Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 51.43%. A win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 24.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.83%) and 0-2 (8.64%). The likeliest Carrick Rangers win was 1-0 (6.72%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.