Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 61.33%. A draw had a probability of 21.84% and a win for Glenavon had a probability of 16.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.28%) and 1-2 (10.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.24%) , while for a Glenavon win it was 1-0 (5.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.