Champions League
Jul 7, 2026 7.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Olimpico di Serravalle
  • Matteo Prandelli  58' yellowcard
  • Danilo Girolomoni 66' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sean Graham 10'
  • yellowcard Sam McClelland 19'
  • goal Matthew Lusty 45'

Tre Fiori vs Larne - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Tre Fiori

All competitions

Larne

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 42.9%. A win for Tre Fiori had a probability of 31.54% and a draw had a probability of 25.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.3%) and 0-2 (7.49%). The likeliest Tre Fiori win was 1-0 (9.01%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.

Result

Tre Fiori 31.54%
Draw 25.56%
Larne 42.9%

Both Teams to Score: 

50.25% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.51% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 27.49% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 47.55% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 52.45% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 26.73% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 73.27% (-0.05)
Over 4.5 15.06% (+0.06)
Under 4.5 84.94% (-0.05)

First Half Winner

Tre Fiori 22.62%
Draw 45.03%
Larne 32.35%

Team To Score First

Tre Fiori 41.08%
No Goal 7.95% (-0.02)
Larne 50.97% (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 53.68%
Equal 8 11.16%
Under 8 35.16%
Over 9 42.67%
Equal 9 11.01%
Under 9 46.32%
Over 10.5 32.64%
Under 10.5 67.36%

Tre Fiori Goals

Over 1.5 30.71% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 69.29% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 11.1% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 88.9% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 3.55% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 96.45% (-0.02)

Larne Goals

Over 0.5 72.17% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 27.83% (-0.05)
Over 1.5 39.98% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 60.02% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 17.4% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 82.6% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 6.24% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 93.76% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Tre Fiori 31.54%
Draw 25.57%
Larne 42.91%
Tre Fiori
1-0 @ 9.01% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 6.8% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 5.46%
3-1 @ 2.85% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.99%
3-0 @ 1.93%
Other @ 3.5% (+0.01)
Total : 31.54%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.99%
0-0 @ 7.95% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.8% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.05% (+0.02)
Total : 25.57%
Larne
0-1 @ 10.55% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 8.3%
0-2 @ 7.49%
1-3 @ 4.04% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 3.79% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.55% (+0.01)
Other @ 6.19% (+0.02)
Total : 42.91%