NIFL Premiership Gameweek 32
Ballymena
Mar 14, 2026 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT The Showgrounds
Carrick
  • James Hood 58' yellowcard
  • Calvin McCurry 58' yellowcard
  • Igor Rutkowski 65' goal
  • Igor Rutkowski 69' goal
  • Donal Rocks 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ryan Waide 61'
  • yellowcard Matthew Olosunde 70'
  • goal Danny Purkis 77'

Ballymena United vs Carrick Rangers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Ballymena United

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Mar 7, 2026 3.00pm
Ballymena 1 - 1 Portadown
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Igor Rutkowski

Carrick Rangers

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Mar 3, 2026 7.45pm
Glentoran 1 - 0 Carrick
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Paul Heatley

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ballymena United win with a probability of 38.66%. A win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 35.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ballymena United win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (5.8%). The likeliest Carrick Rangers win was 1-2 (8.43%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.

Result

Ballymena United 38.66%
Draw 25.43%
Carrick Rangers 35.91%

Both Teams to Score: 

56.85% ▲ (+0.06)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.28% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 22.72% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 54.47% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 45.53% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 31.83% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 3.5 68.17% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 4.5 18.24% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 4.5 81.76% ▲ (+0.06)

First Half Winner

Ballymena United 27.98%
Draw 41.87%
Carrick Rangers 30.15%

Team To Score First

Ballymena United 46.32% ▲ (+0.01)
No Goal 6.17% ▼ (-0.01)
Carrick Rangers 47.51%

Corners

Over 8 49.32% ▲ (+0.07)
Equal 8 11.8% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 8 38.87% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 9 38.06% ▲ (+0.08)
Equal 9 11.26% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 9 50.67% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 10.5 28.16% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 10.5 71.84% ▼ (-0.07)

Ballymena United Goals

Over 1.5 40.27%
Under 1.5 59.73%
Over 2.5 17.5% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 82.5% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 3.5 6.08%
Under 3.5 93.92%

Carrick Rangers Goals

Over 0.5 70.55%
Under 0.5 29.45%
Over 1.5 38.32% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 1.5 61.68% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 2.5 15.86% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 84.14% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 5.55% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 94.45% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Ballymena United 38.66%
Draw 25.42%
Carrick Rangers 35.93%
Ballymena United
1-0 @ 8.57%
2-1 @ 8.42% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 5.8% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.09% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 3.11%
3-2 @ 2.86% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 5.81%
Total : 38.66%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.73% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.17% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.89% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.36%
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 25.42%
Carrick Rangers
1-2 @ 8.43% ▲ (+0.02)
0-1 @ 7.99% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 5.28%
1-3 @ 3.61%
0-3 @ 2.68% ▲ (+0.05)
2-3 @ 2.66% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 5.28% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 35.93%

Head to Head

NIFL Premiership
Ballymena
Dec 20, 2025 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
Carrick
  • Daire O'Connor 65' goal
  • Danny Lafferty 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Aidan Steele 40'
  • yellowcard Billy Joe Burns 71'
NIFL Premiership
Carrick
Oct 4, 2025 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Ballymena
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 3
Ballymena
Apr 12, 2025 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT The Showgrounds
Carrick
  • Caolan Loughran 52' yellowcard
  • Kian Corbally 56' yellowcard
  • Aaron Jarvis 75' goal
  • Aaron Jarvis 75' goal
  • Ben Kennedy 81' yellowcard
  • Ben Kennedy 81' yellowcard
  • goal David Cushley 90'+7'
  • goal David Cushley 90'+7'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 26
Carrick
Jan 18, 2025 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Belfast Loughshore Hotel Arena
Ballymena
  • Ben Buchanan-Rolleston 30' yellowcard
  • Ethan Boyle 35' yellowcard
  • Emmett McGuckin 45' yellowcard
  • Kyle Cherry 68' yellowcard
  • 89' yellowcard
  • 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard 27'
  • yellowcard 32'
  • yellowcard 90'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 19
Ballymena
Nov 30, 2024 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT The Showgrounds
Carrick
  • Josh Carson 8' yellowcard
  • Andrew Scott 22' yellowcard
  • Daithi McCallion 65' goal
  • yellowcard Kurtis Forsythe 22'
  • yellowcard Kyle Cherry 23'
  • yellowcard Seanan Clucas 25'
  • goal Dan Purkis 49'
  • goal Nedas Macuilaitis 71'
  • redcard Ross Glendinning 79'
  • yellowcard Paul Heatley 80'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 8
Carrick
Sep 17, 2024 7.45pm
1
4
HT : 0 2
FT Belfast Loughshore Hotel Arena
Ballymena
  • Kurtis Forsythe 26' yellowcard
  • Reece Glendinning 35' yellowcard
  • Steven Gordon 35' yellowcard
  • Nedas Macuilaitis 56' yellowcard
  • Steven Gordon 57' goal
  • Seanan Clucas 69' yellowcard
  • Cameron Stewart 75' yellowcard
  • Kyle Cherry 77' yellowcard
  • goal Aaron Jarvis 2'
  • yellowcard Aaron Jarvis 4'
  • goal Danny Lafferty 15'
  • yellowcard Josh Carson 30'
  • yellowcard Jonathan McMurray 35'
  • yellowcard Andrew Scott 35'
  • yellowcard Ben Kennedy 37'
  • goal Ben Kennedy 90'+1'
  • goal Ben Kennedy 90'+6'

Form Data

Ballymena 1 - 1 Portadown
Ballymena 0 - 2 Larne
Ballymena 0 - 0 Glenavon
Coleraine 1 - 0 Ballymena
Ballymena 2 - 0 Crusaders
Glentoran 2 - 1 Ballymena
Glentoran 1 - 0 Carrick
Carrick 1 - 1 Bangor
Larne 2 - 3 Carrick
Carrick 1 - 1 Coleraine
Carrick 2 - 1 Glenavon
Carrick 3 - 2 Bangor