NIFL Premiership Gameweek 32
Mar 14, 2026 3.00pm
The Showgrounds

Ballymena United vs Carrick Rangers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Ballymena United

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Mar 7, 2026 3.00pm
Ballymena 1 - 1 Portadown
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Igor Rutkowski

Carrick Rangers

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Mar 3, 2026 7.45pm
Glentoran 1 - 0 Carrick
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Paul Heatley

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Ballymena United win with a probability of 38.66%. A win for Carrick Rangers has a probability of 35.91% and a draw has a probability of 25.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ballymena United win is 1-0 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (5.79%). The likeliest Carrick Rangers win is 1-2 (8.41%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.74%).

Result

Ballymena United 38.66% (-0.55)
Draw 25.43% (+0.04)
Carrick Rangers 35.91% (+0.50)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.8% (-0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.25% (-0.10)
Under 1.5 22.75% (+0.09)
Over 2.5 54.43% (-0.15)
Under 2.5 45.57% (+0.15)
Over 3.5 31.88% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 68.12% (+0.05)
Over 4.5 18.29% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 81.71% (+0.03)

First Half Winner

Ballymena United 27.98% (-0.06)
Draw 41.87% (-0.03)
Carrick Rangers 30.15% (+0.08)

Team To Score First

Ballymena United 46.31% (-0.29)
No Goal 6.18% (+0.02)
Carrick Rangers 47.51% (+0.26)

Corners

Over 8 49.26% (-0.29)
Equal 8 11.81% (+0.04)
Under 8 38.93% (+0.26)
Over 9 37.99% (-0.30)
Equal 9 11.27% (+0.01)
Under 9 50.74% (+0.29)
Over 10.5 28.09% (-0.29)
Under 10.5 71.91% (+0.29)

Ballymena United Goals

Over 1.5 40.27% (-0.50)
Under 1.5 59.73% (+0.50)
Over 2.5 17.54% (-0.34)
Under 2.5 82.46% (+0.33)
Over 3.5 6.08% (-0.17)
Under 3.5 93.92% (+0.18)

Carrick Rangers Goals

Over 0.5 70.55% (+0.36)
Under 0.5 29.45% (-0.36)
Over 1.5 38.3% (+0.38)
Under 1.5 61.7% (-0.38)
Over 2.5 15.85% (+0.27)
Under 2.5 84.15% (-0.27)
Over 3.5 5.57% (+0.12)
Under 3.5 94.43% (-0.11)

Score analysis

Ballymena United 38.66%
Draw 25.43%
Carrick Rangers 35.92%
Ballymena United
1-0 @ 8.57% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 8.39% (-0.10)
2-0 @ 5.79% (-0.09)
3-1 @ 4.11% (-0.06)
3-0 @ 3.11% (-0.10)
3-2 @ 2.88% (-0.02)
Other @ 5.81% (-0.18)
Total : 38.66%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.74% (+0.05)
0-0 @ 6.18% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.88% (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.36%
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 25.43%
Carrick Rangers
1-2 @ 8.41% (+0.05)
0-1 @ 8.01% (+0.10)
0-2 @ 5.28% (+0.11)
1-3 @ 3.61% (+0.09)
2-3 @ 2.67% (+0.05)
0-3 @ 2.64% (+0.05)
Other @ 5.3% (+0.11)
Total : 35.92%

Head to Head

NIFL Premiership
Dec 20, 2025 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Daire O'Connor 65' goal
  • Danny Lafferty 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Aidan Steele 40'
  • yellowcard Billy Joe Burns 71'
NIFL Premiership
Oct 4, 2025 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 3
Apr 12, 2025 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT The Showgrounds
  • Caolan Loughran 52' yellowcard
  • Kian Corbally 56' yellowcard
  • Aaron Jarvis 75' goal
  • Aaron Jarvis 75' goal
  • Ben Kennedy 81' yellowcard
  • Ben Kennedy 81' yellowcard
  • goal David Cushley 90'+7'
  • goal David Cushley 90'+7'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 26
Jan 18, 2025 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Belfast Loughshore Hotel Arena
  • Ben Buchanan-Rolleston 30' yellowcard
  • Ethan Boyle 35' yellowcard
  • Emmett McGuckin 45' yellowcard
  • Kyle Cherry 68' yellowcard
  • 89' yellowcard
  • 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard 27'
  • yellowcard 32'
  • yellowcard 90'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 19
Nov 30, 2024 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT The Showgrounds
  • Josh Carson 8' yellowcard
  • Andrew Scott 22' yellowcard
  • Daithi McCallion 65' goal
  • yellowcard Kurtis Forsythe 22'
  • yellowcard Kyle Cherry 23'
  • yellowcard Seanan Clucas 25'
  • goal Dan Purkis 49'
  • goal Nedas Macuilaitis 71'
  • redcard Ross Glendinning 79'
  • yellowcard Paul Heatley 80'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 8
Sep 17, 2024 7.45pm
1
4
HT : 0 2
FT Belfast Loughshore Hotel Arena
  • Kurtis Forsythe 26' yellowcard
  • Reece Glendinning 35' yellowcard
  • Steven Gordon 35' yellowcard
  • Nedas Macuilaitis 56' yellowcard
  • Steven Gordon 57' goal
  • Seanan Clucas 69' yellowcard
  • Cameron Stewart 75' yellowcard
  • Kyle Cherry 77' yellowcard
  • goal Aaron Jarvis 2'
  • yellowcard Aaron Jarvis 4'
  • goal Danny Lafferty 15'
  • yellowcard Josh Carson 30'
  • yellowcard Jonathan McMurray 35'
  • yellowcard Andrew Scott 35'
  • yellowcard Ben Kennedy 37'
  • goal Ben Kennedy 90'+1'
  • goal Ben Kennedy 90'+6'