NIFL Premiership Gameweek 32
Mar 13, 2026 7.45pm
Inver Park

Larne vs Dungannon Swifts - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Larne

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Feb 28, 2026 3.00pm
Ballymena 0 - 2 Larne
Goals scored
55
Top scorer
Andy Ryan

Dungannon Swifts

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Feb 28, 2026 3.00pm
Dungannon 3 - 1 Coleraine
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Sean McAllister

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Larne win with a probability of 57.93%. A draw has a probability of 23.04% and a win for Dungannon Swifts has a probability of 19.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Larne win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.25%) and 2-1 (9.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.19%) , while for a Dungannon Swifts win it is 0-1 (5.86%).

Result

Larne 57.93% (-0.05)
Draw 23.04% (+0.04)
Dungannon Swifts 19.02% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.3% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.5% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 24.5% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 51.29%
Under 2.5 48.71%
Over 3.5 29.12% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 70.88% (+0.02)
Over 4.5 17.2% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 82.8% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Larne 40.03%
Draw 40.2%
Dungannon Swifts 19.77%

Team To Score First

Larne 61.08% (-0.02)
No Goal 6.48% (+0.03)
Dungannon Swifts 32.44% (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 50.68% (+0.03)
Equal 8 11.99% (+0.01)
Under 8 37.33% (-0.04)
Over 9 39.13% (+0.02)
Equal 9 11.56% (+0.03)
Under 9 49.32% (-0.03)
Over 10.5 28.89%
Under 10.5 71.11%

Larne Goals

Over 1.5 52.6% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 47.4% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 26.37% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 73.63% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 10.7% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 89.3% (+0.01)

Dungannon Swifts Goals

Over 0.5 54.1% (+0.06)
Under 0.5 45.9% (-0.06)
Over 1.5 21.32% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 78.68% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 6.31% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 93.69% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 1.53%
Under 3.5 98.47%

Score analysis

Larne 57.93%
Draw 23.04%
Dungannon Swifts 19.04%
Larne
1-0 @ 12.17%
2-0 @ 10.25%
2-1 @ 9.97%
3-0 @ 6.36% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.76% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.77% (-0.01)
Other @ 10.65% (-0.01)
Total : 57.93%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.19% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.48% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 4.54% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.05%
Total : 23.04%
Dungannon Swifts
0-1 @ 5.86% (+0.03)
1-2 @ 4.94% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 2.76% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.63% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.47%
Other @ 1.48%
Total : 19.04%

Head to Head

NIFL Premiership
Nov 29, 2025 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • 33' yellowcard
  • Peter Maguire 33' yellowcard
  • Steven Scott 45' goal
  • 89' yellowcard
  • 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Cahal McGinty 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Declan Dunne 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Mark Randall 35'
  • yellowcard 87'
  • goal Paul O'Neill 90'+5'
NIFL Premiership
Oct 4, 2025 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 1
Apr 1, 2025 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stangmore Park
  • Tomas Galvin 34' goal
  • goal Gael Bigirimana 25' (OG)
  • yellowcard Sean Graham 62'
  • yellowcard Christopher Gallagher 69'
  • yellowcard 82'
  • yellowcard 90'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 30
Feb 22, 2025 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Inver Park
  • Cian Bolger 59' yellowcard
  • goal Andrew Mitchell 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Aaron Donnelly 68'
  • yellowcard James Knowles 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Danny Wallace 90'+4'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 22
Dec 23, 2024 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stangmore Park
  • Leonel Alves 71' yellowcard
  • Cahal McGinty 85' yellowcard
  • goal Mark Randall 51'
  • yellowcard Andy Ryan 85'
  • yellowcard Rohan Ferguson 90'+1'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 11
Oct 6, 2024 2.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT Inver Park
  • Sean Graham 72' yellowcard
  • goal James Knowles 16'
  • goal John McGovern 54'
  • yellowcard James Knowles 71'
  • goal Adam Glenny 84'