NIFL Premiership Gameweek 26
Mar 7, 2026 3.00pm
The Showgrounds

Ballymena United vs Portadown - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Ballymena United

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Feb 28, 2026 3.00pm
Ballymena 0 - 2 Larne
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Igor Rutkowski

Portadown

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Feb 28, 2026 3.00pm
Glenavon 3 - 0 Portadown
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Eamon Fyfe

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Ballymena United win with a probability of 44.53%. A win for Portadown has a probability of 29.64% and a draw has a probability of 25.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ballymena United win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Portadown win is 0-1 (7.85%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.31%).

Result

Ballymena United 44.53% (-1.65)
Draw 25.88% (-1.02)
Portadown 29.64% (+2.77)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.57% (+2.36)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.7% (+3.38)
Under 1.5 25.3% (-3.38)
Over 2.5 50.53% (+4.97)
Under 2.5 49.47% (-4.97)
Over 3.5 27.87% (+3.59)
Under 3.5 72.13% (-3.60)
Over 4.5 15.57% (+2.64)
Under 4.5 84.43% (-2.63)

First Half Winner

Ballymena United 33.1% (-4.00)
Draw 41.55% (+0.29)
Portadown 25.35% (+3.72)

Team To Score First

Ballymena United 52.53% (-1.29)
No Goal 7.06% (-1.02)
Portadown 40.41% (+2.29)

Corners

Over 8 48.15% (-3.76)
Equal 8 11.97% (+0.03)
Under 8 39.89% (+3.75)
Over 9 36.84% (-3.44)
Equal 9 11.31% (-0.33)
Under 9 51.85% (+3.76)
Over 10.5 26.99% (-2.90)
Under 10.5 73.01% (+2.90)

Ballymena United Goals

Over 1.5 42.67% (+1.53)
Under 1.5 57.33% (-1.53)
Over 2.5 18.71% (+1.11)
Under 2.5 81.29% (-1.10)
Over 3.5 6.61% (+0.79)
Under 3.5 93.39% (-0.80)

Portadown Goals

Over 0.5 64.65% (+2.99)
Under 0.5 35.35% (-2.98)
Over 1.5 30.93% (+4.47)
Under 1.5 69.07% (-4.48)
Over 2.5 11.19% (+2.69)
Under 2.5 88.81% (-2.69)
Over 3.5 3.33% (+1.02)
Under 3.5 96.67% (-1.02)

Score analysis

Ballymena United 44.52%
Draw 25.88%
Portadown 29.63%
Ballymena United
1-0 @ 10.42% (-1.78)
2-1 @ 9.2% (+0.09)
2-0 @ 7.4% (-0.67)
3-1 @ 4.36% (-0.09)
3-0 @ 4.03% (-0.13)
3-2 @ 2.64% (+0.23)
Other @ 6.47% (+0.69)
Total : 44.52%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.31% (-1.00)
0-0 @ 7.06% (-1.02)
2-2 @ 5.3% (+0.59)
3-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 0.14% (+0.10)
Total : 25.88%
Portadown
0-1 @ 7.85% (-0.50)
1-2 @ 7.32% (+0.90)
0-2 @ 4.48% (+0.09)
1-3 @ 2.62% (+0.44)
0-3 @ 2.11% (+0.54)
2-3 @ 2.06% (+0.42)
Other @ 3.19% (+0.92)
Total : 29.63%

Head to Head

NIFL Premiership
Dec 13, 2025 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Gary Thompson 72' yellowcard
  • James Teelan 77' goal
  • James Teelan 83' yellowcard
  • Ben Wylie 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Stephen O'Donnell 37'
  • yellowcard Success Edogun 52'
  • yellowcard Jack O'Reilly 90'
NIFL Premiership
Aug 19, 2025 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 5
Apr 26, 2025 5.30pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT Shamrock Park
  • Shay McCartan 16' goal
  • Lee Chapman 24' yellowcard
  • Shay McCartan 31' yellowcard
  • Steven McCullough 45'+3' goal
  • Steven McCullough 59' yellowcard
  • Steven McCullough 59' yellowcard
  • goal Luke Hawe 37'
  • yellowcard 45'+3'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 30
Feb 22, 2025 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT The Showgrounds
  • James Hood 26' goal
  • Aaron Jarvis 32' yellowcard
  • Joseph Moore 90'+4' goal
  • yellowcard Ben Wylie 24'
  • yellowcard Baris Altintop 78'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 15
Nov 1, 2024 7.45pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT The Showgrounds
  • Josh Carson 34' yellowcard
  • Donal Rocks 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Baris Altintop 23'
  • yellowcard Shay McCartan 58'
  • goal Joshua Ukek 79'
  • goal Ryan Mayse 81'
  • yellowcard Ryan Mayse 82'
  • goal Eamon Fyfe 86'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 10
Sep 28, 2024 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Shamrock Park
  • Eoghan McCawl 35' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ethan Devine 18'
  • goal Ethan Devine 45'
  • yellowcard Ben Kennedy 87'
  • yellowcard Oisin Devlin 90'+4'