Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ballymena United win with a probability of 44.43%. A win for Portadown had a probability of 29.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ballymena United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Portadown win was 0-1 (7.87%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.