NIFL Premiership
Feb 28, 2026 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT The Showgrounds
  • Igor Rutkowski 57' yellowcard
  • Jack O'Reilly 69' yellowcard
  • 69' yellowcard
  • yellowcard 8'
  • yellowcard Andy Ryan 8'
  • yellowcard Andy Ryan 30'
  • yellowcard Paul O'Neill 64'
  • yellowcard Conor McKendry 71'
  • yellowcard Tiarnan O'Connor 71'

Ballymena United vs Larne - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Ballymena United

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Feb 24, 2026 7.45pm
Ballymena 0 - 0 Glenavon
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Igor Rutkowski

Larne

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Feb 24, 2026 7.45pm
Larne 1 - 1 Linfield
Goals scored
57
Top scorer
Andy Ryan

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 56.69%. A draw had a probability of 22.74% and a win for Ballymena United had a probability of 20.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 1-2 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.57%) and 0-2 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%) , while for a Ballymena United win it was 1-0 (5.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.

Result

Ballymena United 20.57% (-0.31)
Draw 22.74% (-0.11)
Larne 56.69% (+0.40)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.48% (+0.13)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.74% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 22.26% (-0.11)
Over 2.5 54.58% (+0.23)
Under 2.5 45.42% (-0.23)
Over 3.5 31.76% (+0.22)
Under 3.5 68.24% (-0.22)
Over 4.5 18.51% (+0.21)
Under 4.5 81.49% (-0.21)

First Half Winner

Ballymena United 20.4% (+0.04)
Draw 39.49% (+0.03)
Larne 40.11% (-0.07)

Team To Score First

Ballymena United 32.8% (+0.31)
No Goal 5.93% (-0.07)
Larne 61.27% (-0.25)

Corners

Over 8 58.77% (+0.16)
Equal 8 11.39% (+0.04)
Under 8 29.84% (-0.18)
Over 9 47.07% (+0.11)
Equal 9 11.7% (+0.04)
Under 9 41.23% (-0.16)
Over 10.5 36.05% (+0.06)
Under 10.5 63.95% (-0.07)

Ballymena United Goals

Over 1.5 23.75% (-0.24)
Under 1.5 76.25% (+0.24)
Over 2.5 7.49% (-0.07)
Under 2.5 92.51% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 2.01% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 97.99% (+0.04)

Larne Goals

Over 0.5 82.21% (+0.23)
Under 0.5 17.79% (-0.24)
Over 1.5 53.72% (+0.41)
Under 1.5 46.28% (-0.41)
Over 2.5 27.33% (+0.32)
Under 2.5 72.67% (-0.32)
Over 3.5 11.14% (+0.29)
Under 3.5 88.86% (-0.29)

Score analysis

Ballymena United 20.56%
Draw 22.75%
Larne 56.7%
Ballymena United
1-0 @ 5.77% (-0.06)
2-1 @ 5.23% (-0.09)
2-0 @ 3.12% (-0.05)
3-1 @ 1.89% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 1.57% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 1.07%
Other @ 1.91% (-0.06)
Total : 20.56%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.8% (-0.07)
0-0 @ 5.93% (-0.07)
2-2 @ 4.97%
Other @ 0.1% (+0.03)
Total : 22.75%
Larne
1-2 @ 10.61% (+0.12)
0-1 @ 10.57% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 9.24% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 6.4% (+0.08)
0-3 @ 5.9% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.94% (-0.04)
Other @ 11.04% (+0.26)
Total : 56.7%

Head to Head

NIFL Premiership
Nov 1, 2025 5.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
NIFL Premiership
Aug 29, 2025 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 18
Mar 11, 2025 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT The Showgrounds
  • Jordan McMullan 8' goal
  • 45' yellowcard
  • goal Tiarnan O'Connor 31'
  • yellowcard Stephen O'Donnell 41'
  • goal Paul O'Neill 75'
  • yellowcard 78'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 27
Jan 25, 2025 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 3 1
FT Inver Park
  • Andy Ryan 6' goal
  • Dylan Sloan 45' goal
  • Dylan Sloan 45'+1' goal
  • 73' yellowcard
  • goal Andrew Scott 17'
  • yellowcard 42'
  • yellowcard 42'
  • yellowcard 85'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 6
Sep 7, 2024 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Inver Park
  • Josh Seary 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Donal Rocks 50'
  • yellowcard Andrew Scott 70'
  • goal Ben Kennedy 85'
  • yellowcard Ethan Devine 86'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 29
Feb 17, 2024 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT The Showgrounds
  • Dylan Boyle 68' yellowcard
  • Kym Nelson 80' yellowcard
  • goal Lee Bonis 8'
  • yellowcard A 49'
  • yellowcard Levi Ives 67'
  • yellowcard Isaac Westendorf 74'