Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 39.63%. A win for Glenavon had a probability of 35.22% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.17%) and 2-0 (5.98%). The likeliest Glenavon win was 1-2 (8.18%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.