Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 57.93%. A draw had a probability of 23.04% and a win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 19.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.25%) and 2-1 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.19%) , while for a Dungannon Swifts win it was 0-1 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.