NIFL Premiership Gameweek 33
Mar 20, 2026 7.45pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT Mourneview Park
  • Niall Quinn 29' yellowcard
  • Kris Lowe 75' yellowcard
  • Gavin Gilmore 75' yellowcard
  • goal Paul O'Neill 63'
  • goal Leroy Millar 69'
  • yellowcard Ronan Doherty 70'
  • yellowcard Matthew Lusty 70'
  • goal Andy Ryan 90'+4'

Glenavon vs Larne - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Glenavon

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Mar 14, 2026 3.00pm
Crusaders 0 - 3 Glenavon
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Paul McGovern

Larne

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Mar 13, 2026 7.45pm
Larne 2 - 1 Dungannon
Goals scored
60
Top scorer
Andy Ryan

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 61.33%. A draw had a probability of 21.84% and a win for Glenavon had a probability of 16.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.28%) and 1-2 (10.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.24%) , while for a Glenavon win it was 1-0 (5.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result

Glenavon 16.83%
Draw 21.84%
Larne 61.33% (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.64%

Goals

Over 1.5 75.66% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 24.34% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 51.6% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 48.4% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 29.49% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 70.51% (+0.06)
Over 4.5 18.11% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 81.89% (+0.05)

First Half Winner

Glenavon 20.16%
Draw 38.3%
Larne 41.54%

Team To Score First

Glenavon 31.01%
No Goal 6.72% (+0.01)
Larne 62.27% (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 54.11% (-0.04)
Equal 8 11.96% (+0.02)
Under 8 33.93% (+0.01)
Over 9 42.27% (-0.03)
Equal 9 11.84% (+0.01)
Under 9 45.89% (+0.04)
Over 10.5 31.52% (-0.04)
Under 10.5 68.48% (+0.05)

Glenavon Goals

Over 1.5 19.19% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 80.81% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 5.17% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 94.83% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 1.29% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 98.71% (+0.01)

Larne Goals

Over 0.5 83.36% (-0.08)
Under 0.5 16.64% (+0.09)
Over 1.5 55.12% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 44.88% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 28.37% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 71.63% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 12.17% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 87.83% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Glenavon 16.83%
Draw 21.86%
Larne 61.31%
Glenavon
1-0 @ 5.38%
2-1 @ 4.43% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 2.53%
3-1 @ 1.33% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.15% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.28% (-0.02)
Total : 16.83%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.24%
0-0 @ 6.72% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.22%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 21.86%
Larne
0-1 @ 12.24% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 11.28% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 10.1% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 6.86%
1-3 @ 5.83% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.84% (-0.02)
Other @ 12.16% (-0.01)
Total : 61.31%

Head to Head

NIFL Premiership
Nov 22, 2025 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
NIFL Premiership
Sep 13, 2025 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 33
Mar 22, 2025 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 1 0
FT Mourneview Park
  • 14' goal
  • Harry Murphy 56' yellowcard
  • David Toure 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Andy Ryan 40'
  • yellowcard Paul O'Neill 42'
  • yellowcard Christopher Gallagher 52'
  • goal Tiarnan O'Connor 75'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 21
Feb 18, 2025 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Inver Park
  • Tiarnan O'Connor 9' goal
  • Andy Ryan 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Christopher Atherton 47'
  • goal David Toure 90'+2'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 8
Sep 17, 2024 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Mourneview Park
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 32
Mar 16, 2024 3.00pm
6
1
HT : 5 1
FT Inver Park
  • Lee Bonis 12' goal
  • Lee Bonis 15' goal
  • Andy Ryan 17' goal
  • Lee Bonis 23' goal
  • Andy Ryan 25' goal
  • Sean Graham 31' yellowcard
  • Sean Graham 42' redcard
  • Jaziel Orozco 68' yellowcard
  • Lee Bonis 78' goal
  • yellowcard Mark Byrne 10'
  • goal Len O'Sullivan 39'
  • redcard Peter Campbell 72'
  • yellowcard Jack Malone 85'