NIFL Premiership Gameweek 3
Apr 11, 2026 1.00pm
Windsor Park

Linfield vs Larne - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Linfield

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Apr 7, 2026 7.45pm
Dungannon 1 - 3 Linfield
Goals scored
58
Top scorer
Matthew Fitzpatrick

Larne

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Apr 7, 2026 7.45pm
Larne 1 - 4 Coleraine
Goals scored
63
Top scorer
Andy Ryan

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Linfield win with a probability of 52.6%. A draw has a probability of 25.8% and a win for Larne has a probability of 21.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (10.17%) and 2-0 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.48%) , while for a Larne win it is 0-1 (7.18%).

Result

Linfield 52.6%
Draw 25.8%
Larne 21.55% (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.85% (-0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.69% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 28.31% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 46.25% (-0.07)
Under 2.5 53.75% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 24.12% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 75.88% (+0.01)
Over 4.5 13.14% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 86.86% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Linfield 36.28%
Draw 40.84%
Larne 22.88%

Team To Score First

Linfield 56.63%
No Goal 8.22%
Larne 35.15%

Corners

Over 8 56.16%
Equal 8 11.46%
Under 8 32.37% (-0.02)
Over 9 44.64% (+0.03)
Equal 9 11.53%
Under 9 43.84%
Over 10.5 33.97% (+0.01)
Under 10.5 66.03% (-0.02)

Linfield Goals

Over 1.5 46% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 54% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 20.46% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 79.54% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 7.39%
Under 3.5 92.61%

Larne Goals

Over 0.5 56.56% (-0.08)
Under 0.5 43.44% (+0.08)
Over 1.5 21.91% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 78.09% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 6.16% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 93.84% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 1.59%
Under 3.5 98.41%

Score analysis

Linfield 52.59%
Draw 25.8%
Larne 21.55%
Linfield
1-0 @ 12.85% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 10.17% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 9.69% (+0.04)
3-0 @ 5.24% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.82%
3-2 @ 2.44% (-0.02)
Other @ 7.38%
Total : 52.59%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.48%
0-0 @ 8.22%
2-2 @ 4.52% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 25.8%
Larne
0-1 @ 7.18% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 5.51% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.28% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.64%
0-3 @ 1.2% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 1.58%
Total : 21.55%

Head to Head

NIFL Premiership Gameweek 11
Feb 24, 2026 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Inver Park
  • Leroy Millar 13' goal
  • Andy Ryan 70' yellowcard
  • Ronan Doherty 88' yellowcard
  • Paul O'Neill 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Adam Frizzell 46'
  • goal Adam Frizzell 49'
  • yellowcard Chris McKee 72'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 25
Jan 16, 2026 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Windsor Park
  • Darragh Leahy 30' yellowcard
  • Darragh Leahy 30'+2' yellowcard
  • Matt Yates 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Matty Yates 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Jamie Mulgrew 75' yellowcard
  • Charlie Allen 76' yellowcard
  • Jamie Mulgrew 76' yellowcard
  • yellowcard 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Matt Lusty 60'
  • yellowcard Andy Ryan 60'
  • yellowcard Matthew Lusty 61'
  • yellowcard Andy Ryan 61'
  • yellowcard James Simpson 75'
  • yellowcard Conor McKendry 80'
  • yellowcard Conor McKendry 81'
NIFL Premiership
Dec 6, 2025 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Conor McKendry 74' yellowcard
  • Christopher Gallagher 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Matt Fitzpatrick 89'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 4
Apr 18, 2025 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Inver Park
  • Shaun Want 41' yellowcard
  • Sean Graham 71' yellowcard
  • Andy Ryan 76' goal
  • Conor McKendry 87' goal
  • goal K 32'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 24
Feb 11, 2025 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Windsor Park
  • Kieran Offord 59' goal
  • Chris Shields 80' yellowcard
  • redcard Andy Ryan 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Paul O'Neill 63'
  • yellowcard A 81'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 17
Nov 16, 2024 5.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Inver Park
  • Paul O'Neill 13' yellowcard
  • Conor McKendry 89' yellowcard
  • goal Joel Cooper 9'
  • yellowcard Dane McCullough 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Chris McKee 90'