Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 77.67%. A draw had a probability of 14.79% and a win for Portadown had a probability of 7.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.25%) and 3-0 (11.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.21%) , while for a Portadown win it was 0-1 (2.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.