NIFL Premiership Gameweek 32
Mar 14, 2026 3.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT Seaview
  • goal Paddy Burns 60'
  • goal Luke McGerrigan 64'
  • goal Conor Falls 77'

Crusaders vs Glenavon - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Crusaders

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Mar 10, 2026 7.45pm
Crusaders 0 - 1 Cliftonville
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Fraser Bryden

Glenavon

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Feb 28, 2026 3.00pm
Glenavon 3 - 0 Portadown
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Paul McGovern

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 39.63%. A win for Glenavon had a probability of 35.22% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.17%) and 2-0 (5.98%). The likeliest Glenavon win was 1-2 (8.18%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.

Result

Crusaders 39.63% (-0.36)
Draw 25.2% (+0.15)
Glenavon 35.22% (+0.33)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.43% (-0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.62% (-0.18)
Under 1.5 21.38% (+0.17)
Over 2.5 56.03% (-0.30)
Under 2.5 43.97% (+0.30)
Over 3.5 33.54% (-0.43)
Under 3.5 66.46% (+0.42)
Over 4.5 19.51% (-0.30)
Under 4.5 80.49% (+0.30)

First Half Winner

Crusaders 30.52% (-0.11)
Draw 40.75%
Glenavon 28.73% (+0.11)

Team To Score First

Crusaders 48.88% (-0.37)
No Goal 5.81% (+0.11)
Glenavon 45.31% (+0.27)

Corners

Over 8 54.54% (-1.57)
Equal 8 11.79% (+0.18)
Under 8 33.68% (+1.40)
Over 9 42.83% (-1.61)
Equal 9 11.71% (+0.04)
Under 9 45.46% (+1.57)
Over 10.5 32.15% (-1.50)
Under 10.5 67.85% (+1.50)

Crusaders Goals

Over 1.5 42.14% (-0.50)
Under 1.5 57.86% (+0.50)
Over 2.5 18.72% (-0.39)
Under 2.5 81.28% (+0.38)
Over 3.5 6.91% (-0.21)
Under 3.5 93.09% (+0.22)

Glenavon Goals

Over 0.5 70.25% (+0.19)
Under 0.5 29.75% (-0.18)
Over 1.5 38.52% (+0.09)
Under 1.5 61.48% (-0.09)
Over 2.5 16.31% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 83.69% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 5.62% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 94.38% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Crusaders 39.62%
Draw 25.2%
Glenavon 35.22%
Crusaders
2-1 @ 8.52% (-0.02)
1-0 @ 8.17% (+0.04)
2-0 @ 5.98% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 4.21% (-0.08)
3-0 @ 3.2% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.91% (-0.09)
Other @ 6.63% (-0.21)
Total : 39.62%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.56% (+0.09)
2-2 @ 6.06% (-0.06)
0-0 @ 5.81% (+0.11)
3-3 @ 1.49% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 25.2%
Glenavon
1-2 @ 8.18% (+0.05)
0-1 @ 7.44% (+0.12)
0-2 @ 5.06% (+0.08)
1-3 @ 3.76% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.86% (-0.04)
0-3 @ 2.58% (+0.09)
Other @ 5.34% (+0.04)
Total : 35.22%

Head to Head

NIFL Premiership
Nov 15, 2025 3.00pm
4
1
HT : 0 0
FT
NIFL Premiership
Sep 27, 2025 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 30
Feb 22, 2025 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Mourneview Park
  • David McDaid 42' yellowcard
  • Michael O'Connor 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Robbie Weir 25'
  • goal Daniel Larmour 44'
  • yellowcard Jarlath O'Rourke 56'
  • yellowcard Daniel Larmour 90'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 20
Dec 17, 2024 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 1 2
FT Mourneview Park
  • Mark Haughey 28' yellowcard
  • Michael O'Connor 38' yellowcard
  • Michael O'Connor 43' goal
  • Peter Campbell 62' goal
  • Jack Malone 65' yellowcard
  • David McDaid 73' goal
  • yellowcard Jacob Blaney 12'
  • goal 19'
  • goal Philip Lowry 19'
  • yellowcard Ross Clarke 55'
  • yellowcard Jordan Owens 87'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 7
Sep 14, 2024 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Seaview
  • Jordan Stewart 26' yellowcard
  • Jordan Forsythe 48' yellowcard
  • Philip Lowry 55' yellowcard
  • Stewart Nixon 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Peter Campbell 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Jarlath O'Rourke 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Michael O'Connor 18'
  • yellowcard David Toure 72'
  • yellowcard Harry Jewitt-White 90'+4'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 30
Feb 24, 2024 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Seaview
  • Jude Winchester 10' goal
  • Ben Kennedy 54' goal
  • Philip Lowry 75' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Peter Campbell 27'
  • yellowcard Sean Ward 83'