Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 52.6%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Larne had a probability of 21.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.17%) and 2-0 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.48%) , while for a Larne win it was 0-1 (7.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.