NIFL Premiership Gameweek 33
Mar 20, 2026 7.45pm
Belfast Loughshore Hotel Arena

Carrick Rangers vs Linfield - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Carrick Rangers

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Mar 14, 2026 3.00pm
Ballymena 2 - 1 Carrick
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Paul Heatley

Linfield

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Mar 10, 2026 7.45pm
Linfield 3 - 1 Portadown
Goals scored
54
Top scorer
Matthew Fitzpatrick

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Linfield win with a probability of 51.43%. A win for Carrick Rangers has a probability of 24.3% and a draw has a probability of 24.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.83%) and 0-2 (8.64%). The likeliest Carrick Rangers win is 1-0 (6.72%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.37%).

Result

Carrick Rangers 24.3% (-0.10)
Draw 24.27%
Linfield 51.43% (+0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.95% (-0.10)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.77% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 24.23% (+0.11)
Over 2.5 52.1% (-0.15)
Under 2.5 47.9% (+0.15)
Over 3.5 29.65% (-0.16)
Under 3.5 70.35% (+0.15)
Over 4.5 17.12% (-0.08)
Under 4.5 82.88% (+0.07)

First Half Winner

Carrick Rangers 24.19%
Draw 39.64%
Linfield 36.16%

Team To Score First

Carrick Rangers 36.89% (-0.02)
No Goal 6.68% (+0.05)
Linfield 56.43% (-0.03)

Corners

Over 8 58.73% (-0.15)
Equal 8 11.43% (+0.04)
Under 8 29.84% (+0.11)
Over 9 47% (-0.18)
Equal 9 11.74% (+0.03)
Under 9 41.27% (+0.15)
Over 10.5 35.95% (-0.18)
Under 10.5 64.05% (+0.18)

Carrick Rangers Goals

Over 1.5 26.95% (-0.17)
Under 1.5 73.05% (+0.16)
Over 2.5 8.77% (-0.10)
Under 2.5 91.23% (+0.11)
Over 3.5 2.51% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 97.49% (+0.04)

Linfield Goals

Over 0.5 79.11%
Under 0.5 20.89%
Over 1.5 48.53% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 51.47% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 23.18%
Under 2.5 76.82%
Over 3.5 8.82%
Under 3.5 91.18%

Score analysis

Carrick Rangers 24.3%
Draw 24.27%
Linfield 51.43%
Carrick Rangers
1-0 @ 6.72% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 6.2% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 3.66%
3-1 @ 2.18% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 1.71% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 1.38% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.45% (-0.03)
Total : 24.3%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.37% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.68% (+0.05)
2-2 @ 5.17% (-0.04)
Other @ 0.06%
Total : 24.27%
Linfield
0-1 @ 10.83% (+0.07)
1-2 @ 9.83% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 8.64% (+0.05)
1-3 @ 5.19%
0-3 @ 5.03% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 3.15% (-0.02)
Other @ 8.76%
Total : 51.43%

Head to Head

NIFL Premiership Gameweek 3
Jan 13, 2026 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Belfast Loughshore Hotel Arena
  • yellowcard Callumn Morrison 56'
  • yellowcard Chris McKee 77'
NIFL Premiership
Nov 29, 2025 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Chris McKee 11' goal
  • 65' yellowcard
  • Ethan McGee 65' yellowcard
  • Matt Yates 86' goal
  • Matt Yates 90'+5' goal
  • goal Aidan Steele 71'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 25
Jan 11, 2025 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT Windsor Park
  • Joel Cooper 49' goal
  • Euan East 54' goal
  • Matt Fitzpatrick 66' goal
  • Cammy Ballantyne 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Seanan Clucas 38'
  • yellowcard Cammy Ballantyne 88'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 15
Nov 3, 2024 12.30pm
1
3
HT : 1 0
FT Belfast Loughshore Hotel Arena
  • Joe Crowe 3' goal
  • David Cushley 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Curtis Allen 72' yellowcard
  • Mark Surgenor 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Kyle McClean 77'
  • goal Joel Cooper 79'
  • goal Chris Shields 90'+3'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 9
Sep 21, 2024 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Windsor Park
  • Joel Cooper 35' yellowcard
  • Kirk Millar 90'+7' goal
  • yellowcard Paul Heatley 6'
  • yellowcard Seanan Clucas 35'
  • yellowcard Mark Surgenor 86'
  • yellowcard Steven Gordon 90'+6'
  • yellowcard Emmett McGuckin 90'+9'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 33
Apr 2, 2024 7.45pm
2
3
HT : 1 1
FT Belfast Loughshore Hotel Arena
  • Nedas Macuilaitis 6' goal
  • Curtis Allen 82' goal
  • Lewis Mackinnon 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Chris Johns 12'
  • goal Joel Cooper 41'
  • yellowcard Jamie Mulgrew 45'+2'
  • goal Ethan McGee 60'
  • yellowcard Ben Hall 73'
  • goal Kyle McClean 78'