UEFA Conference League

Conference League | First Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg

Jul 14, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Stade Émile Mayrisch

Tre Fiori
3 - 1
Fola Esch

(Tre Fiori win 4-1 on aggregate)

Goh (31'), Gjurchinoski (45+1', 51')
Rastelli (27'), Mantovani (41'), Goh (62'), Procacci (90+1')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Correia Mendes (37')
Costa (83'), Pimentel (88')

Coverage of the Conference League First Qualifying Round clash between Tre Fiori and Fola Esch.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fola Esch

Last Game: Fola Esch 0-1 Tre Fiori
Thursday, July 7 at 7pm in Europa Conference League

Tre Fiori

Last Game: Fola Esch 0-1 Tre Fiori
Thursday, July 7 at 7pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tre Fiori win with a probability of 41.82%. A win for Fola Esch had a probability of 35.66% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tre Fiori win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.84%) and 2-0 (5.21%). The likeliest Fola Esch win was 1-2 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tre Fiori would win this match.

Result
Tre Fiori	Draw	Fola Esch
41.82% ( 0)	22.51% ( -0)	35.66%

Both teams to score 66.98% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.39% (

0.02)

33.61% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.57% (

0.02)

55.43% (

-0.02)

Tre Fiori Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.2% (

0.01)

16.8% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.23% (

0.02)

46.77% (

-0.02)

Fola Esch Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.5% (

0.01)

19.5% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.63% (

0.01)

51.37% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Tre Fiori 41.82%

Fola Esch 35.66%

Draw 22.51%

Tre Fiori	Draw	Fola Esch
2-1 @ 8.52% ( -0) 1-0 @ 5.84% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.21% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.07% ( 0) 3-2 @ 4.14% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.1% 4-1 @ 2.26% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.85% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.38% ( 0) 4-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 3.45% Total : 41.82%	1-1 @ 9.55% ( -0) 2-2 @ 6.97% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.28% ( -0) 3-3 @ 2.26% ( 0) Other @ 0.46% Total : 22.51%	1-2 @ 7.81% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.36% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.38% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.26% 2-3 @ 3.8% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.39% 1-4 @ 1.74% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.55% ( 0) 0-4 @ 0.98% 3-4 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 2.49% Total : 35.66%