Europa League
Aug 4, 2026 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Inver Park
  • Tomas Cosgrove  11' yellowcard
  • Chris Gallagher 45' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jemali-Giorgi Jinjolava  66'

Larne vs Saburtalo Tbilisi - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Larne

All competitions

Saburtalo Tbilisi

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saburtalo Tbilisi win with a probability of 43.74%. A win for Larne had a probability of 31.15% and a draw had a probability of 25.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Saburtalo Tbilisi win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.01%) and 0-2 (7.15%). The likeliest Larne win was 1-0 (8%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result

Larne 31.15% (+0.03)
Draw 25.15% (+0.03)
Saburtalo Tbilisi 43.74% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.56%

Goals

Over 1.5 75.58% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 24.42% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 52.03% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 47.97% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 30.13% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 69.87% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 17.09% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 82.91% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Larne 23.82%
Draw 41.52%
Saburtalo Tbilisi 34.66%

Team To Score First

Larne 39.48% (-0.03)
No Goal 6.75% (+0.02)
Saburtalo Tbilisi 53.77%

Corners

Over 8 45.5%
Equal 8 12%
Under 8 42.5%
Over 9 34.4%
Equal 9 11.1%
Under 9 54.5%
Over 10.5 24.94%
Under 10.5 75.06%

Larne Goals

Over 1.5 32.91% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 67.09% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 12.53% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 87.47% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 3.93%
Under 3.5 96.07%

Saburtalo Tbilisi Goals

Over 0.5 74.57% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 25.43% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 43.1% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 56.9% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 19.2% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 80.8% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 7.16% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 92.84% (+0.03)

Score analysis

Larne 31.15%
Draw 25.16%
Saburtalo Tbilisi 43.74%
Larne
1-0 @ 8% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 7.09% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 4.87%
3-1 @ 3.15%
3-2 @ 2.18%
3-0 @ 2.12% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.74%
Total : 31.15%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.51% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.75% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.56%
3-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 25.16%
Saburtalo Tbilisi
0-1 @ 9.72% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 9.01%
0-2 @ 7.15% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 4.34% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 3.69%
2-3 @ 2.86%
Other @ 6.97% (-0.03)
Total : 43.74%