NIFL Premiership Gameweek 16
Mar 3, 2026 7.45pm
The Oval

Glentoran vs Carrick Rangers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Glentoran

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Feb 28, 2026 3.00pm
Glentoran 5 - 1 Crusaders
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Pat Hoban

Carrick Rangers

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Feb 28, 2026 3.00pm
Carrick 1 - 1 Bangor
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Paul Heatley

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Glentoran win with a probability of 68.01%. A draw has a probability of 18.98% and a win for Carrick Rangers has a probability of 13.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Glentoran win is 2-0 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (10.87%) and 2-1 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.12%) , while for a Carrick Rangers win it is 0-1 (3.84%).

Result

Glentoran 68.01% (+2.97)
Draw 18.98% (-1.47)
Carrick Rangers 13.01% (-1.50)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.64% (+0.54)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.37% (+1.97)
Under 1.5 19.63% (-1.98)
Over 2.5 57.25% (+2.61)
Under 2.5 42.75% (-2.61)
Over 3.5 35.84% (+2.28)
Under 3.5 64.16% (-2.28)
Over 4.5 22.87% (+1.98)
Under 4.5 77.13% (-1.97)

First Half Winner

Glentoran 47.04% (+2.09)
Draw 36.04% (-1.06)
Carrick Rangers 16.91% (-1.06)

Team To Score First

Glentoran 68.57% (+2.47)
No Goal 4.95% (-0.73)
Carrick Rangers 26.48% (-1.74)

Corners

Over 8 53.56% (+0.77)
Equal 8 11.54% (-0.15)
Under 8 34.91% (-0.61)
Over 9 42.18% (+0.83)
Equal 9 11.38% (-0.09)
Under 9 46.44% (-0.77)
Over 10.5 31.85% (+0.84)
Under 10.5 68.15% (-0.83)

Glentoran Goals

Over 1.5 63.27% (+3.34)
Under 1.5 36.73% (-3.34)
Over 2.5 36.61% (+3.15)
Under 2.5 63.39% (-3.16)
Over 3.5 16.55% (+2.12)
Under 3.5 83.45% (-2.11)

Carrick Rangers Goals

Over 0.5 46.83% (-1.36)
Under 0.5 53.17% (+1.36)
Over 1.5 17.43% (-0.95)
Under 1.5 82.57% (+0.94)
Over 2.5 4.6% (-0.50)
Under 2.5 95.4% (+0.50)
Over 3.5 1.14% (-0.09)
Under 3.5 98.86% (+0.08)

Score analysis

Glentoran 68.03%
Draw 18.99%
Carrick Rangers 13.01%
Glentoran
2-0 @ 12.18% (+0.24)
1-0 @ 10.87% (-0.67)
2-1 @ 9.04% (+0.15)
3-0 @ 8.66% (+0.43)
3-1 @ 7.4% (+0.54)
3-2 @ 3.34% (+0.18)
Other @ 16.54% (+2.12)
Total : 68.03%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.12% (-0.57)
0-0 @ 4.95% (-0.73)
2-2 @ 4.25% (-0.06)
Other @ 0.01% (-0.01)
Total : 18.99%
Carrick Rangers
0-1 @ 3.84% (-0.55)
1-2 @ 3.44% (-0.25)
0-2 @ 1.8% (-0.33)
1-3 @ 1.33% (-0.17)
2-3 @ 1.19% (-0.15)
Other @ 1.13% (-0.08)
Total : 13.01%

Head to Head

NIFL Premiership Gameweek 24
Jan 3, 2026 3.00pm
0
7
HT : 0 4
FT Belfast Loughshore Hotel Arena
  • Eoghan McCawl 11' yellowcard
  • Benjamin Buchanan-Rolleston 46' yellowcard
  • Jack Boyd 74' yellowcard
  • Codey James 89' yellowcard
  • goal Pat Hoban 9'
  • goal Pat Hoban 14'
  • goal Pat Hoban 41'
  • goal Pat Hoban 44'
  • goal Pat Hoban 50'
  • goal Pat Hoban 52'
  • yellowcard James Douglas 54'
  • yellowcard Nathaniel Ferris 54'
  • goal Liam Burt 62'
  • yellowcard Dylan Connolly 67'
  • yellowcard Christie Pattison 72'
  • yellowcard Shane McEleney 72'
NIFL Premiership
Aug 30, 2025 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 32
Mar 15, 2025 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Belfast Loughshore Hotel Arena
  • Joe Crowe 25' yellowcard
  • 50' yellowcard
  • 72' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Cammy Palmer 33'
  • yellowcard 86'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 13
Oct 19, 2024 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT The Oval
  • David Fisher 12' goal
  • Danny Amos 49' yellowcard
  • Jay Donnelly 56' yellowcard
  • Finley Thorndike 76' yellowcard
  • goal Dan Purkis 79'
  • yellowcard Paul Heatley 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Emmett McGuckin 90'+3'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 4
Aug 23, 2024 7.45pm
2
3
HT : 1 2
FT Belfast Loughshore Hotel Arena
  • Dan Purkis 24' goal
  • Kurtis Forsythe 40' yellowcard
  • Kurtis Forsythe 44' redcard
  • Paul Heatley 58' goal
  • Cameron Stewart 73' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Marcus Kane 32'
  • goal David Fisher 41'
  • goal Frankie Hvid 45'+1'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 28
Feb 10, 2024 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 0
FT The Oval
  • Bobby Burns 20' goal
  • David Fisher 36' goal
  • Bobby Burns 55' yellowcard
  • Seanan Clucas 68' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Steven Gordon 63'
  • goal Andy Mitchell 67'
  • yellowcard Cameron Stewart 69'
  • goal Curtis Allen 83'
  • yellowcard James Teelan 90'+4'