3%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 4.5
16.66%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 4.5
83.34%
▲
(+0.03)
First Half Winner
Saburtalo Tbilisi
27.97%
Draw
42.59%
Jagiellonia Bialystok
29.44%
Team To Score First
Saburtalo Tbilisi
45.66%
▼
(-0.02)
No Goal
6.61%
▲
(+0.02)
Jagiellonia Bialystok
47.73%
Corners
Over 8
53.47%
Equal 8
11.16%
Under 8
35.36%
Over 9
42.46%
Equal 9
11.01%
Under 9
46.53%
Over 10.5
32.43%
Under 10.5
67.57%
Saburtalo Tbilisi Goals
Over 1.5
35.03%
▲
(+0.07)
Under 1.5
64.97%
▼
(-0.07)
Over 2.5
13.7%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 2.5
86.3%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 3.5
4.31%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 3.5
95.69%
▼
(-0.02)
Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals
Over 0.5
73.28%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 0.5
26.72%
▲
(+0.03)
Over 1.5
41.19%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 1.5
58.81%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 2.5
18.04%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 2.5
81.96%
▲
(+0.03)
Over 3.5
6.22%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 3.5
93.78%
▲
(+0.02)
Score analysis
Saburtalo Tbilisi
33.55%
Draw
25.17%
Jagiellonia Bialystok
41.29%
Saburtalo Tbilisi
1-0
@
8.24%
▲
(+0.01)
2-1 @ 7.88% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 5.15% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 3.25%
3-0 @ 2.59% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.3% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 4.14% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 33.55%
2-1 @ 7.88% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 5.15% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 3.25%
3-0 @ 2.59% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.3% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 4.14% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 33.55%
Draw
1-1
@
11.59%
0-0 @ 6.61% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.55% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.25% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.17%
0-0 @ 6.61% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.55% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.25% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.17%
Jagiellonia Bialystok
0-1
@
9.37%
1-2 @ 8.97%
0-2 @ 6.33% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 4.25% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 3.57%
2-3 @ 2.75% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 6.05% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 41.29%
1-2 @ 8.97%
0-2 @ 6.33% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 4.25% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 3.57%
2-3 @ 2.75% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 6.05% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 41.29%
Head to Head
Europa League
-
Yuki Kobayashi
11'
-
Jesús Imaz
34'
-
Jeremy Agbonifo
45'+2'
-
Ibrahim Alhassan
62'
-
Sergio Lozano
90'+2'
-
Ibrahim Alhassan
32'
-
Giorgi Kobuladze
49'
-
Vahid Selimovic
61'
-
Nikoloz Dadiani
71'
-
Eldar Kuliyev
81'