Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glentoran win with a probability of 67.77%. A draw had a probability of 18.73% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 13.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glentoran win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.43%) and 2-1 (10.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.91%) , while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 1-2 (4%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.