Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tre Fiori win with a probability of 41.82%. A win for Fola Esch had a probability of 35.66% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tre Fiori win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.84%) and 2-0 (5.21%). The likeliest Fola Esch win was 1-2 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tre Fiori would win this match.