NIFL Premiership Gameweek 32
Mar 14, 2026 3.00pm
Seaview

Crusaders vs Glenavon - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Crusaders

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Feb 28, 2026 3.00pm
Glentoran 5 - 1 Crusaders
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Fraser Bryden

Glenavon

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Feb 28, 2026 3.00pm
Glenavon 3 - 0 Portadown
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Paul McGovern

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Crusaders win with a probability of 42.63%. A win for Glenavon has a probability of 32.8% and a draw has a probability of 24.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8%) and 2-0 (6.34%). The likeliest Glenavon win is 1-2 (7.65%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.15%).

Result

Crusaders 42.63%
Draw 24.57%
Glenavon 32.8%

Both Teams to Score: 

59.12%

Goals

Over 1.5 80.19%
Under 1.5 19.81%
Over 2.5 58.11%
Under 2.5 41.89%
Over 3.5 36.41%
Under 3.5 63.59%
Over 4.5 21.72%
Under 4.5 78.28%

First Half Winner

Crusaders 32.68%
Draw 39.85%
Glenavon 27.47%

Team To Score First

Crusaders 51.18%
No Goal 5.19%
Glenavon 43.63%

Corners

Over 8 57.09%
Equal 8 11.41%
Under 8 31.5%
Over 9 45.53%
Equal 9 11.56%
Under 9 42.91%
Over 10.5 34.77%
Under 10.5 65.23%

Crusaders Goals

Over 1.5 45.84%
Under 1.5 54.16%
Over 2.5 21.56%
Under 2.5 78.44%
Over 3.5 8.54%
Under 3.5 91.46%

Glenavon Goals

Over 0.5 68.91%
Under 0.5 31.09%
Over 1.5 37.72%
Under 1.5 62.28%
Over 2.5 15.87%
Under 2.5 84.13%
Over 3.5 5.58%
Under 3.5 94.42%

Score analysis

Crusaders 42.63%
Draw 24.57%
Glenavon 32.81%
Crusaders
2-1 @ 8.66%
1-0 @ 8%
2-0 @ 6.34%
3-1 @ 4.75%
3-0 @ 3.34%
3-2 @ 3.31%
Other @ 8.23%
Total : 42.63%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.15%
2-2 @ 6.3%
0-0 @ 5.19%
3-3 @ 1.62%
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 24.57%
Glenavon
1-2 @ 7.65%
0-1 @ 6.63%
0-2 @ 4.59%
1-3 @ 3.64%
2-3 @ 2.98%
0-3 @ 2.05%
Other @ 5.27%
Total : 32.81%

Head to Head

NIFL Premiership
Nov 15, 2025 3.00pm
4
1
HT : 0 0
FT
NIFL Premiership
Sep 27, 2025 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 30
Feb 22, 2025 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Mourneview Park
  • David McDaid 42' yellowcard
  • Michael O'Connor 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Robbie Weir 25'
  • goal Daniel Larmour 44'
  • yellowcard Jarlath O'Rourke 56'
  • yellowcard Daniel Larmour 90'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 20
Dec 17, 2024 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 1 2
FT Mourneview Park
  • Mark Haughey 28' yellowcard
  • Michael O'Connor 38' yellowcard
  • Michael O'Connor 43' goal
  • Peter Campbell 62' goal
  • Jack Malone 65' yellowcard
  • David McDaid 73' goal
  • yellowcard Jacob Blaney 12'
  • goal 19'
  • goal Philip Lowry 19'
  • yellowcard Ross Clarke 55'
  • yellowcard Jordan Owens 87'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 7
Sep 14, 2024 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Seaview
  • Jordan Stewart 26' yellowcard
  • Jordan Forsythe 48' yellowcard
  • Philip Lowry 55' yellowcard
  • Stewart Nixon 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Peter Campbell 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Jarlath O'Rourke 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Michael O'Connor 18'
  • yellowcard David Toure 72'
  • yellowcard Harry Jewitt-White 90'+4'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 30
Feb 24, 2024 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Seaview
  • Jude Winchester 10' goal
  • Ben Kennedy 54' goal
  • Philip Lowry 75' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Peter Campbell 27'
  • yellowcard Sean Ward 83'