Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 56.69%. A draw had a probability of 22.74% and a win for Ballymena United had a probability of 20.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 1-2 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.57%) and 0-2 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%) , while for a Ballymena United win it was 1-0 (5.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.